Mon, May 28, 2012, 6:50 PM EDT - U.S. Markets closed for Memorial Day

Stronger job market could boost economy further

Drop in unemployment claims points to another month of strong hiring, lifting overall economy

WASHINGTON (AP) -- The healthier job market that's lifted the economy in recent months shows no signs of slowing.

Applications for unemployment aid are near a four-year low, raising expectations of further hiring gains. The news Thursday helped catapult the Dow Jones industrial average to its highest close since May 2008.

More jobs and tame inflation are giving consumers more buying power. Their higher spending could further boost growth and lower the unemployment rate for February for a sixth straight month.

Even the troubled housing market is benefiting. Builders expect improved sales in the near future. In response, they're planning to break ground on more homes.

"The housing starts and unemployment claims numbers add to the belief that the economy is shifting gears," said Joel Naroff, president of Naroff Economic Advisers. "The decline in the unemployment rate is real, and it should continue."

A series of positive economic reports Thursday reinforced that message:

— Weekly applications for unemployment benefits fell to a seasonally adjusted 348,000, the Labor Department said. That's the lowest level since March 2008. Unemployment applications have dropped 11 percent in four months.

— Builders broke ground in January on a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 699,000 homes, the Commerce Department said. That nearly matches November's three-year high. Single-family home construction cooled off slightly after a big jump in December.

— Factory activity in the Philadelphia region grew in February at the fastest pace in five months, a survey by the Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank found. That followed a report that showed a third straight month of factory growth in the New York region.

— Wholesale prices were largely unchanged in January, Commerce said. While gas prices are rising, they've been offset by falling costs for electricity, home heating oil and natural gas. Most economists see inflation as little threat.

Many analysts are growing more optimistic about the job growth the government will report next month for February. Some say the net job gains could match or top January's. Employers added 243,000 net jobs in January, the most in nine months. In the past three months, the economy has produced an average of about 200,000 jobs.

Naroff said the unemployment rate, now at 8.3 percent, could drop below 8 percent by year's end.

An improving job market is crucial to the recovery. It boosts incomes, enabling consumers to spend more. Job growth has already helped boost car sales in the past three months.

If it continues, stronger hiring might also convince more people that it's a good time to buy a home — a notion that many have resisted since the housing market went bust four years ago.

Single-family home construction rose over the final three months of 2011 to its highest level in a year and a half. The steady, if modest, gains have made builders more confident about their prospects than they've been in nearly five years.

Construction of single-family homes did slip in January. But builders requested permits for those homes at the fastest rate in a year. That shows that many anticipate more buyers over the next 12 months — roughly the time it takes to build a single-family home once a permit is obtained.

Part of the rebound in home construction can be attributed to unusually warm winter weather. This January was the fourth-warmest in more than a century of record keeping.

But Rick Judson, a homebuilder in Charlotte, N.C., says the improved job market has made him more hopeful about 2012. He's already seeing more in interest from potential buyers.

"People are more willing to get out of their cubby holes and think about buying a home," said Judson, 61, who has owned his homebuilding company for nearly three decades. "When we see the job market stabilize, I think we're going to see a surge in home-buying."

Some economists still worry that Europe's financial crisis and rising gas prices could steal some momentum from the recovery. That's pretty much what happened last year, when the economy sputtered in early summer after beginning the year with solid job gains.

Gas prices have picked up in recent weeks. The average price for a gallon of gas was $3.52 Thursday. That's up 14 cents from a month earlier.

"January was a good month," Paul Ashworth, an economist at Capital Economics said. "But we have had good months before. The question is how resilient the economy is."

 
  • Running Elk  •  Richardson, Texas  •  3 months ago
    Catapilier just shut down their facility in our town, I can't speak for other parts of the country, but I can tell you there is no economic recovery in this town to speak of. 80% of our downtown is antique stores, pawn shops, and liquor stores, and we just lost 50 more jobs.
  • emanon  •  3 months ago
    Have fun Spending $5.00 gas soon to get to that $12.00 Hr no Benefits job.
    • Jack 3 months ago
      My car gets 32 mpg, and I live 1.5 mi. from where I work.
      My friend's pickup gets maybe 15-17 mpg, and he lives 54 mi. from work.
      Stupid is, as stupid does. But hey, he's living the life he chooses.
    • Ron 3 months ago
      Solution: Buy an electric car and then carpool in it. You will get nearly 100 miles per gallon. However, since you'll be carpooling, you'll get the equivalent of 200 mpg. The gas savings will make up for the cost of the car and then some. Problem solved. You have every right to choose to not follow this plan and drive any car you wish, no matter how few miles per gallon it gets. Afterall, it's a free country. By the same notion of freedom, gas companies have every right to charge the prices they wish to (being a free economy that works on supply and demand). All the best to you.
    • Festus 3 months ago
      My former employer deserves credit for knowing how to compete in the global economy. He reduced wages, eliminated all the retirement benefits and the fired everyone over 50.
  • Chillipepper  •  Los Angeles, California  •  3 months ago
    Many companies are retrenching and cutting down their cost in order to stay profitable. You will see more downsizing in the coming month. Notice that most quarterly reports did not give any positive news for 2012
  • Traderpro2003  •  3 months ago
    Boost what? Some sees a recovery or are we taking about the b*s recoveryless recovery 2.0?
  • bill  •  3 months ago
    This economy is broke the high price of gasoline and diesel wiped out any recovery. Remember Americans This Memorial Day 3 day weekend is National Shove that Gas Boycott not one American reading this will purchace any gasoline or diesel fuel for all 3 days let that stuff come out there greedy ears. We will send a powerful message to Wall Street,Big Oil,OPEC and Washington we are sick and tired of being ripped off and DEMAND Gasoline prices of $1.75 not a penny more so we can finally bring jobs and our economy back. Pass the word.
  • yahoo user  •  Baltimore, Maryland  •  3 months ago
    Perhaps you are unaware that when you run out of unemployement you can not reapply unless you had a job...So claims are down...Perhaps you not aware that all the folks on extended are not in the claim number...This is really sad how much propaganda is being written to make the FEEL good stuff...What happened to truth in journalism???/ Nixon would never of had to resign with you jokers pretending to be reporters...Too bad you can see the real story...Go get a pat on the head and a cookie...your a good schill
  • Obobo  •  3 months ago
    And what about all those college kids protesting as part of the OWS bunch? I thought one of the things they're complaining about is that they can't get jobs. Now most of these kids haven't been working a full time job, so they can't file for unemployment and don't show up on the government's unemployment numbers. What's more, Obama is telling us that if we want jobs all we have to do is get educated or trained in a different field of expertise. Ok, now think about that for a second, if all those college grads can't get jobs with the degrees they just earned, what good is it going to do for an unemploymed person to go back to college and earn a degree? It's like they have a whole room full of electricians that are being told if they get retrained as plumbers they'll be able to find jobs, then they go next door and tell a room full of plumbers if they get retrained as electricians they'll be able to find jobs.
    We have record numbers of people on welfare, record numbers collecting food stamps, record number of people living at or below the poverty line, medium wages are down, forclosures are increasing out of control inflation, record energy prices, and they want us to believe everything is great because the unemployment number is slightly down, due mostly to people's benefits running out?
  • DW  •  3 months ago
    Okay, tell me this. If unemployment is really on the way down and people are really finding jobs, why is Obama pushing to extend unemployment benefits... again?
    • MR. INDEPENDENT. 3 months ago
      Because 10 million lost jobs during the Bush depression.
  • cute  •  3 months ago
    Obama 4 more years
  • Mark  •  3 months ago
    Hey Yahoo censorship. Strong economy? $4 a gallon gas and $8 an hour jobs are not a strong economy.
    • Drake 3 months ago
      Oh please, another entitlement attitude. People perform more laboriously and for so much less in other countries. Suck up your pride, seriously. And about the gas prices, big deal. Just find ways to cut out and save money in other aspects of your life to offset the increase in gas. I took the time to figure out how I could save in every way possible and I don't work for much money, yet I'm doing just fine (and gas is almost $5 where I live). People like you expect everything to be handed to you - high paying jobs and cheap everything. Who do you think you are? LOL. Considering what's happening in the rest of the world, yeah we have an economy that's showing some strength.
    • bill 3 months ago
      Work a full day at $8hr. isn,t even enough to fill a gas tank.
    • Mark 3 months ago
      Drake, you are obviously a deranged Obozo zombie. Go back to drinking your kool-aid and having sex with yourself stupid loser clown.
  • anonymous  •  New York, New York  •  3 months ago
    They have made so much profit from all the people who invested in their stockI invested almost $10,000.00 and it all became to pennies where is all that money from the old stock of
    gmThey should payback the monies for what people invested in their company in 2008-2010 before their new stock came up as a new ipoI will never wish them well as they took all my money, Me thinking in 2008 if I would invest in the company I will make it up for me and my kids for their future. All my savings for my kids is gone I have to start all over again for the future of my kids.Its a #$%$ GM I will be honest I Bought a chevy van & a car malibu Investing in the company thinking if I will Invest God will Help them come out of Bankruptcy atleast I am a shareholder But Instead I got BOOTED in my #$%$ for my investment in old GM stockI dont know how many people are in the same boat as I am. I think they should atleast do something for the old investors who beliebed in their stocks

    Prakash Hundalani
  • Traderpro2003  •  3 months ago
    Unemployment benefit numbers are as misleading as 10% unemployment when it's really 20%. Yeah, we're winning the war on terror and in Afpakiraqistan, too. My assets.
  • JimT  •  3 months ago
    Republicans Ignore Facts and Their Own Record as Democrats Strengthen Economy, Work to Create More Jobs
  • JimT  •  3 months ago
    Here's a brief look at some of that history. When President George W. Bush took office, President Clinton passed onto him a unified federal budget with a $236 billion surplus. Budget surpluses were projected for at least the next ten years. We were actually poised to be able to start paying down the national debt, instead of adding to it.

    When President Bush left office, he handed President Obama a $1.3 trillion deficit. Even larger deficits were projected for the next ten years. The economy was on the verge of complete meltdown. How did President Bush and his Republican allies in Congress turn billions of dollars in surplus into more than a trillion dollars of deficit? They cut taxes for the rich, deeply, not once but twice. They entered two wars. They paid for none of it. The cost for all of it was simply put on the national credit card.

    During the Bush years, they ran up more national debt than all the Presidents before him - combined!
  • Ray  •  Rolling Meadows, Illinois  •  3 months ago
    "Stronger job market"---hahahahahahahahahahahahaha---#$%$
  • Rick  •  3 months ago
    If it's good news, it must be WRONG! Nothing, no way, no how will change my mind.
    • bob308 3 months ago
      Reality can really stink
    • Badger10 3 months ago
      I thought that unemployment went up when the unemployed cam back into the job market. Should also note that volume on the break yesterday was almost twice the volume on the rally today.
    • Badger10 3 months ago
      If this was a typical business recession I could believe that this job creation was sustainable. But in a deleveraging recession grow stays slow for a lengthy period of time. Hard to pay down a 15 trillion dollar national debt on projected slow growth!
  • z  •  3 months ago
    Job market is steadily improving which is BAD news for GOP.
    • Jeffrey 3 months ago
      Keep drinking the Democrat Koolaid and you will have half of the nothing you have now!
    • MR. INDEPENDENT. 3 months ago
      By election 70% will be voting democratic, the gop field make bozo the clown look smart.
  • me  •  Richardson, Texas  •  3 months ago
    Who cares no one can afford to eat or drive to work, we got those 10,000 jobs.
  • bob308  •  3 months ago
    The unemployment rate is at 8.3%, now let's end tax benefits to corporations like Apple that have 500,000 employees in communist China but significantly less in America.
  • Dan Austin  •  3 months ago
    This article is based on false assumptions. The ACTUAL numbers of employed people dropped in January 2012 from December 2011.

    The 'official' percentage of unemployment dropped for two reasons. One is that 1.2 million jobless fell off the roles in January and are no longer counted in the unempolyment calculations. The other is that 'seasonal adjustment' claimed that nonexistent jobs were 'created' that do not exist in reality.

    But the phony numbers are considered good news. The stock market goes up, and Obama is viewed as an economic hero. Yay!
 
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