Mon, May 28, 2012, 5:15 PM EDT - U.S. Markets closed for Memorial Day

Rise in home building suggests industry turnaround

Apartment construction spurs jump in housing starts, showing industry may be at turning point

WASHINGTON (AP) -- A surge in apartment construction gave home builders more work in November. And permits, a gauge of future construction, rose largely because of a jump in apartment permits.

Some analysts say the gains, though coming off extremely low levels, suggest the depressed housing industry may have reached a turning point.

Economists now say 2011 will be the first year since the Great Recession began in 2007 that home construction will have helped the economy grow. Before this year, the industry endured two of the worst years ever.

"Homebuilding is through the worst and is now steadily improving," said Paul Diggle, a property economist at Capital Economics.

Builders broke ground on a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 685,000 homes in November, a 9.3 percent jump from October, the government said Tuesday. It's the highest level since April 2010.

Still, the rate is far below the 1.2 million homes that economists say would be built each year in a healthy housing market.

Construction of single-family homes rose 2.3 percent in November to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 447,000. Apartment construction jumped 32 percent to a rate of 238,000 units. Single-family homes account for about 70 percent of homebuilding.

For the year, work is expected to have begun on 430,000 single-family homes and 185,000 apartments. Those figures remain far below the roughly 840,000 single-family homes and 360,000 apartments that would be started in a healthy economy.

Tuesday's home construction data, along with encouraging economic news out of Germany and Spain, helped fuel a huge rally on Wall Street. The Dow Jones industrial average jumped more than 300 points, or 2.7 percent, by mid-afternoon.

Patrick Newport and Michelle Valverde, U.S. economists at IHS Global Insight, said the better-than-expected figures show that the housing industry is "finally getting off the mat."

"It'll keep getting better through next year," said Jared Franz, an associate economist at T. Rowe Price.

Last year, builders began work on roughly 587,000 homes. That barely surpassed the 554,000 homes started in 2009, the worst year ever.

Though new homes represent just 20 percent of the overall home market, they have an outsize impact on the economy. Each home built creates an average of three jobs for a year and generates about $90,000 in taxes, according to the National Association of Home Builders.

Renting has become a preferred option for many Americans who lost their jobs during the recession and were forced to leave their houses. The surge in apartments has provided a lift to the beleaguered housing market but has not been enough to completely offset the loss of single-family homes.

Permits rose 5.7 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 681,000, boosted by a 16 percent jump in permits for apartment buildings, to 246,000.

Builders typically begin construction on single-family homes six months after getting a permit. With apartment projects, the lag time can be up to a year.

Over the past year, permits for apartment buildings with five or more units have surged more than 80 percent. Permits for single-family homes have risen much less: just 3.6 percent.

Demand for new homes is weak. Record-low mortgage rates and plunging home prices have done little to help.

The chief problem: Builders are struggling to compete with deeply discounted foreclosures and short sales. Short sales occur when lenders allow homes to be sold for less than what's owed on the mortgage. Few homes are selling.

After previous recessions, housing accounted for at least 15 percent of U.S. economic growth. Since the recession officially ended in June 2009, it has contributed just 4 percent.

In October, sales of new homes rose slightly, largely because builders cut their prices in the face of weak demand. Sales hit a six-month low in August. And this year is shaping up to be the worst since the government began keeping records a half-century ago.

Another reason sales have fallen is that previously occupied homes have become a better deal than new homes. The median price of a new home is about 30 percent higher than the median price for a re-sale. That's nearly twice the markup typical in a healthy housing market.

The homebuilders' trade group said this week that its survey of industry sentiment rose in December to 21, the highest level since May 2010. Still, any reading below 50 indicates negative sentiment about the housing market. The index hasn't reached 50 since April 2006, the peak of the housing boom.

 

492 comments

  • twinsuranceguy  •  5 months ago
    They are building these Apartments to accomedate, all the Ex-Homeowners who have bad credit now and cannot afford a House
    • adimrom 5 months ago
      HAHAHHAAH,that is true.......HAPPY HANUKKAH to you too.
    • need 5 months ago
      but but but the rich having more me economy is doing better right?
    • Wow...did I say that 5 months ago
      Hit the nail on the head with this one...rent instead of own.
  • Michael  •  5 months ago
    There is more demand for apartments because no one can get a mortgage these days to buy a house... especially people with low incomes and/or no jobs... !
    • major 5 months ago
      You are correct Michael people that lost their job and house don't have the sterling credit required for a loan much less a down payment and income ratio/price of house
    • Kenny 5 months ago
      Steal from the poor and give to the rich. It takes to parties to make this work and a nation full of apathatic tools.
    • need 5 months ago
      and the rich make more off apartments than they do you buying a real home.
  • Raccoon City Survivor  •  5 months ago
    the construction industry was the hardest hit, during the recession. more then 5 million jobs were lost.
    • one-yahoo-user 5 months ago
      so any positive news is good news, agree?
    • Jim 5 months ago
      It's #$%$ It is not even true.
    • LookatalltheSheep 5 months ago
      Jim..... And we did not really put a man on the moon... it was all a hoax... sic
  • Whatthe....  •  5 months ago
    Yep, apartment buildings went up to house all those who lost their homes.
    • one-yahoo-user 5 months ago
      as expected. you are just now figuring this out?
  • kim a  •  5 months ago
    somehow apartment building doesn't make one think of a housing market.
    But... on the plus side, with the Senate bill on the "payroll tax vacation", they did manage to sneak in a little fee fo all thosae looking to purchase, refinance or improve their homes.
    Yep. You got it. a new permanant 15.00 a month fee on those new loans.
    How kind they are. For giving you back about 100.00 of your own money over 2 months, if you take out one of the new loans you get to pay up to 6,000.00 extra to the fed gov't.
    And how do we say thanks?
    Easy. manipulate the people into thinking the evil House Repubs want to raise their taxes
    • FreedomHawk 5 months ago
      That new fee just means home prices will drop another $6K...
  • Mike J  •  5 months ago
    Notice they building apartments and not homes. We have so many repo homes and many new h omes that were built and never sold. No, the home market is not turning around, still stagnant
  • indy  •  5 months ago
    I have been in the lumber business of 34 years and this is the slowest of all. The price of homes have not bottomed out yet. Who writes this bull
  • betty  •  5 months ago
    what are they going to do with all the houses that already empy from foreclosure ? because they arent selling.
  • Therealtraveledroad  •  5 months ago
    This story is just another pathetic attempt to tell us al that all is well.
  • Divello  •  5 months ago
    Building apartments... of course. No one has the money or good credit to buy a house anymore.
  • A Yahoo! User  •  5 months ago
    I do not believe this. In the neighborhood where I live, many houses had foreclosures. Many other families have tried to put their houses for sales before they may get foreclosures too.
  • James  •  5 months ago
    Mike is so right. Apartments! Not homes. You should notice too that farmers markets are becoming more popular too. Just goes to show that we're becoming a poorer nation.
  • Nathan S  •  5 months ago
    Same thing they say about unemployment - that the economy is improving because unemployment is going down. Unemployment is going down because the participant rate is declining (i.e. people are frustrated and have stopped looking for jobs). Don't believe everything you read by these jokers.
  • David  •  5 months ago
    MISSION ACCOMPLISHED!
  • An American  •  5 months ago
    how do you spell spin
  • JILL PILL  •  5 months ago
    Which is it? The housing market is making a turn around or the housing market is still stagnant. Pretty sure I read an article just last week that told of how the market is still so stagnant that it's holding back the economy!
    Is the media really that disillusioned or are they purposely trying to tell us crap hoping to get us to believe it? Because I'm starting to believe the latter!!!
  • Dennis C  •  5 months ago
    They are demolishing the old houses after they take them back to create a shortage and rising prices, then build apts to make money on top of money
  • Tom Stevens  •  5 months ago
    The implication is that Obamanomics works???? Come on, AP (Associated Progressives)..
  • Yahoo user  •  5 months ago
    Most of the construction jobs go to illegals.
  • Cliff  •  5 months ago
    This does not indicate that the market for single family homes is on the rebound. It indicates that people either can't afford to buy single family homes, and that others are avoiding having most of their money tied up in a house, when their future employment is uncertain.. To top it off, the housing bubble and mortgage crisis have driven up rents. This is true for retail rents, too, which contributes to an increase in the prices we pay for everything else.

    Glad for the handful of folks who have construction work for a year or so, but this sounds more like a small group of the top real estate partnerships investing in explicitly targeted projects. A friend in North Carolina told me that Toll Brothers is continuing to build new homes near Research Triangle Park, in spite of the fact that there is a glut of fairly new homes in the area for sale in a relatively stagnant market. The new homes they're building are similar, only slightly smaller and priced just below what existing homeowners are asking. They're effectively undermining the market for existing homes (many of which they themselves built within the last ten years).

    From the comments here, it doesn't look like anybody is fooled by this type of report.
 
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