Stocks tend to be most volatile around earnings season, when a good or bad report can make or break it. However, a good or even great earnings report doesn't necessarily translate into a huge pop for a stock.
During earnings season, BullMarket.com publishes a comprehensive 20- to 30-page Earnings Preview report for the week ahead each Friday.
Over the past year, BullMarket.com used the data it has collected to correctly predict investor reactions for approximately two-third of the stocks it's previewed.
In its latest earnings preview, BullMarket.com looks at several popular stocks, including Intel (INTC), Qualcomm (QCOM), Kinder Morgan (KMP), F5 Networks (FFIV), eBay (EBAY), Microsoft (MSFT), Inuitive Surgical (ISRG), Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) and Google (GOOG).
Here is just a tiny sample of what BullMarket.com wrote about Intel:
Intel is a semiconductor chipmaker company that develops advanced integrated digital technology products, primarily integrated circuits, for industries, such as computing and communications
The world's largest chipmaker reported a -13% drop in net income for its fiscal first quarter, but the decline was less than analysts had forecast. Revenue was steady.
The company reported a profit of $2.74 billion, or 53 cents per share, down from $3.16 billion, or 56 cents per share, a year earlier. The analyst consensus estimate was 50 cents per share.
Revenue was flat at $12.9 billion. Analysts were expecting it to decline to $12.8
Intel acquired the computer security company McAfee Inc. and a unit of Infineon AG last year, but the added revenue from those deals was offset one less sales week in the 2012 quarter compared with the year-earlier period.
Producers of laptops and PCs had to cut production during the period due to a shortage of hard drives, which reduced demand for Intel's core processors.
The company said it expected to report $13.1 billion to $14.1 billion in second- quarter revenue, with a midpoint of $13.6 billion, which topped the analyst forecast of $13.4 billion at the time. ...
Intel has topped analyst EPS estimates each quarter over the past two years. During that time, the stock has risen the next session four of eight quarters. Seasonally, the stock has risen three of the last four years. ...
Outside of earnings, investors seem to have finally started to warm up to Intel, as the stock has had a strong run since the start of September. There will continue to be some pressure from a weak consumer PC market in developed nations; however, the company has solid opportunities elsewhere.
We've said for awhile, we think Intel's ability to eventually be able to compete better versus ARM Holdings (ARMH) in the tablet and smartphone space should start to gain it some market share.
In addition, its new ultrabook strategy (ultrabooks are super-thin lap-tops, similar to the Macbook Air) looks like it could have a lot of potential, although it likely won't fully gain steam until 2013 when prices are expected to drop to around $600. The ecosystem for ultrabooks is also likely to squeeze out both ARM MPUs (microprocessing unit) in the category, as well as GPU (graphics processing unit) makers like NVIDIA (NVDA) and AMD (AMD). The company should also benefit from the introduction of Windows 8.
Data centers is a third area where Intel should do well with its new Crystal Forest integrated chip for embedded applications in the communications market. ...
The full BullMarket.com earnings analysis includes a look at historical earnings data and EPS trends for the companies above and more; examines past investor reactions to earnings in various contexts; gives options activity analysis; reviews previous-quarter earnings; and gives an opinion on both what earnings will look like and how investors will react based on the aforementioned data points.
Just a few of the recent correct calls BullMarket.com made for Q4 were:
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