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Financial News from iSPYETF

  • Surprise! VIX is too LOW for a Market Crash iSPYETF - Fri, Jul 25, 2014 11:41 PM EDT

    Wall Street is fraught with misconceptions. Ironically, the one concept most investors and analysts agree on is the most flawed. Many analysts have gone on record to predict a market crash, because the ...

  • Will Lagging Small Caps Drag Down S&P 500? iSPYETF - Fri, Jul 25, 2014 10:55 PM EDT

    Small cap stocks benefit from extra liquidity and are the first to suffer from a liquidity squeeze. That's the concept behind the bearish implications of small cap under performance for the S&P 500. It ...

  • Short Sellers Favorite Indicator Finally Hits Rock Bottom iSPYETF - Fri, Jul 25, 2014 10:44 PM EDT

    Here is a flash from the past: Remember the term 'green shoot'? It was Bernanke's description of a fledging economy recovery. One indicator was persistently used to disprove Bernanke's notion - and this ...

  • Market Top! Bears Cry Wolf as Roubini Looks for Successor iSPYETF - Fri, Jul 25, 2014 9:08 PM EDT

    Nouriel Roubini is credited for predicting the 'Great Recession.' Roubini was one of the relatively few who pointed to the dangers of leverage. Today we see billionaire investors, chief strategists, and ...

  • The Little Bullish Indicator Nobody is Reporting On iSPYETF - Thu, Jul 24, 2014 8:14 PM EDT

    Tunnel vision is a luxury investors can't afford. Yet, bullish signals from a well-known investor survey have been ignored for too long. Angry messages on comment boards also confirm a bullish message ...

  • A lot can happen when you're not looking, but a lot can happen even when you are looking. While everyone's been waiting for the illusive correction, the S&P 500 'Richter scale' actually shows the correction ...

  • The S&P 500 is not only stuck in a trading range. It's also stuck in a conundrum of historical proportions. Analysis paralysis suffered by a variety of investors has rarely widespread. Why and what does ...

  • On Thursday, the S&P 500 saw the first loss of more than 1% since April 10, 2014. This sell-off stoked the talks about a major correction, but bottom line is that the S&P 500 remains around important short-term ...

  • VIX Seasonality Triggered Major Buy Signal on July 9 iSPYETF - Fri, Jul 18, 2014 11:12 PM EDT

    The VIX has been trending lower for weeks on end. Many investors got burned trying to be ahead of an elusive VIX rally - until yesterday. The 32% one-day spike came right on queue, according to the VIX ...

  • The consumer discretionary sector has been one of the driving factors behind the massive S&P 500 rally from the 2009 low. In the beginning of June, XLY sported a unique technical pattern that may provide ...

  • Today the S&P 500 lost more than 1% for the first time since April 10, 2014. This sell-off comes amidst many predictions for a bull market end or market crash. In reality, how significant is today's loss?...

  • Despite Selloff - Gold is Holding Support ... for Now iSPYETF - Thu, Jul 17, 2014 1:11 PM EDT

    Various media outlets listed many 'convincing' reasons to buy gold (a few examples of recent media blunders are listed in the article), but the gold market did exactly the opposite.

  • Smart Money is Leaving Gold Just as the 'Herd' is Jumping in iSPYETF - Wed, Jul 16, 2014 11:54 PM EDT

    From June 2 to July 10 gold prices surged 8.7%. Commercial traders were the first to get in on this rally and the first to get out. While commercials pulled out, the 'herd' (or dumb money) piled in. Could ...

  • MarketWatch just proclaimed that "We're in the third biggest stock bubble in U.S. history." Bloomberg reports that: "Individuals pile into stocks as pros say bull is spent." Everyone ...

  • Even Central Banks are Forced to Buy Stocks iSPYETF - Tue, Jul 15, 2014 1:16 PM EDT

    Talk about a classic catch-22. Central banks around the world are haunted by the very monster they created -" low interest rates. This forces them to buy stocks. But, this is not the only reason for ...

  • Will The Social Media Sector Selloff Drag Down the Nasdaq iSPYETF - Sat, Jul 12, 2014 1:51 AM EDT

    Aside from a 28% 'glitch' earlier this year, the social media sector has been on a tear since May. However, this week saw a high volume sell off below various levels of technical support. Will this affect ...

  • S&P 500 Short-Term Forecast iSPYETF - Fri, Jul 11, 2014 7:56 PM EDT

    The S&P 500 has been without significant correction for over 1,000 days. According to many, a deep correction is 'just around the corner' (and has been around the corner since April). Here's the only thing ...

  • Aside from a 28% 'glitch' earlier this year, the social media sector has been on a tear since May. However, this week saw a high volume sell off below various levels of technical support. Will this affect ...

  • What the Seasonality Chart Predicts for Apple (AAPL) iSPYETF - Thu, Jul 10, 2014 1:07 PM EDT

    Many forces affect the market and individual stocks. Seasonality is one of them. In fact, AAPL seasonality shows a distinct drop in September, which is when AAPL started its 45% decline. Here's the full ...

  • S&P 500 'Black Swan' Index at All-time High, But ... iSPYETF - Tue, Jul 8, 2014 7:48 PM EDT

    'Black Swans' can't be predicted, otherwise they wouldn't be considered 'Black Swans.' Nevertheless, the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) - the same outfit that calculates the VIX - formulates an ...

  • 3 Reasons Why Apple is a Buy -- and 2 Reason Why Not iSPYETF - Tue, Jul 8, 2014 1:20 PM EDT

    After 18 months in the bear market abyss, Apple is back in vogue again. A rally near the prior pre-split all-time high at 705 has ignited many bullish AAPL calls. Is now a good time to buy Apple (AAPL)?...

  • S&P 500 'Sudden Drop' Index at Historic Extreme iSPYETF - Fri, Jul 4, 2014 11:54 AM EDT

    The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), the same outfit that formulated the VIX, also calculates the odds of a 'two standard deviation decline,' or large sudden drop. This 'sudden drop' index is at ...

  • MarketWatch reports that most people missed the recent rally? Why? Obviously because nobody saw it coming. Here is one indicator that persistently suggested further gains (this indicator also explains ...

  • The 'Original' VIX Hits ALL-TIME LOW iSPYETF - Tue, Jul 1, 2014 7:51 PM EDT

    The VIX, as we know it, is trading near lows not seen since February 2007. The original VIX, which has a price history going all the way back to 1986, just fell to an all-time low. By this measure volatility ...

  • What Will it Take to Awaken the VIX? iSPYETF - Fri, Jun 27, 2014 9:00 PM EDT

    The VIX has refused to move higher. What will it take to awaken the VIX and complacent investors?

  • Major Investor Sentiment Divergence Confuses S&P 500 iSPYETF - Fri, Jun 27, 2014 8:18 PM EDT

    More than ever before, investors are looking at various sentiment gauges to get a pulse on the market. After all, excessive optimism correctly foreshadowed every recent crash or correction. But, there's ...

  • S&P 500 is Showing First 'Chink in the Armor' iSPYETF - Thu, Jun 26, 2014 7:47 PM EDT

    After many weeks of relentless gains, the S&P 500 is showing first 'chink in the armor.' In fact, there are three persuasive reasons to expect lower prices, but there's also one strong force that's pushed ...

  • On April 2, USA Today essentially started a virtual countdown to the 1987-type market crash. May 24 was supposed to be 'crash day.' The market crash is obviously delayed, but is it also cancelled?

  • Option traders are flocking towards call options, as the put/call ratio has dropped to 0.1. This means that there are 10 call options traded for every put option. A contrarian interpretation of this data ...

  • Why 2014's Biggest Gold Rally May be Bearish for S&P 500 iSPYETF - Fri, Jun 20, 2014 7:36 PM EDT

    Gold just saw its biggest one-day gain of the year. At the same time the S&P 500 climbed to yet another 1-year high. Since 2009, this constellation happened three times, and led to short-term S&P 500 weakness ...

  • VIX Hits Another 88-Month Low -" Is it Finally Time to Buy? iSPYETF - Fri, Jun 20, 2014 7:34 PM EDT

    Traders have been itching to buy the VIX. However, the VIX has frustrated anyone impatient enough to buy bullish VIX bets - so far at least. Here is why the VIX wasn't ready to rally yet, and why this ...

  • Last week the CBOE Equity Put/Call ratio slipped as low as 0.43, the lowest level since January 2011. Similar readings in April 2010 and April 2012 led to nasty sell offs? But something is different this ...

  • Buying Climaxes Soar to 5-Month High iSPYETF - Tue, Jun 17, 2014 8:27 PM EDT

    Buying climaxes are said to be a sign of distribution, indicating that stocks are moving from strong to weak hands. As such, buying climaxes often foreshadow trouble. What does the recent surge of buying ...

  • To say that this QE bull market is persistent would be an understatement. Stocks have rolled over bearish setups again and again. In fact, such bearish forecasts, promoted by the media, are a key reason ...

  • This Bearish Russell 2000 Pattern is Still Alive iSPYETF - Fri, Jun 13, 2014 1:12 PM EDT

    The Russell 2000 has been taking it on the chin: It's been the scapegoat for the April sell off and, unlike other indexes, wasn't able to report new all-time highs in June. Will the Russell 2000 catch ...

  • Updated 2014 S&P 500 Forecast iSPYETF - Thu, Jun 12, 2014 8:39 PM EDT

    At the beginning of every year I put together a full year S&P 500 forecast. This is unusual in the financial industry, because a detailed, written market forecast leaves no room for excuses. Here's how ...

  • Fed Fund Rate Suggests S&P 500 Weakness iSPYETF - Wed, Jun 11, 2014 8:37 PM EDT

    The 'Fed fund rate indicator' is one of the few data points that suggested an S&P 500 spike a month ago. Here's another look at the Fed fund rate and what the accompanying indicator says is next for the ...

  • "Economic Hurricane Season Approaching" - "Stocks are telling you a bear market is looming" - "I'm worried about a crisis bigger than 2008: Dr Doom" were some of the headlines ...

  • Two Sentiment Gauges Reach Multi-Year Bullish Extremes iSPYETF - Fri, Jun 6, 2014 10:42 PM EDT

    It's been a while since we've seen bullish sentiment conditions, but this week's rally pushed two sentiment gauges to multi-year extremes. But, there is reason to view the two extremes in context with ...

  • VIX at 88-Month Low -" How Much Lower Can it Go? iSPYETF - Fri, Jun 6, 2014 10:06 PM EDT

    The VIX closed at an 88-month low today. Many have already gotten burnt betting on higher VIX readings, and many more are itching to place their bet. How much lower can the VIX go? That's probably not ...

  • Is the S&P 500 Overvalued? iSPYETF - Fri, Jun 6, 2014 8:58 PM EDT

    The Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 are trading at new all-time highs. This makes stocks more expensive, but are stocks too expensive and overvalued? Here is a look at four different valuation metrics....

  • S&P 500 Sports Bearish 'Hanging Man' Candle iSPYETF - Wed, Jun 4, 2014 8:35 PM EDT

    Although the plain S&P 500 chart is looking strong, there is one deceptive simple warning signal called the 'hanging man.' The hanging man is generally bearish, because it represents weakening demand for ...

  • The stock market is approaching a potentially bullish springboard. Price action has been very positive, but a look 'under the hood' shows that confidence in the rally is lacking. Will the market have enough ...

  • Value Investing Legend Sees S&P 500 Climb to 2,250 iSPYETF - Thu, May 29, 2014 7:44 PM EDT

    Value investors try to stay away from bubbles, simply because they are value traps. So when a value investing legend calls for a continued bubble with S&P 2,250 as target, it may be worth listening - or ...

  • The Only Free and Updated VIX Seasonality Chart iSPYETF - Wed, May 28, 2014 1:57 PM EDT

    The VIX is trading near 7-year lows and two VIX ETFs are at all-time lows. Many are itching to buy the VIX and while such a trade may well be profitable, VIX seasonality provides another layer of information ...

  • Hey Bears! Where is the Promised Crash or Correction? iSPYETF - Tue, May 27, 2014 1:21 PM EDT

    In late April an avalanche of doomsday financial headlines hit the airwaves. The expectations ranged from a 20% correction to an outright crash. A few weeks later the S&P 500 is at new all-time highs. ...

  • Nasdaq Back Above 50-day SMA - Bull Trap or Buy Signal? iSPYETF - Fri, May 23, 2014 7:59 PM EDT

    It's been rare for the Nasdaq to spend an extended period below the 50-day SMA. On Thursday the Nasdaq Composite (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) closed back above the 50-day SMA for the first time since April 4. Is this ...

  • Record Gamble: Trader Spends $13 Million on Bullish VIX Bet iSPYETF - Fri, May 23, 2014 2:10 PM EDT

    This is at least the second doubled digit million dollar bet on the VIX this year. The first one paid off big, but the odds of this $13 million dollar trade turning profitable aren't quite as good. Here ...

  • Will 'Sell in May and Go Away' Be a No-Show This Year? iSPYETF - Thu, May 22, 2014 8:23 PM EDT

    What happened to 'Sell in May and Go Away?' Here is exactly why May selling didn't materialize yet, and whether it's been postponed or cancelled:

  • S&P 500: When Will the Trading Range Break? iSPYETF - Wed, May 21, 2014 7:58 PM EDT

    There's a time to buy, a time to sell and a time to be patient. Most of 2014 falls into the 'be patient' category. What's causing this extended trading range and how much longer can it go on?

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