Realtor.com® October Housing Data Reveals Home Buying Season Isn't Over Yet

Strong list prices and demand buck typical seasonal slowdown

PR Newswire

SAN JOSE, Calif., Nov. 19, 2013 /PRNewswire/ -- Realtor.com®, the leader in online real estate operated by Move, Inc. (MOVE), today released the realtor.com® National Housing Trend Report for October 2013. National housing data shows that the U.S. housing market is in a completely different position than this time last year, with solid price increases, steady inventory and strong demand continuing well into the fall season.

Realtor.com®'s data reveals that October 2013 median list prices were relatively unaffected by the usual seasonal patterns with a strong 7.57 percent increase year over year. National inventory is stabilizing after the dramatic declines seen earlier this year, although the country still is experiencing significant supply shortages. Most notably, median age of inventory – a leading indicator of demand – is down 11.32 percent year over year, demonstrating resilience to seasonal changes and stabilized inventory.

"Instead of the usual seasonal slowdown, October data show the 2013 fall market moving at a fast pace," said Errol Samuelson, president of realtor.com®. "Inventory has returned to last year's levels, but prices continue to strengthen and homes are moving significantly faster compared to this time last year."

"This demonstrates that the overall strength of the national housing market is determined partly by inventory availability," said National Association of Realtors® Chief Economist Lawrence Yun.  "We expect rising home price conditions to continue through the balance of the year." 

Key Market Indicators for October 2013


October 2013

Year-over-Year Percentage Change

Month-over-Month Percentage Change

Number of Listings

1,905,064

-1.51 percent

-0.71 percent

Median Age of Inventory

94 days

-11.32 percent

1.08 percent

Median List Price

$199,000

7.57 percent

-0.25 percent

National Perspective:

  • Inventories are now just 1.51 percent lower than they were one year ago—a dramatic turnaround compared to the substantial year-on-year declines noted at beginning of this year, which signals steadying inventory conditions.
  • Median age of inventory is down 11.32 percent year over year and rose slightly on a monthly basis from 93 to 94 days. This suggests that properties continue to turn over quickly in contrast to the usual seasonal patterns, and despite increasing prices and stabilizing inventory.
  • Median list prices are 7.57 percent higher than where they were one year ago. On a month-over-month basis, prices fell slightly in October but remained resilient against the usual seasonal patterns and stabilizing inventory.

Local Market Highlights:

  • Markets with the strongest demand. Of particular note in October's figures are the markets with the fastest turnover, some at roughly half of the national median "days on market" figure of 94 days, and Oakland remains the national leader at just 30 days – approximately one-third of the national median. While October's leaderboard is a continuation of September's fastest moving markets, these are beginning to show an easing that tracks with the national month-over-month trend; only Washington, DC has shortened its age of inventory from September, and the rest have increased time on market, while Phoenix remained flat.  

Median Age of Inventory

10 Metropolitan Statistical Areas (MSAs) with the Shortest Median Days on Market

October 2013

Oakland, CA

30

San Francisco, CA

48

San Jose, CA

48

Denver, CO

48

Stockton-Lodi, CA

48

Washington, DC-MD-VA-WV(DC)

49

Phoenix-Mesa, AZ

50

Detroit, MI

52

Sacramento, CA

54

Seattle-Bellevue-Everett, WA

55

  • Widespread median list price increases. The majority of housing markets are registering positive signs, with 85 percent of the 146 markets covered by realtor.com® showing year-over year increases in median list price, and just 19 markets registering year-over-year price declines in October.  Detroit continues to lead the country in year-over-year list price increases, followed by markets in California and Nevada.
  • Local market inventories shift – decreases steady and increases are on the rise. The number of markets where inventories were down by 5 percent or more on a year-over-year basis continued its steady decline, dropping from 102 markets in June to 65 markets in October. At the same time, inventory grew in more than twice the number of markets in October (49) compared to June (22), and the number of markets with inventories that are up by at least 5 percent over the year rose from 15 markets in June to 30 markets in October.

Realtor.com® regularly tracks real estate data and develops monthly reports featuring the number of listings, median age of inventory and median list price across the U.S. and in specific markets, as well as provides year-over-year and month-over-month changes. These reports are the only ones pulled directly from the realtor.com® database, where 90 percent of listings are updated every 15 minutes from more than 800 MLSs. National data in October reflects an adjustment in inventory of approximately 1 percent compared to previous months, reflecting an update in four southern California markets identified by realtor.com's® enhanced auditing protocols and attributed to a system change in data collection earlier in the year. We regularly review and update historical data to provide the most accurate and comprehensive market information available. For more information on Move, please visit www.move.com or one of its many online real estate properties including realtor.com®.

Supporting Resources

ABOUT realtor.com®

Operated by Move, Inc., (MOVE), realtor.com® helps connect people with the content, tools and expertise they need to find their perfect home. As the official website of the National Association of REALTORS®, realtor.com® empowers consumers to make the smartest decisions when it comes to finding a home by leveraging direct connections with more than 800 MLSs to deliver the most accurate and up-to-date listing information in neighborhoods across the country, and by making timely and meaningful connections between consumers and REALTORS®. Whether through desktop, mobile, or tablet versions, realtor.com® is where home happens.

ABOUT MOVE, INC.

Move, Inc. (MOVE), the leader in online real estate, operates:  realtor.com®, the official website of the National Association of REALTORS®; Move.com, a leading destination for new homes and rental listings, moving, home and garden, and home finance; ListHub™, the leading syndicator of real estate listings; Moving.com™; SeniorHousingNet; SocialBios; Doorsteps®; TigerLead® Top Producer® Systems and FiveStreet.  Move, Inc. is based in San Jose, California.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release may contain forward-looking statements, including information about management's view of Move's future expectations, plans and prospects, within the safe harbor provisions under The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors which may cause the results of Move, its subsidiaries, divisions and concepts to be materially different than those expressed or implied in such statements. These risk factors and others are included from time to time in documents Move files with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including but not limited to, its Form 10-Ks, Form 10-Qs and Form 8-Ks. Other unknown or unpredictable factors also could have material adverse effects on Move's future results. The forward-looking statements included in this press release are made only as of the date hereof. Move cannot guarantee future results, levels of activity, performance or achievements. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. Finally, Move expressly disclaims any intent or obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect subsequent events or circumstances.

 

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