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    Why the big talk about small business is wrong

    Politicians tout role of small businesses in job creation, but the reality is more complex

    Fantasy Finance

    NEW YORK (AP) -- Mitt Romney says they're "job creators" and vows to come to their aid as president. Newt Gingrich visited them on his "jobs and growth" bus tour. President Barack Obama calls them "the engine of our economy."

    If there's one thing Republicans and Democrats agree on, it's that small business is the answer to what ails the economy. On these tiny bundles of entrepreneurial energy, they say, rides the nation's hope for lower unemployment and faster economic growth.

    But the work of several economists suggests that most small businesses are not particularly adept at creating jobs, at least not the best jobs. The work also suggests their role in generating national wealth has been exaggerated.

    The problem is that not all small businesses are created equal. Businesses just getting off the ground contribute most of the country's job growth, but older small businesses cut as many as they add.

    Think Bill Gates and Paul Allen huddled together late nights developing Microsoft, not the corner liquor store.

    "I don't want to pick on dry cleaners and restaurants and small manufacturing firms, but they're not a big source of job creation," says John Haltiwanger, an economist at the University of Maryland.

    Politicians like to say that small companies create two of every three jobs in a given year. That's less impressive when you consider that almost all the 6 million companies in the U.S. — 99.9 percent of them — are small businesses, with fewer than 500 workers.

    What's more, two-out-of-three masks the fact that most small businesses eliminate more jobs than they create in a given year, either through layoffs, closings or bankruptcy.

    And many of the rest, the ones that don't shrink or shut down, don't offer much hope for the millions of Americans looking for jobs.

    Many small companies — outfits like florists, hardware stores and barbershops — tend to grow with the U.S. population, not faster. So they don't speed the economic recovery the way an exploding new industry might.

    According to an August study by two University of Chicago economists, most small business owners just want to be their own boss and never expect to hire more than a few employees.

    In fact, the more you study the numbers, the more you wonder what the politicians are getting so excited about.

    Haltiwanger and two other economists showed, in a study of millions of companies over 30 years, that small businesses no more than five years old — that's about 40 percent of them — are the only ones that create more jobs each year than they cut.

    In 2005, for instance, more than 99 percent of the 2.5 million net new private-sector jobs in the United States came from these startups, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.

    But the 60 percent of small businesses that have been around more than five years act as a slight drag on the number of jobs available in the United States. They have cut about 0.5 percent more staff than they have added in a typical year, according to Haltiwanger.

    By contrast, big businesses, the ones that get all the headlines for layoffs, have hired more than they have cut — about 0.1 percent in a typical year.

    Economist Charles Kenny of the New America Foundation, a nonpartisan research group, goes as far as suggesting that Washington should stop offering certain incentives to small business owners, such as loan guarantees and write-offs on taxes for home offices. He says the money would be better spent subsidizing research and development.

    "If you want jobs, you have to focus on the innovative firms trying to provide something new and different," he says.

    The country's unemployment rate is 8.3 percent, the lowest in three years. But the U.S. still has 5.6 million fewer jobs than before the recession. Assuming the pace of hiring from last year continues, it will take three years to recover all the lost jobs.

    Small businesses aren't helping much. They cut more workers than they hired in all but three months last year, and contributed zero to job gains again in January, according to a survey by the National Federal of Independent Business.

    To change that record, Republicans say Obama needs to cut federal rules and paperwork that are burdensome for small businesses that don't have human resource departments, legal staff and vast resources like big businesses.

    To comply with federal regulations on the environment, for instance, companies with fewer than 20 workers spent $4,101 per worker in 2008, or 4½ times more than companies employing 500 or more, according to the Small Business Administration.

    The same study showed these businesses spent three times more per worker on tax preparation than did their larger counterparts.

    "As regulatory complexity increases, it's hard on small firms," says William Dunkelberg, chief economist at the National Federation of Independent Business, a group closely allied with Republicans. "We need to get government out of the way."

    But many economists think the root of the job problem is deeper.

    Again, it's the difference between old small businesses and new small ones, and the U.S. is not creating enough of the new ones.

    It was true even before the Great Recession: The number of startups less than a year old was no higher in the boom year of 2006 than it was 30 years ago, when the economy was much smaller, according to the Census Bureau. And the ones that are launching are hiring fewer people, too.

    The grim takeaway is that the U.S. could struggle with high unemployment long after a pickup in economic growth.

    Even the idea that small businesses play an outsized role in the economy has come under attack lately.

    A study from the left-leaning Center for Economic and Policy Research shows that the self-employed worker, that rugged exemplar of the small businessperson, accounted for less of the working population in the U.S. than in the other 20 rich countries tracked, except for Luxembourg.

    Another study by economists at Harvard and Dartmouth suggests that might not be such a bad thing because poorer countries are more likely to have a higher share of their workers self-employed.

    Adding fuel to the argument, Kelly Edmiston, an economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, showed that workers at small businesses are more likely to lose their jobs and less likely to have vacation days, retirement plans and a range of other benefits, including health care. Some 41 percent of companies employing less than 100 people offered no medical insurance at all.

    So, myths about job creation aside, why isn't the U.S. launching more startups? The risky economy, regulations or health care costs — a bigger burden for small companies — could be scaring them off.

    Haltiwanger thinks demographics may be at work. He says businesses are often started by people in their 30s and 40s. So as the population ages and more baby boomers retire, the number of startups falls.

    "We're a roll-the-dice economy. It has a lot of spillover effects," he says. "But we're not experimenting enough."

     

    93 comments

    • Patrick  •  Beijing, China  •  3 months ago
      The fact is that SBs can fail very quickly, especially those with employee-heavy requirements such as restaurants, bars, light manufacturing and retail. I own a newly minted small business myself, and I would say that most people don't understand how hard it is to make it work year in year out. Gaining an employee is easy; but it is a big responsibility and tough to produce the revenue necessary to maintain that employee.
      • Lacy Bookeater 3 months ago
        Many entrepreneurs who are serial business starters, meaning they start businesses and fail, so they start another... try, try, again... are not that far removed from being gambling addicts. A professional gambler fully understands the game, his odds, how to read others, and when to fold before you lose much.... gambling addicts never do.

        What so many people who start businesses do is they overestimate their own resources and capacity... they underestimate how much money they'll really need, how much time per day it will take to do, and how much time in the long-term it will take to establish a business, and how much help they can expect from others.
    • Charlie  •  Nashville, Tennessee  •  3 months ago
      Didn't most of the big bussiness started out small?????
      • RONNIE 3 months ago
        Just what I was thinking. And the article suggest that just because small bussineses are 99% of companies but "only" provides 2 out of 3 jobs diminishes their importance?????
      • _ 3 months ago
        Well managed ones yes. But not all small businesses are created equal which was the general idea of the article.
      • WalterW 3 months ago
        Yes, just like all adults were once babies, all large businesses were once small.
    • Mdvlstn  •  3 months ago
      Burdens on small business cutting into their ability to survive....How about bank transaction fees charged for every credit card transaction....the cost is now close to my food cost for a small resturaunt....we do the work (run the cards.....batch out the report)...Banks and processing companies skim off percentage points of money....for what......Five thousand dollars a month so they can give out rewards acting like it's their money they are giving you....guess what...they stole it from all the business's accepting their cards...and they don't have the decency to ask...they just take....keep strangling small business's .... give the breaks to the large corporations....you know negotiated contracts for lower prices on anything because they buy in volume....but the little guy....FULL price....Yeah that's what i call a level playing field
      • A Yahoo! User 3 months ago
        we had that problem. got rid of all but cash sales! doing much better now!
      • Tony 3 months ago
        I agree with some of your disappointment with credit card costs, but an older relative of mine told me that a lot of small businesses back in his day were robbed often, or the building was burglarized to get to the cash. He said credit card receipts were of no use to thieves and they ignored the receipts, which meant the business lost less money to the thieves. Employees would steal cash from the business too.
        .
        You might not like the cost of the credit card, but you should talk to law enforcement regularly about how to protect yourself against criminal theft of the cash your business takes in.
    • Cotton  •  Lafayette, Louisiana  •  3 months ago
      What I have noticed in my lifetime is that when a large business opens up, there are many small business's that spring up around it that support it in some way or another. It may be eating establishments, mechanic shops, grocery stores to supply the many workers in the larger business, or any number of small family type business's that it takes to make a community work where you have larger industry. They really work hand in hand, but people that patronize a small business usually have an income from another source such as industry or larger corporations.
      • WalterW 3 months ago
        I guess you have never witnessed what happens to small businesses when a large business like Walmart, Home Depot, or Lowes opens up in a small town. Seeing as how you are from Louisiana I would be willing to guess that 47% of those income sources patronizing those businesses, both large and small, are Govt. subsidized incomes.
      • Anonymous 3 months ago
        only true if the big business isn't a competitor that steals the small businesses customers, as is very common
      • A 3 months ago
        @WalterW Same thing happens in big towns, too. There are nearly zero independent shoe stores, book stores or hardware stores left. When PF Chang's and Olive Garden finally wipe out all the local take-out, the homogenization of the US will be complete.
    • zoe  •  Wilkesboro, North Carolina  •  3 months ago
      Let's refute this entire article. Pay attention as this is a complex economic calculation. 1 million new small businesses that employ only the owner will produce approximately 1 million new jobs. Check the math and lets help these folks.
      • Tony 3 months ago
        When the sole employee of a small business gets profitable business that is more than he can handle alone, he will hire an employee to help him, thus doubling the number of jobs created by small business.
    • MICHAELC  •  Riverview, Florida  •  3 months ago
      The problem I see with small business is government. They pass laws and regulations but don't bother to enforce them. I spend alot of time competing with creep competitors that don't carry proper insurance, don't give medical and dental insurance to workers, don't pay a decent wage or bonuses, don't pay to train there workers and cheat on taxes. With only 7 employees I'm a few hundred k down to start with every year. I have to raise my employees like children because their families did not. I would love to hire more but how many can I handle at once and how do I handle all the #$%$ with taxes, insurance etc and train more. I am lucky that my folks are loyal and they try to be the best but the load is getting heavy.
    • Bill B  •  Macon, Georgia  •  3 months ago
      Small Businesses stay small on purpose to avoid the cost of growth (ie Government regulations). It simply costs too much to grow. After 14 mildly successful years I am seriously thinking of getting rid of everyone and going back to business at home. It was way simpler and much more profitable. Maybe in the future it we'll have a better environment for growing businesses but the IRS and Dept of Labor will have to get their hands out of the till.
    • john C  •  Tampa, Florida  •  3 months ago
      no kidding... this large A/C manufacturing plant moves to Mexico.. That large appliance manufacturer moves to China..This large telephone call center moves to India, that large fabric/clothing manufacturer moves to China,., This large chip maker moves to Taiwan..... TV's, Cars, pillows, towels, razors, whatever it is.. everything that requires any large body of workers to do the job... has bee outsourced.. over 30 years... or more... and accelerated in the last ten. WHY? the high cost of the American worker, thanks to liberal gimme giveaways and labor laws and LAWYERS,, and the almost COMPLETE lack of protectionism from cheap foreign goods - again, poor govt policy.. we r doomed.
    • Renard  •  3 months ago
      These people are just unbelievable, and for that matter, so full of themselves! I guess I should just tell my boss to close down his 3 manufacturing plants because John Haltiwanger, economic Wunderkind from Maryland, says that the jobs he provides aren't the "best" jobs! It is no wonder that so many of the "Millionaires Next Door" are only high school grads, because they obviously didn't know any better! Looks to me like if you get a degree in economics (Diane Swonk aside, she is the best!), you lose all your common sense.
      And, while I'm telling my boss he's got it all wrong, I'm also going to start a campaign to tell the 400,000+ EXPORTING German "Mittelstand" manufacturing companies (traditionally less than 255 employees) that Herr Haltiwanger knows better, and that they'd better start planning their demise!
      With "friends" giving us advice like these idiots, I'd sure hate to hear what our enemies say!
    • MICHAELC  •  Riverview, Florida  •  3 months ago
      It's really great that folks that never ran a business or made payroll can look a statistics and tell us how the world should be. The idiot with the plan for new products being created and produced by a startup big business proves that he should stop thinking and speaking and get some real education and experience.
    • Jerry  •  3 months ago
      of course the solution is for allof us to become government union empolyees. that's where national wealth is created.
    • Tim  •  3 months ago
      Chicago economists??...............hahaha
      obviously they prefer Omamas failed economic agenda.
    • Anonymous  •  3 months ago
      why would someone start a small business when most sectors are consolidating and dominated by a handful of large, often global competitors? the politicians are the last people to realize that if you let large companies send jobs offshore, and make small businesses have to compete with them, there is going to be no job creation in america.
    • dave  •  3 months ago
      Let's worry about getting them paying jobs before we worry about vacation days, shall we? The bias in these AP articles these days is ridiculous! All of us out here in the country work at smaller companies. My 75 year "old" small biz grew our head count 21% last year ! 27 jobs with vacation, and ridiculously expensive health benefits.
      People who write left wing propaganda like this are not helping. Go away. Come back when YOU'VE created some jobs!
    • RONNIE  •  3 months ago
      As Charlie below says "Didn't most big businesses start out as small ones?" This article suggest that because small businesses represent 99% of the total but only provide 66% of the jobs, that they somehow aren't as important. Ridiculous logic, ridiculour article.
    • Ronald  •  Sacramento, California  •  3 months ago
      Idiot Alert........Self Employed Carpenters, Appraiser's, Contractor's, Janitor's, lawn companies, Resturanteur's, hairstylist's, etc....are the American Dream. If you can dream it up....and are willing to risk your own capital and hard work....you can be successful. Just that Govt. has been making it harder and harder due to rising regulations, licensing req., and taxes.
      Get out of OUR WAY and let US make a living.
    • Larry  •  Fair Oaks, California  •  3 months ago
      Small business only does well when the economy is doing well. Look around at all the vacant store fronts. They were full 5-6 years ago. Now people either don't have the money to spend as they use to or they are worried enough not spend. Small business will not recover as long as wages are low and job security is questionable.
    • nobody  •  3 months ago
      "To comply with federal regulations on the environment, for instance, companies with fewer than 20 workers spent $4,101 per worker in 2008, or 4½ times more than companies employing 500 or more, according to the Small Business Administration. "

      Clearly you can see what is a killing economy in this country.....
    • Mark Stanford  •  St Paul, Minnesota  •  3 months ago
      This article is leftwing drivel. Come join me with Jon Galt and make $200K/yr
    • Mark Stanford  •  St Paul, Minnesota  •  3 months ago
      My first job in a real career was when I bluffed my way into a small (

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