Mon, May 28, 2012, 5:53 PM EDT - U.S. Markets closed for Memorial Day

Sales of new homes up in October, but prices fall

Sales of new US homes up modest 1.3 pct in October but median sales price hits 2011 low

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Americans bought slightly more new homes in October, a hopeful sign for the troubled housing market. But the median sales price fell to its lowest level of the year, and the overall sales pace is trailing last year's — the worst in half a century.

The report suggests housing continues to drag on the U.S. economy and is a long way from recovering.

New-home sales increased 1.3 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 307,000, the Commerce Department said Monday. That's less than half the 700,000 that economists say must be sold to sustain a healthy housing market.

September's figures were also revised down significantly to show a weaker pace than first estimated.

Last year's 323,000 new homes sold were the fewest since the government began keeping records in 1963. This year isn't faring much better.

While new homes sales represent a fraction of the housing market, they have an outsize impact on the economy. Each home built creates an average of three jobs for a year and generates about $90,000 in tax revenue, according to the National Association of Home Builders.

Many builders have stopped working on new projects because they can't obtain financing. The number of new homes for sale in the United States fell in October to a record low of 162,000.

They are also struggling to compete against cheaper re-sales, even as they lower their own prices. The median sales price of a new home fell 0.4 percent in October from September, to $212,300.

Steven Wood, chief economist at Insight Economics, said the small number of new homes for sale should help the housing market recover quicker when prices begin to rise. But he said: "A sustained rebound in new home sales appears unlikely."

For many Americans, buying a home is too big a risk more than four years after the housing bubble burst.

Home prices have tumbled, the job market remains weak and unemployment has been stuck near 9 percent for more two years. Some people who want to buy can't qualify for a loan or make the higher down payments that banks are demanding.

Sales are slumping even though mortgage rates are hovering above historic lows.

Yet sales of previously owned homes are also dismal. They rose slightly last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.97 million units, the National Association of Realtors said last week. That's below the 6 million that economists say is consistent with sales in a healthy market and barely ahead of last year's totals, which were the fewest since 1997.

In October, sales were uneven across the country. They increased 22.2 percent in the Midwest and 14.9 percent in the West. But they were unchanged in the Northeast and fell 9.5 percent in the South.

 

56 comments

  • Dan  •  6 months ago
    Some people who want to buy can't qualify for a loan or make the higher down payments that banks are demanding. ..the banks are going back to policies prior to the meltdown to insure that it will not happen again...
    • Universe pal 6 months ago
      MAKE POLITICIANS LIVE ON MY EARNINGS
      PASS A RESOLUTION SHOWN BELOW
      1. The president, congress and senate shall be elected at the same time for six years.
      2. Take away powers of senators to filibuster, hold presidential appointments indefinitely and to deny president choice of his cabinet.
      3. Simple majority in the senate just like in the house passes the bill.
      4. The bill concerning economical agenda of the country shall not be combined with the non economical agenda.
      5. The national, state and local defense system shall be financed by the wealth tax. (Poor and middle class is already paying with their lives let wealthy pay with the tax on their wealth)
      6. Professional such as doctors, lawyers, engineers, accountants, real estate agents, auto mechanics etc. is to be licensed by the board consists of majority of the general public and the professionals themselves. The licensing board shall truly represent economic status of the society.
      7. Government employees to be disciplined/fired by the board consisting of the citizens.
      8. At the end of their six year term all politicians will be required to live for the next six years at the economic level representing general masses, i.e. if the unemployment is 9%, then 9% of the members of the senate and congress have to live on earnings equal to the earnings of 9% unemployed and 9% of the six year the president has to live on earnings equal to the earnings of 9% unemployed. If the under employment is 5%, then 5% of the members of the senate and congress have to live on earnings equal to the earnings of 5% underemployed and 5% of the six year of the time president has to live on earnings equal to the earnings of 5% underemployed. Similarly all other economic level of the society is to be reflected on what the members of the senate, congress and the president as a part of his six years will be required to live on earnings.
    • JeffV 6 months ago
      20% is the traditional downpayment (until creative financing that created the bubble came along). Save your money and you will have enough to make a reasonable down payment. Pretty simple.
  • Mr. Muligan  •  5 months ago
    America ! No worries ! The Chinese, Koreans and Vietnamese will buy these homes. All of them. And if they don't immigrants from India, Guam and Somalia will. So be cheery !
  • DTT  •  6 months ago
    We remain bumping along what I hope is the bottom of both sales and prices. Like most American home owner's, I've lost a bundle of money in the last 3 years and I doubt I'll ever recover most of it. We can't have rising prices unless we have rising wages. I don't blame people for not buying, why buy something declining in value that one will be paying for for many years. We still have to clear out the homes in foreclosure and being given back to the banks before any significant gains can occur.
    • xtra 6 months ago
      wwhy dont you "walk" and destroy the 10 to 100 debt dollars that were created at your borrowing from the fractional reserve bank system by your borrowing from the fractional reserve bank syste m and that competed equally with a dollar of savings. and thar drove prices.?
    • DionyzJ 6 months ago
      Please - we are not at bottom on prices.
      Prices during the bubble were artificially high and those that paid those prices were foolish.

      Prices now are returning to the NORMAL level.
      Do not expect run up in prices - home prices since 1890 have only kept up with inflation and nothing more - in constant dollars, on a quality and size adjusted basis, house prices have been flat since 1890 (excluding the recent bubble)
    • Moluscan 6 months ago
      The US has a lot of land, a lot of labor and a lot of lumber. Why would prices ever be above the inflation trend line? It was a total certainty that any excursion way above that line would pop and deflate. As things correct, we must expect a period actually below the line as excess inventory is "dumped" on the market, then a slow return to the trend line. This is all going to take a few years.
  • John S  •  6 months ago
    The Great Housing Bubble was a one in a lifetime event. Next time 2006 prices come around a gallon of gasoline will cost about $10.
    • xtra 6 months ago
      next week...????
    • clint 6 months ago
      IT MAY BE ALOT CLOSER THAN YOU THINK...
  • Mary_Boppins  •  6 months ago
    people, it's the herd mentality that gets people slaugthered. why cant you see this? when housing was skyrocketing and every soccer mom in the supermarket was talking real estate....that should have been a clue to take a step back (like I did) and now, as the herd is talking about what a terrible idea it is to own a home is when you should start looking to buy (like I did). whether it's a good investment or not, you should realize that it protects against inflation, you're able to deduct mortgage interest and property taxes....seems like a good deal to me.
    • Aggie in CA 6 months ago
      Under normal conditions, this may be true. It is not true yet.
      Any investment in real estate should be for the long haul, 20 to 30 years.
    • SFBay 6 months ago
      Inflation protection yes. Deflation protection - just the opposite. We're headed into a recession (at very best a mild one) - recession are by nature deflationary.

      As the U.S. budget gets tighter, those tax deductions may very well end up as a thing of the past. Have you put that in your calculations?
  • Tiger  •  5 months ago
    There is never a good time to buy,renting is the only way. Ron Paul 2012,will make thing better.
  • Sheila  •  6 months ago
    If it is common knowledge that home prices and sales were artificially high due to phony appraisals and unethical lending practices. Why continue to compare this economy to a "artificial" economy and claim this one is bad. The fact is the current economy is just fine, it is real. Housing is in line with wages. Ten percent of the population will remain out of work because jobs are not "artificially" created by building houses that can only be sold thru poor lending practices.
    • S 6 months ago
      Your point that comparing to an "artificial" economy is well-taken, but that does not make the polar opposite true. Housing is most definitely not in line with wages in many communities. A median wage needs to be able to afford a median turn-key house.
    • Universe pal 6 months ago
      MAKE POLITICIANS LIVE ON MY EARNINGS
      PASS A RESOLUTION SHOWN BELOW
      1. The president, congress and senate shall be elected at the same time for six years.
      2. Take away powers of senators to filibuster, hold presidential appointments indefinitely and to deny president choice of his cabinet.
      3. Simple majority in the senate just like in the house passes the bill.
      4. The bill concerning economical agenda of the country shall not be combined with the non economical agenda.
      5. The national, state and local defense system shall be financed by the wealth tax. (Poor and middle class is already paying with their lives let wealthy pay with the tax on their wealth)
      6. Professional such as doctors, lawyers, engineers, accountants, real estate agents, auto mechanics etc. is to be licensed by the board consists of majority of the general public and the professionals themselves. The licensing board shall truly represent economic status of the society.
      7. Government employees to be disciplined/fired by the board consisting of the citizens.
      8. At the end of their six year term all politicians will be required to live for the next six years at the economic level representing general masses, i.e. if the unemployment is 9%, then 9% of the members of the senate and congress have to live on earnings equal to the earnings of 9% unemployed and 9% of the six year the president has to live on earnings equal to the earnings of 9% unemployed. If the under employment is 5%, then 5% of the members of the senate and congress have to live on earnings equal to the earnings of 5% underemployed and 5% of the six year of the time president has to live on earnings equal to the earnings of 5% underemployed. Similarly all other economic level of the society is to be reflected on what the members of the senate, congress and the president as a part of his six years will be required to live on earnings.
  • FKU  •  6 months ago
    The middle class is being destroyed. What did you think was going to happen to a housing market that is dominated by middle class buyers - some kind of miracle?
  • BB  •  6 months ago
    I just bought a foreclosure. Price I paid was less than 50% of what the house was sold for in 2006. I've been waiting to buy for several years, watching prices plummet. I don't know if we're at the bottom or not, but I figure 50% off peak bubble price was close enough. Got a 15 year fixed loan at 3.5%, my mortgage is right around what it would cost to rent a similar house.
  • DB  •  6 months ago
    Does anyone have an idea how many new homes are needed? How many people are there living in rentals or homeless? What is the population growth number that would lead to the need for new rental or home purchases? The point of my question is that if the population was static and if everyone was in a rental or owned home, there would be no need for a new house - even one! So, is the new home construction needed or not?
  • duuapn2  •  6 months ago
    Housing is not an investment. A house is a place to live. Its a choice of living arrangement that you should enjoy for what it is, not because the value goes up. That is a crazy concept!
  • ABSAFRIKINLUTELY  •  5 months ago
    how can October new housing STARTs be down, while new housing SALES are up. Great CYA theory
  • Aggie in CA  •  6 months ago
    If the average American worker earns $40,000 per year (and is falling), the medium price of houses, new or used, must continue to fall. That is a fact. Under this scenario, the highest house payment the average American worker could possibly afford, including taxes and insurance, is around $1,000 per month. Figure it out.
  • John  •  6 months ago
    Housing will be the least of everyones problems in the coming months. What is about to happen in our marvelous Frankinstein global economy will make 2008 look like a joke.
  • Patrick  •  6 months ago
    80% of Americans own less than 7% of the wealth. What is it that you don't understand?
  • A Yahoo! User  •  6 months ago
    Don't call them homes, call them houses. It drives the real estate shills crazy when you do! They've spent generations training people to call them homes, because the warm fuzzy feeling the word home imparts is worth 10% on the selling price, which is money in the real estate leech's pocket. Remember, it's a house until you buy it; you can make it a home after you move in!
  • better  •  6 months ago
    Thanks for all your years of service Congressman Frank. You tool.
  • John  •  6 months ago
    You can't expect home prices to stay at bubble levels when the the middle class is shrinking.
  • Methusaleh Bible  •  6 months ago
    Prices should be at 1990 levels. Real estate agents are still trying to fleece americans and the banks just can't bear to readjust. too bad so sad, let them rot at the high prices of three and four hundred thousand, or lower the price and get them sold. what do ya want?
  • mark  •  6 months ago
    It's amazing that in just one month all the worlds problems have been solved
 
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