We maintain our Neutral recommendation on Reynolds American Inc. (RAI), following the appraisal of its fourth quarter 2012 results.
Why the Reiteration?
Reynolds American delivered its fourth quarter 2012 earnings on Feb 12, 2013. Adjusted earnings of $0.76 climbed 5.6% from the prior-year quarter earnings and were also ahead of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 9.7%, on the back of improved earnings and strong business in the moist snuff segment. However, the company continued to see lower cigarette shipment volumes and an unfavorable excise tax scenario.
We are encouraged by the company’s continuous effort to adapt to evolving demands and bring out innovative smokeless non-combustible tobacco products that do not cause as much harm as traditional tobacco. The Natural American Spirit, which is the premium brand of the Santa Fe segment of Reynolds, commands a major share in the U.S. smokeless cigarette market, having grown from 30.3% in 2010 to 32.4% in 2012. Reynolds’ tailor made e-cigarette category, which is used as a simulating substitute of the cigarette, is also gaining popularity in the U.S. market.
Although the company is on track to achieve its cost reduction goal and has undertaken measures like slimming down its workforce to cut down on its expenses, the unfavorable excise tax scenario and restrictions imposed on tobacco companies, following widespread anti-tobacco campaigns, have resulted in a consistent decline in cigarette shipments for several years. Moreover, competitive pricing by market leaders and aggressive promotions are resulting in depressed margins for several quarters.
Other Stocks to Consider
Reynolds carries Zacks Rank #3 (Hold). Other stocks in the Consumer Staples segment like Altria Group Inc. (MO), Lorillard Company (LO) and Procter & Gamble Company (PG'>PG), each carrying a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), are also worth considering.
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