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Bolling: Oil Should Be in the $70-$85 Range, Buy the Dips

Posted Jan 07, 2009 11:53am EST by Aaron Task in Investing, Commodities

Updated from 11:53 a.m. ET 

Update: After rallying 40% from the December lows, oil prices suffered their biggest one-day decline in more than seven years Wednesday, tumbling 12% to $42.63 per barrel. were recently down more than 3% to $46.95.

Crude fell in concert with stocks and after the DOE reported a sharp build in inventories, to the highest levels since May.

Earlier: Declines like these are opportunities to add to oil positions, says Eric Bolling, a former NYMEX commodity trader and host on Fox Business News. While oil's midsummer rally overshot reality, its subsequent decline was similarly overdone, says Bolling, who believes oil should be in the $70-$85 per barrel range.

The trader and television commentator is currently long oil via the United States Oil ETF, which he says is the best ETF at handling the "roll" that occurs when crude futures contracts expire each month.

Bolling said he will add to the USO position if/when spot crude falls below $45 per barrel - as occurred today, although well after the accompanying video was taped which it approached earlier today - and is a long-term bull on the commodity because of geopolitical risks and the U.S. government's efforts to "reflate" the economy.

Update: Putting his money where his mouth is, Bolling said Wednesday afternoon he was adding to his USO position. 

156 Comments

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:01PM EST

Why should oil be $75? Is he lobbying for Arab terrorist countries?

Greg
Greg - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:03PM EST

Oil is on the way back down. Give me a break. The speculators are the only people who want it back up.

Maxdemo
Maxdemo - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:05PM EST

I agree 100% that oil should be higher

DAVIDP
DAVIDP - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:06PM EST

It's easy to promote what you are buying. I think a more reasonable forecast on oil prices and other assets for 2009 can be found at www.davidportnoy.blogspot.com

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:10PM EST

Make the Arab countries eat their oil and sand! See how they like that. They leverage oil, we leverage corn, wheat, lumber, and water. We have the natural resources they need just to survive. Trees, Food, Water. Oil should be about 25 cents a barrell by my estimation.

Fernando
Fernando - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:12PM EST

Look With this Economy Oil should keep under 50 dollars a barrel for the next two years. OK

f8ful
f8ful - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:12PM EST

Is Bolling one of the same idiots who told us speculation had nothing to do with the increase to $147? Where is that Goldman Sachs pea-brain that said oil would be at $150 by years end as it was dropping from $147 TO $100? I hope he was one of their terminations.

Slick
Slick - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:15PM EST

If I owned shares of a ETF that has tanked I too would be speaking out about it should be at this price and not the "realistic" price. Typical speculator blah blah blah.

CHRISTOPHER
CHRISTOPHER - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:17PM EST

Can some of you economic wizard tell me how higher priced anything helps the economy that we are facing today.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:17PM EST

There was another big shot on the Tech Ticker saying that we hit the bottom around $120/barrell back in July or August, and that "we'd better get used to it".

Ricky
Ricky - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:18PM EST

Face the facts its supply & demand that will eventlly drive the price of oil back up. maybe before the economy even does pick back up. As long as we want the price will go back up.

taopraxis
taopraxis - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:18PM EST

Severe economic depressions are very bad for basic commodities such as oil. The only thing that oil has going for it is that the Federal government is (stupidly) buying it again, but that is unlikely to be enough. Absent a significant currency event (always a possibility when the government is insolvent), expect oil to track sideways. If you really want to buy a basic commodity, buy something that is relatively scarce, e.g., platinum or palladium. The world is awash in oil.

DAD
DAD - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:19PM EST

Bull !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! Look at the 10 and 20 year charts. Stocks falling back to the normal as the BUSH EFFECT leaves office. The Bush Effect of allowing business to run amock and obey no laws is about over and they know it. Look at nearly all sectors for 10 years. Most socks have returned to that level or below. Oil at $50.00 a barrel.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:19PM EST

While I do believe oil will rise in the future, that is a long term sentiment; 6-9 months. No way over the next 3 months does oil go over $50/barrel. The only parties that want to see oil between $70-$90/barrel are the oil producers and the moronic governents such as Venezeula, Russia, etc, who base their government spending/social programs on a single commodity and expect it to never go below $60/barrel.

Mehboob
Mehboob - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:20PM EST

Anything to do with oil and comments are often racial or ethnic bashing. It is a depleting resource and one that had little or no respect throughout its history. Terrorism and oil have nothing whatsoever to do with it. Oil is also not a monopoly of Arabs alone, with large producers based in Africa, Russia and ex Russing Republics and South America. Arabs do not live in these nations. Far more people die of other causes including road accidents, cancer, heart etc than by virtue of terrorism. If organised warf was counted as terrorism, Europe leads that one way ahead than any other nation on the planet.

Warren
Warren - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:21PM EST

Based on my demand side oil price mechanism tracking oil price from 10 to 147, it soared from 2001 recession of 17 to 147 July 2008 responsing to falling dollar , increased consmer demand due to 168 billion tax rebate ( oil price doubled from 2007 to 2008). it plunged to 33 in Dec. due to US , gloal recession, repeating 2001, as US consmer spending plunge 5 % and manufacture ISM, PMI index plunge to 33 recession low. How ever recent US and China economic stimuluspackage and winter fuel oil demand drive oil price from 33 to 50 ( not due to Mideast war) ,. I t will be doubled to 60 again in March, as another tax rebate to beef up consumer spending. It can easily drive up to 80 laer this years as China, US infrastructure program going into full speed. details on www.osawh.com/oilpetpri.htm www.osawh.com/Globaloiln.htm

Bob M
Bob M - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:21PM EST

This BOZO is clearly only out to make money. They ALWASY bring these guys in who have a POSITION. he doesn't want to lose money so he is now trying to create fear and increase the price. I DON'T believe oil will see $70 because we as a country are sick of the Arabs. I drive less. My wife drives less. We wil NEVER again by a gas guzzling car. How about brining on a guy who doesn't have a finnacial stake in the matter. He could careless about oil other than making money. He has no commentary other than trying to push oil to a higher price.

M
M - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:21PM EST

i used to drive 600 miles per week. now i am lucky to do thast in 16 days, and those miles are just to get out of the house. the us economy has stopped.

more
more - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:22PM EST

I don't understand Oil. When the price of Oil goes down DUG should go up, but it really doesn't follow the trend. When the price of Oil goes up DUG does goes down somewhat. DUG inverses the major oil companies.

steven
steven - Wednesday January 07, 2009 12:22PM EST

Why not $150.00 - $200.00 a barrel, it was working so well when I was paying $4.50 a gallon

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