Wall Street Transcript Interview with Andrew Coleman, Managing Director at Raymond James & Associates, Inc.: U.S. Oil Supply Outstrips Sluggish Global Demand Growth

Wall Street Transcript

67 WALL STREET, New York - June 28, 2013 - The Wall Street Transcript has just published its Oil & Gas Review 2013 Report offering a timely review of the sector to serious investors and industry executives. This special feature contains expert industry commentary through in-depth interviews with public company CEOs and Equity Analysts. The full issue is available by calling (212) 952-7433 or via The Wall Street Transcript Online.

Topics covered: Increasing Demand for Midstream Assets - U.S. Energy Infrastructure Build Out - Emerging Shale Plays - Oil and Gas Transportation Infrastructure Demand - Master Limited Partnerships Distribution Growth - Outlook for Natural Gas Liquids - Low Treasury Yields and MLP Dividends

Companies include: Anadarko Petroleum Corp. (APC), PetroQuest Energy Inc. (PQ), EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG), Continental Resources Inc. (CLR), Denbury Resources Inc. (DNR), Cabot Oil & Gas Corp. (COG), Range Resources Corp. (RRC), Southwestern Energy Co. (SWN), Ultra Petroleum Corp. (UPL), Forest Oil Corp. (FST), Clayton Williams Energy Inc. (CWEI), Berry Petroleum Co. (BRY)

In the following excerpt from the Oil & Gas Review 2013 Report, an expert analyst discusses the outlook for the sector for investors:

TWST: What is your general advice to energy investors on how to play the space in 2013? What kinds of names should people be looking for and which might they want to avoid?

Mr. Coleman: My coverage universe is 21 E&P companies, primarily U.S. based, some as large as Anadarko (APC) down to my smallest company PetroQuest (PQ). Given the uncertainty in our view on where commodities are going, I tend to like folks that have a bigger, more diversified asset base, better execution track record and lower leverage, so like EOG Resources (EOG). I'd love to see a catalyst on the short-term side of things, just to underpin what the company has been doing operationally, so a name like Anadarko is very topical right now.

But looking the oil and gas sectors, respectively, EOG is probably my favorite gas name because of its great balance sheet, good growth and very technically respected operational and management teams. There's potential takeout there as well, given the size of the firm and the breadth of the asset base, but it would be a huge transaction for someone to digest.

On the oil side, I'd look at someone like Continental Resources (CLR). Short term, they'll grow almost 60% in 2012. Their forecast for 2013 is north of 30%. They have the balance sheet to withstand outspending by about $1 billion next year by our model. And if you want to go a little bit longer term, Denbury Resources (DNR) is attractive on the oil side given the large resource potential management is ramping up through its tertiary oil operations.

On the gas side, I'd start to look at players that are in the most attractive basins. And based on what I've seen from an IRR standpoint, the Marcellus is the best-returning gas play out there. Players like Cabot (COG) and Range (RRC) have the biggest exposure there, with perhaps Southwestern (SWN) or Ultra Petroleum (UPL) too. I have all of those rated as "market perform" given the high valuations they all trade at and given our gas call is still not very bullish. Still, they are worth keeping an eye on if fundamentals keep improving.

TWST: Which names are you not recommending?

Mr. Coleman: I have "underperforms" on three stocks...

For more of this interview and many others visit the Wall Street Transcript - a unique service for investors and industry researchers - providing fresh commentary and insight through verbatim interviews with CEOs, portfolio managers and research analysts. This special issue is available by calling (212) 952-7433 or via The Wall Street Transcript Online.

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