US Dollar Traders Hold Record Long Position; Reversal Risk is High

DailyFX

View COT data in MT4

Latest CFTC Release dated March 12, 2013:

Week (Data for Tuesdays)

52 week Percentile / Comment (if applicable)

US Dollar

100 – non-commercial USD longs reach a record

Euro

65

British Pound

0-COT index is lowest since October 2011

Australian Dollar

84

Japanese Yen

10

Canadian Dollar

2- COT index is lowest since March 2007

Swiss Franc

31

Gold

14

Silver

25

Copper

8

Crude

84

The COT Index is the difference between net speculative positioning and net commercial positioning measured. A light blue colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bullish) with speculators selling and commercials buying. A light red colored bar indicates that the difference in positioning is the greatest it has been in 52 weeks (bearish) with speculators buying and commercials selling. Crosses above and below 0 are in bold. Non commercials tend to be on the wrong side at the turn and commercials the correct side. Use of the index is covered closely in detail in my book.

Charts

Non Commercials (speculators) – Red

Commercials – Blue

Small Speculators – White

COTDiff (COT Index) – White

US Dollar

View gallery

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US_Dollar_Traders_Hold_Record_Long_Position_Reversal_Risk_is_High_body_usd.png, US Dollar Traders Hold Record Long Position; Reversal Risk is High

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Euro

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US_Dollar_Traders_Hold_Record_Long_Position_Reversal_Risk_is_High_body_eur.png, US Dollar Traders Hold Record Long Position; Reversal Risk is High

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

British Pound

View gallery

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US_Dollar_Traders_Hold_Record_Long_Position_Reversal_Risk_is_High_body_GBP.png, US Dollar Traders Hold Record Long Position; Reversal Risk is High

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Australian Dollar

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US_Dollar_Traders_Hold_Record_Long_Position_Reversal_Risk_is_High_body_AUD.png, US Dollar Traders Hold Record Long Position; Reversal Risk is High

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Japanese Yen

View gallery

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US_Dollar_Traders_Hold_Record_Long_Position_Reversal_Risk_is_High_body_JPY.png, US Dollar Traders Hold Record Long Position; Reversal Risk is High

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Canadian Dollar

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US_Dollar_Traders_Hold_Record_Long_Position_Reversal_Risk_is_High_body_cad.png, US Dollar Traders Hold Record Long Position; Reversal Risk is High

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Swiss Franc

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US_Dollar_Traders_Hold_Record_Long_Position_Reversal_Risk_is_High_body_chf.png, US Dollar Traders Hold Record Long Position; Reversal Risk is High

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Gold

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US_Dollar_Traders_Hold_Record_Long_Position_Reversal_Risk_is_High_body_gold.png, US Dollar Traders Hold Record Long Position; Reversal Risk is High

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Silver

View gallery

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US_Dollar_Traders_Hold_Record_Long_Position_Reversal_Risk_is_High_body_silver.png, US Dollar Traders Hold Record Long Position; Reversal Risk is High

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Copper

View gallery

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US_Dollar_Traders_Hold_Record_Long_Position_Reversal_Risk_is_High_body_copper.png, US Dollar Traders Hold Record Long Position; Reversal Risk is High

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

Crude

View gallery

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US_Dollar_Traders_Hold_Record_Long_Position_Reversal_Risk_is_High_body_crude.png, US Dollar Traders Hold Record Long Position; Reversal Risk is High

Chart prepared by Jamie Saettele, CMT

--- Written by Jamie Saettele, CMT, Senior Technical Strategist for DailyFX.com

To contact Jamie e-mail jsaettele@dailyfx.com. Follow me on Twitter for real time updates @JamieSaettele

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Jamie is the author of Sentiment in the Forex Market.

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