Mon, May 28, 2012, 5:15 PM EDT - U.S. Markets closed for Memorial Day

Rising sales point to better year for housing

Sales of previously occupied homes rose 4.3 pct. in January, highest level in almost 2 years

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The housing market is flashing signs of health ahead of the spring-buying season.

Sales of previously occupied homes are at their highest level since May 2010. More first-time buyers are making purchases. And the supply of homes fell last month to its lowest point in nearly seven years, which could push home prices higher.

Sales have now risen nearly 13 percent over the past six months. While they are still well below the 6 million that economists equate with a healthy market, the gains have coincided with other changes in the market that suggest more sales are coming.

"The trend is clearly upward," said Ian Shepherdson, chief U.S. economist at High Frequency Economics.

The National Association of Realtors said Wednesday that re-sales increased 4.3 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.57 million.

Single-family home sales rose 3.8 percent. And the number of first-time buyers, who are critical to a housing recovery, increased slightly to make up 33 percent of all sales. That's still below 40 percent, which tends to signal a healthy market.

One concern is the market is still saturated with homes at risk of foreclosure, which lower broader home prices. Those increased to make up 35 percent of sales.

But the supply of homes on the market has plunged to 2.3 million, the lowest level since March 2005. At last month's sales pace, it would take more than six months to clear those homes, consistent with a healthy housing market. Fewer homes on the market could help boost prices over time.

Most economists said the January report was encouraging, especially when viewed with other recent positive housing data.

Mortgage rates have never been lower. Homebuilders are slightly more hopeful because more people are saying they might be open to buying this year — and they responded in January to that interest by requesting more permits to construct single-family homes.

"The rise in existing home sales in recent months adds to the indication from housing starts, building permits, and homebuilder sentiment that the sector has improved modestly since the middle of 2011," said John Ryding, an economist at RDQ economics.

Much of the optimism has come because hiring has picked up. More jobs are critical to a housing rebound. In January, employers added 243,000 net jobs — the most in nine months — and the unemployment rate fell to 8.3 percent, the lowest level in nearly three years.

Analysts caution that the damage from the housing bust is deep and the industry is years away from fully recovering. Since the bubble burst, sales have slumped under the weight of foreclosures, tighter credit and falling prices.

Many deals are also collapsing before they close. One-third of Realtors say they've had at least one contract scuttled over the past four months. That's up from 18 percent in September.

Realtors say deals are collapsing for several reasons: Banks have declined mortgage applications. Home inspectors have found problems. Appraisals have come in lower than the bid. Or a buyer suffered a financial setback before the closing.

Sales rose across the country in January. They rose on a seasonal basis by nearly 9 percent in the West, 3.5 percent in the South, 3.4 percent in the Northeast and 1 percent in the Midwest.

 
  • ENDO-  •  3 months ago
    Where?.. Not in Florida.. that much I can tell you.
    • xtra 3 months ago
      and but for the taxes those 90 percent cheaper houses in the land of beaches ans sunshine and hot babes, and pina coladas sounds like paradise....too late..? but demand is certainly there...free the slaves.....!!!!!!!!!!!!
    • 10 footer for par 3 months ago
      No kidding, homes that foreclosed in 2010 are just now working through the court system.
  • Phil  •  Minneapolis, Minnesota  •  3 months ago
    Mild weather. Massive continued price drops. Lowest 30 year interest rates ever. Tiny uptic for one month, or March's buyers out early? Market is dominated by short sales and REO's at below market prices which destroy all other sellers' values. It is carnage for the responsible owners who pay for their homes and for whatever reason are forced to compete in the bank subsidized, government mangled market. Now short sellers, people who quit paying,are being PAID up to $30,000 to sell their homes before final foreclosure. It is called REWARD BAD BEHAVIOR!!!!!!!!!!!
    • Tan Tu Ning 3 months ago
      Which seems to be a theme continuously throughout this country. #$%$ is wrong with this picture people?
  • Yahoo user  •  3 months ago
    Banks are not lending.
  • KenZ  •  Seal Beach, California  •  3 months ago
    Sales are up??? If you want to give your house away at fire sale, foreclosure prices, I guess you could say that. Those are the only house that are selling are the foreclosures where the banks are giving them away for half off the real price. "Please, please just take over the loan" say the bankers who are trying to unload the foreclosed houses. And when someone does take over a foreclosure that the bank is giving away for 75% off the normal price, the Obamination is counting that as a "SALE" and the Obamination then shouts, "WOW, LOOK AT ME. I am causing housing to sales to rise again." If you want to give your house away for half off what you paid for it, OK, you can sell it, otherwise, hang on for another 20 years and maybe you'll be out from under water by the time you die.
    • xtra 3 months ago
      i find the same houses being sold 3 times this year in some sort of transactions, lower priced each time..?..?
    • John 3 months ago
      Do I smell a hint of pessimism in your tone?
  • Cynthia  •  3 months ago
    The article never mentioned that the December sales were revised from +5.0% to -0.5%. This writer is either biased in some way or did not do proper homework.
    • gary 3 months ago
      Numbers do not matter since they are fabricated, thus meaningless. There is no way to verify them that matters. They have you again and are laughing (big brother). One last time: They don't care.
    • CB 3 months ago
      How about both.
    • 10 footer for par 3 months ago
      Bingo. How can you trust the January numbers when the NAR was off by 5 percent in December? Nothing has changed - housing in the dumps.
  • Keith  •  3 months ago
    Existing homeowners, of course, are screwed.
    • gary 3 months ago
      Keith-Like everything else has become, there is nothing you can do about it and the powers to be know it!
    • Yahoo user 3 months ago
      Buyers are happy, sellers are sad.
    • Allan V 3 months ago
      I don't know why you say that existing home owners a screwed. If the market goes up, it means that the house they have,gains in value
  • MrPilgrim  •  Sacramento, California  •  3 months ago
    Funny how this article leaves out one very important statistic...December sales compared to November were intially up 5%, but have now been revised down to negative 0.5%.

    Just more propaganda spewed from NAR.
  • Thomas Paine Esq.  •  Phoenix, Arizona  •  3 months ago
    What does Mr. Kravitz mean when he says the housing market is flashing signs of health? 4.57 million homes sold (seasonally adjusted) is lousy compared to 6 million which is a healthy market.

    Anyhow what in fact does seasonally adjusted really mean? Is it like the government's employment numbers, plucked out of the air or somebody's you know where? Not only that how extensivly will the numbers be "revised" next month or a couple of months down the road when hopefully nobody is watching too closely? Drilling even deeper into the reported data reveals that 33% of sales are to first time buyers. That's well below the more typical 40% that reflects a healthy market. Oh yeah. There's still all of the pending foreclosures hanging over everything, not to mention that the allegedly improving unemployment numbers are really reflecting a shrinking labor pool, rather than a growing jobs market. All in all, it looks more and more as if the Obama administration and its flacks in the now unfortunately moribund and fatally flawed American news media are trying to put "lipstick onto the pig that is today's US economy". Hey guys. Why don't you quit irritating the poor pig.
  • Actuarial  •  3 months ago
    Last revised DOWN from 4.61 to 4.38m. So next, today's better sales 4.57m would be revised down to 4.20m.
    Spring recovery huh, pumper?
  • WatchingClosely  •  Tampa, Florida  •  3 months ago
    Yes, agree with Cynthia and will add that the NAR has been one of the biggest jokes out there as it relates to their "reporting". They are constantly revising downward. Just a horribly executed partisan report by NAR.
  • zach  •  3 months ago
    May 2010 was a good time for housing? I do not remember that being a high point to brag about.
  • Traderpro2003  •  3 months ago
    Home prices hit lowest point in more than 10 years

    CNNMoney By Chris Isidore | CNNMoney – 8 hours ago
  • me  •  3 months ago
    ..the days of easy credit brought to under the Clinton Admin. are OVER!
  • Kathy Daly  •  3 months ago
    Another Obama re-election media propaganda article. Just had my condo appraised i bought for 189,000 in 2006. Worth 117,000. Yeah big recovery!
  • Ken  •  Sacramento, California  •  3 months ago
    pr op a gan da ----- lets say it together now-- prop a gan da--- one more time---- propaganda---PERFECT
  • Traderpro2003  •  3 months ago
    Location, location, location...and it's NOT the US real estate market. Just go look at the backlog of RECORD foreclosures. Again, more propaganda from the Associated Propaganistas. Anyone want to talk about the $15.4 trillion in debt? Record consumer debt???
  • Truthseeker  •  3 months ago
    So how many years will will it take until home sales reach the 6 million level equated with a healthy housing market? How many millions of homeowners now own a home that is worth less than they paid for it? the housing market continues to sink into a quagmire of lower prices burdened with high levels of related debt.
  • Eric  •  3 months ago
    This article is criminal.
  • Give me Liberty or Give m ...  •  Sacramento, California  •  3 months ago
    Yawn, give it 120 days when banks are in full foreclosure swing now that the restrictions are off. As far as sales being up....is that forced foreclosure? Short sale? Way below market value?

    Folks, the market is still sliding and it's about to hit another greasy spot with a new influx of foreclosures. This is nothing more than liberal media spin for the up coming election year...plain and simple.
  • michael  •  Pleasanton, California  •  3 months ago
    this is pure bullshit for sure
 
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