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Wild Market: Sign of a Major Hedge Fund Blowup?

Posted Oct 24, 2008 11:09am EDT by Aaron Task in Investing, Commodities

Once the new kings of Wall Street, hedge funds are now looking like the court jester.

It's all speculation at this point, but it seems highly likely we'll find out that one or more major hedge funds imploded this week, especially given the dramatic moves in currencies, commodities and emerging markets.

Wild swings in the markets most frequented by speculators are "only the result of imploding hedge funds leading to massive liquidations," writes Ashraf Laidi, Chief FX Strategist at CMC Markets. (Laidi declined to name names.)

Other than John Paulson, whose funds are up 15% to 25% this year, the WSJ says, it's been a brutal year for hedge funds, including many well-respected names, as the Times U.K. reports:

  • Investors redeemed about $31 billion of global hedge fund assets in the third quarter and a further $179 billion was wiped off the value of their holdings by falling markets, according to Hedge Fund Research.
  • Hedge funds lost 4.6% in September, according to EurekaHedge, another research firm, which said that the investment class was on course to post annual losses for the first time since 1998.
  • Several legendary funds have suffered heavily this year, including Toscafund, which is down 55% year to date, and Citadel, which has lost an estimated 27%.

While few tears are being shed for the "pirates of finance", forced selling by hedge funds is having a direct affect on the portfolios of "average" investors, especially those overweight emerging markets and commodities.

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247 Comments

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Friday October 24, 2008 11:49AM EDT

Unfortunately, the drowning victims are just the average guy that lets his boss take 35 bucks a week out of his pay for the last 20 years to put in a 401k. He put it there because banks stopped paying interest that even matched inflation. Those "investors" will now bear the brunt of the greedy and the fund managers put under pressure to make the figures appear better. It was not difficult to see this coming especially when the market hit 14000. We ( the US) are not producing anything but credit. Perhaps if we decide to procuce hard goods, the excess inventory in a recession will be more valuable than some credit application in foreclosure.

aurw
aurw - Friday October 24, 2008 11:49AM EDT

The entire world is in the tank. Let's face it - This is the NEW World Order- brought about bya financial debacle. Rising tides lift all boats. Conversely The tide has just gone out and all boats are now beached!! Good Luck with the apple sales.

Bill
Bill - Friday October 24, 2008 11:51AM EDT

I feel sorry for the retirement crowd whose financial advisors put all their money in the stock market thru mutual funds i.e. Morgan Stanley/Dean Witter....

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Friday October 24, 2008 11:52AM EDT

Greenspan (God in the financial world) dares to say the M Word (MISTAKE!). And what happens? He, along with the credit regulators, hedge funds and all the rest keep going. And NOBODY's been arrested! Yeah, Waxman has show hearings because Pelosi wants it look good just before the election. But NOTHING is going to happen. Do you realize I get all of my accurate market information from overseas? Here, many of the "standard" sources (CNBC, WSJ, etc.) are too busy playing the We Must Stop Obama the Scary Black Socialist Guy Before It's Too Late. How much more f****d up can this get?

John
John - Friday October 24, 2008 11:53AM EDT

A great buying opportunity that comes only once in a lifetime (maybe twice). In 1987 I was young and broke swore I would be ready for the next one.

D
D - Friday October 24, 2008 11:53AM EDT

Just another correction on the over inflated market. It started with realestate, but I believe that stocks, realestate and the entire market has been over rated and over priced. Maybe when this market has leveled out we will see a where everything should really be at. Also, we need to live with in our means, and maybe that does not mean 2 new cars with payments in the driveway of a $300,000 home. These are wants they are not needs. BIG DIFFERENCE AND THE PEOPLE WHO WERE SMART ENOUGH NOT TO BUY INTO ALL OF THIS OVER BLOWN KEEPING UP WITH THE JONES FAMILY WILL ALL BE BETTER OFF. If you did start paying off your debt, it will help your family.

Doug C
Doug C - Friday October 24, 2008 11:55AM EDT

There is nothing wrong with the market. In fact, it is finally reflecting REAL money. The entire world was running on borrowed money. ALL earnings for the last 10 years was based on borrowed money. Now, when all is said and done and the market settles down to the 5000 range, it will be once again starting to reflect real money. Heck, I hope it is the 5000 level and not lower. So all this talk about losses in the stock market, truly are not losses. They were gains built on nothing but borrowed money, now that borrowed money is being wrung out of the system ...

Richard
Richard - Friday October 24, 2008 11:57AM EDT

If you look at where the Dow closed on 10/1/1928, it was 252.2. On 10/1/1985 it was 1,341. That is 57 years and an average gain of 8% per year. If you run that out then on 10/1/2008, the DOW should have been 1,513. Unless you feel that the runup from 10/2/1995 at 4,761 to 10/1/2007 at 14,087 or a growth of 195% over 12 years makes perfect sense. I think the Dow should go to 2,000 to make things right again.

james
james - Friday October 24, 2008 11:59AM EDT

Horrible

Above the Gym
Above the Gym - Friday October 24, 2008 12:00PM EDT

In times of despair, party and party often (preferably naked)!

Stephen
Stephen - Friday October 24, 2008 12:02PM EDT

In the 1980's the experts said we did not need manufacturing jobs in an information economy, so the manufacturing jobs went overseas to slave labor. In the 1990's the experts said we did not need information jobs in a service economy, so the information jobs went overseas to slave labor. In the first decade of the 21st century the experts said we did not need service jobs in a finance economy so the service jobs went overseas to slave labor, or the slave labor simply came here illegally. Then in 2008 the finance economy collapsed because from day one the experts were simply fools paid by the architects of the greatest swindle in history to strip mine the functional US economy by bribing elected officials and trotting 'professors' with 'theories' in front of cameras to discuss 'globalization'. Now there are nothing but printing presses frantically printing money.

Whit Chambers
Whit Chambers - Friday October 24, 2008 12:02PM EDT

How much tax payer money was lost in the market this week by the Fed gambling in the market?

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Friday October 24, 2008 12:02PM EDT

This is nothing more than double and triple counting of securities and assets... The credit derivative markets alone are valued at 1.3 trillion this is roughly equal to the WORLDS GDP.... how is this possible? Through bad counting and the same assets appearing on everyones books....

a southern boy
a southern boy - Friday October 24, 2008 12:02PM EDT

Greed, Gread , anyway you spell it. These are the same people who said playing in a local $35 card game was gambling. They said IRA's are dumb. They said renting a home was dumb. Well all you smart people, I still have my retirement money.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Friday October 24, 2008 12:03PM EDT

This is nothing more than double and triple counting of securities and assets... The credit derivative markets alone are valued at 1.3 trillion this is roughly equal to the WORLDS GDP.... how is this possible? Through bad counting and the same assets appearing on everyones books....

robert
robert - Friday October 24, 2008 12:04PM EDT

I always hated hedge funds hated these gurus who said we need to make20% for our endowmnet(college) screw Mr common man...we are the big boys a lot of people are DONE with the market..thus that alone will have some effect on equity prices those waiting for a bottom today or Monday are wasting your time and any low will be retested so if we have a big bounce sell sell sell Paulson has 500 million as he walks awy from Goldman Sachs..he had to have had a hand in this mess..justlucky he got out when he did/and he is running the show now..the inmates are running the asylum!!!!!!! poor Obama...people will expect so much from him and it is not deliverable jobs being lost by the tens of thousands New York State in one big hurt due to loss of state tax revenues from Wall Stret as 200000 people on the Street go unemployed people have no clue!!!!!!!!!still oh and thank you Bob Brinker for making me aware of this..telling me in 2009 we will be in the SP 1600's

Jaidev P
Jaidev P - Friday October 24, 2008 12:05PM EDT

Blow up all the hedge funds..They are the real ah's who caused the market to pump and dump. I will be happy if they all file for bankrupcy.

WESLEY E
WESLEY E - Friday October 24, 2008 12:05PM EDT

I can't cry for the damn hedge fund manipulators. They have made obscene profits by screwing up the market. The ones that need to go to jail are the scum bags that were the honchos of Lehman Bros., Merrill Lynch etc.

a southern boy
a southern boy - Friday October 24, 2008 12:06PM EDT

Greed, Gread , anyway you spell it. These are the same people who said playing in a local $35 card game was gambling. They said IRA's are dumb. They said renting a home was dumb. Well all you smart people, I still have my retirement money.

Rich R
Rich R - Friday October 24, 2008 12:10PM EDT

I was really PO'd when I read that Banks are using the TARP money to buy other Banks, that money was presented to go to Main Street to Slow Foreclosures. What we need to do is vote out every incumbent this election and punish the greedy bastards who've got us in this mess. If they broke the law let's put'em in jail.

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