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NeoPhotonics Corporation (NPTN)


NYSE - Nasdaq Real Time Price. Currency in USD
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8.99-0.15 (-1.64%)
As of 12:28PM EDT. Market open.
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OCLRLITEIPHIAAOIACIA
  • This stock will do well in the future. There is an equity firm that holds many shares in this company. This looks like a buy to me together with OCLR.
  • Wonder if I should buy some NPTN. Have had INFN for a long time, it hasn't panned out so far. Recently bought some ACIA. If Yahoo's numbers are correct that their annual revenue is estimated to grow 29%, they seem like they might be a darn good buy. Next step I guess I'd better see what they have in the way of presentations/conference calls so I can get to know the company a bit.
  • The sector is bouncing time to buy?
  • Even Intel putting out 100G alot of this sectors high flyers aren't special anymore.
  • Another green day?? I hope.
  • Wonder if price action means that tomorrow morning cc will be bad. I hope it's great so that we have a short squeeze.
  • Do we move higher tomorrow? NVDA had a great report. I hope we follow suit!
  • The last time NPTN did something like this it blew up. Things look enticing now that performance % (year) has hit -41.79%. Yo you should really check out aawesomestocks, they seem on point with their stocks.
  • What happened to this one ? The numbers suck, Forecast sucks....whats to like about NPTN ?.
  • Back to its old tricks. Down big on a huge up day. Time to move on. Good luck all.
  • C'mon guys, how many times we saw this action ? On 14 March the stock was around 8 Usd. 3 days later around 9,50. And OCLR is more exposed to China nd Huawei than LITE and FNSR. NPTN is more exposed but it has bene a mess since Sept 2016. This kind of stock has typically this kind of volatility. If you don't want volatility buy GE.
  • We may have here an upside runner to watch. Stochastic Oscillator and RSI(14) are triggering a buy signal at foxchart.
  • Lots of volume today!
  • Someone buy this company.
  • I hope this is a bottom. All the bad news is out. Whats next? China orders and a new CFO.
  • Buyout !
  • It would be great if this company was bought by someone.
  • what a dog
  • Sold out at $14 but think this co has great technology and is now worth buying
  • Reason for the bounce...
    The stock was oversold and over shorted and it is now being corrected.

    Facts...

    Nptn stated that the baseline sales for 2016 after deducting the low margin business that was sold came in at ~$348mm. They indicated that their market should grow at 25% in 2017 AND 2018 (which was admittedly conservative as it does not take into account pent up demand in China from "underfunding" in 2016 nor any market share gains). This would result in ~$543mm in sales in 2018. They also guided gross margins to between 33-35% once the ramp in sales takes hold later this year so applying the midpoint (34%) results in ~$185mm in gross profit in 2018. Assuming OPEX at $140mm, this nets ~$45mm in net profit before taxes. Assuming 20% tax rate in 2018 (thanks Donald!) this would result in an EPS of ~90cents. Assign a 20P/E (reasonable for a company growing at 25% annually) and you get an $18 stock price. Discount this at 20% for 2 years and it places today's fair value at $12.50.

    And now you know....

    FG666