Should Value Investors Pick AMC Networks (AMCX)?

Value investing is easily one of the most popular ways to find great stocks in any market environment. After all, who wouldn’t want to find stocks that are either flying under the radar and are compelling buys, or offer up tantalizing discounts when compared to fair value?

One way to find these companies is by looking at several key metrics and financial ratios, many of which are crucial in the value stock selection process. Let’s put AMC Networks Inc. AMCX stock into this equation and find out if it is a good choice for value-oriented investors right now, or if investors subscribing to this methodology should look elsewhere for top picks:

PE Ratio

A key metric that value investors always look at is the Price to Earnings Ratio, or PE for short. This shows us how much investors are willing to pay for each dollar of earnings in a given stock, and is easily one of the most popular financial ratios in the world. The best use of the PE ratio is to compare the stock’s current PE ratio with: a) where this ratio has been in the past; b) how it compares to the average for the industry/sector; and c) how it compares to the market as a whole.

On this front, AMC Networks has a trailing twelve months PE ratio of 11.68, as you can see in the chart below:

This level actually compares pretty favorably with the market at large, as the PE for the S&P 500 compares in at about 20.43. If we focus on the stock’s long-term PE trend, the current level puts AMC Networks’ current PE ratio below its midpoint over the past five years, with the number having fallen rapidly over the past few months.

Further, the stock’s PE also compares favorably with the Zacks classified Computer Broadcasting – Radio/TV industry’s trailing twelve months PE ratio, which stands at 23.71. At the very least, this indicates that the stock is relatively undervalued right now, compared to its peers.

We should also point out that AMC Networks has a forward PE ratio (price relative to this year’s earnings) of just 9.47, so it is fair to say that a slightly more value-oriented path may be ahead for AMC Networks stock in the near term too.

P/S Ratio

Another key metric to note is the Price/Sales ratio. This approach compares a given stock’s price to its total sales, where a lower reading is generally considered better. Some people like this metric more than other value-focused ones because it looks at sales, something that is far harder to manipulate with accounting tricks than earnings.

Right now, AMC Networks has a P/S ratio of about 1.53. This is much lower than the S&P 500 average, which comes in at 3.10 right now. Also, as we can see in the chart below, this is well below the highs for this stock in particular over the past few years.

If anything, AMCX is in the lower end of its range in the time period from a P/S metric, suggesting some level of undervalued trading—at least compared to historical norms.

P/CF Ratio

An often overlooked ratio that can still be a great indicator of value is the price/cash flow metric. This ratio doesn’t take amortization and depreciation into account, so can give a more accurate picture of the financial health in a business. This is a preferred metric to some valuation investors because cash flows are (a) generally less prone to manipulation by the company’s management and (b) are less affected by variation in accounting policies between different companies.

The ratio is generally applied to find out whether a company’s stock is overpriced or underpriced with reference to its cash flows generation potential compared with its competitors. However, it is not commonly used for cross-industry comparison, as the average price to cash flow ratio varies from industry to industry.

In this case, AMC Networks’ P/CF ratio of 3.39 is much lower than the Zacks classified Broadcasting – Radio/TV industry average of 32.25, which indicates that the stock is undervalued in this respect too.

Broad Value Outlook

In aggregate, AMC Networks currently has a Zacks Value Style Score of ‘A’, putting it into the top 20% of all stocks we cover from this look. This makes AMC Networks a solid choice for value investors, and some of its other key metrics make this pretty clear too.

For example, the PEG ratio for AMC Networks is just 1.05, a level that is far lower than the industry average of 2.76. The PEG ratio is a modified PE ratio that takes into account the stock’s earnings growth rate. Clearly, AMCX is a solid choice on the value front from multiple angles.

What About the Stock Overall?

Though AMC Networks might be a good choice for value investors, there are plenty of other factors to consider before investing in this name. In particular, it is worth noting that the company has a Growth grade of ‘D’ and a Momentum score of ‘A’. This gives AMCX a Zacks VGM score—or its overarching fundamental grade—of ‘B’. (You can read more about the Zacks Style Scores here >>)

Meanwhile, the company’s recent earnings estimates have been mixed at best. The current quarter has seen no estimates go higher in the past sixty days compared to one lower, while the full year estimate has seen four up and three down in the same time period.

This has had a significant impact on the consensus estimate though as the current quarter consensus estimate has fallen by 7.6% in the past two months, while the full year estimate has risen by 4.3%. You can see the consensus estimate trend and recent price action for the stock in the chart below:

AMC Networks Inc. Price and Consensus

AMC Networks Inc. Price and Consensus | AMC Networks Inc. Quote

This somewhat mixed trend is why the stock has just a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) and why we are looking for in-line performance from the company in the near term.

Bottom Line

AMC Networks is an inspired choice for value investors, as it is hard to beat its incredible lineup of statistics on this front. Moreover, a strong industry rank (Top 38% compared to over 250 industries) further underlines the potential of the company overall. In fact, over the past six months, the Zacks Broadcasting – Radio/TV industry has clearly outperformed the broader market, as you can see below:

However, a Zacks Rank #3 indicates analysts have some apprehensions about the stock in the immediate future. So, value investors might want to wait for estimates and analyst sentiment to turn around in this name first, but once that happens, this stock could be a compelling pick.

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