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'Casualties of War:' Lousy Returns, Madoff Scandal Spell Doom for Hedge Funds

Posted Jan 08, 2009 01:15pm EST by Aaron Task in Investing, Newsmakers
To say 2008 was a tough year for hedge funds would be to grossly understate the obvious. But 2009 is going to be no picnic either for an industry likely to undergo major upheaval, says Todd Harrison, CEO of Minyanville.com.

After the average hedge fund lost 23% last year, according to Reuters, investor confidence was further shaken by the Bernie Madoff scandal, which will only increase the regulatory scrutiny on the industry, says Harrison.

For both regulators and the investing public, hedge funds are an "acceptable casualty of war," Harrison says, predicting 50% of hedge funds will be gone by the end of 2009 amid a sea of lawsuits by investors who either suffered big losses or were refused redemptions (or both).

As for the survivors, the former hedge fund trader at Cramer Berkowitz and Galleon Group, foresees an overhaul for the industry, featuring:

  • The end of "2 and 20" fee structure.
  • No more annual high water marks on which managers get paid.
  • Three-year year lock-up periods for investors.
Somewhere, the world's smallest violin is playing...

65 Comments

Mike
Mike - Thursday January 08, 2009 01:20PM EST

WELCOME TO THE GREAT RECESSION! Deleverage NOW... as the greatest transfer of wealth in our history takes place. If you can invest now you'll be among the wealthy of the next generation! This is OUR TIME.

__A_YAHOO_USER__
__A_YAHOO_USER__ - Thursday January 08, 2009 01:33PM EST

It is a well known facts...............Goodbye to them......It is last year factor............It will not be an issue today and this year.......Put it in the bin baksket.......more whisky please....The better this winter.....Bye.....Cheer....

Mike W
Mike W - Thursday January 08, 2009 01:35PM EST

I lost in Wall Vegas.Have nothing--nada.

Ronald
Ronald - Thursday January 08, 2009 01:49PM EST

Any class of financial instrument, and its marketplace, that has the ability to undermine overall financial stability, ought to be subject to federal regulation and rigorous oversight. It was only two years ago, long before today's crisis, that the Fed opted to prop up a big hedge fund (I can't recall its name) because its impending failure would have caused a panic. Regulation and oversight doesn't have to be stifling; but it sure needs to be far more extensive, and have much stronger enforcement teeth than in recent decades.

Mike
Mike - Thursday January 08, 2009 01:51PM EST

If the regulators can't catch the $50B ponzi schemes, how can they be trusted to catch anyone?

you
- Thursday January 08, 2009 02:06PM EST

Hedge Funds, Ponzi Scammers, Madoff, two out of three have crashed will the third? Honest Americans how have lost their retirement savings should celebrate when short selling hedge funds come crumbling down.

CalvinD
CalvinD - Thursday January 08, 2009 02:07PM EST

Corporate Greed at its best. While the average Joe get stuck with his retirement flushed down the toilet, the fat cats roll in govt. money and get a few good lawyer to get them Club Med Prison. Nice. Heck for 2 billion bucks, I would spend 3 years in a low security prison.

__A_YAHOO_USER__
__A_YAHOO_USER__ - Thursday January 08, 2009 02:10PM EST

SEC IS A USLESS NEEDS TO BE REPLACE AND DISMISSED..... FROM TOP TO BOTTOM.......NO NERCY....FIRE....THEM ALL......

Carlovitch
Carlovitch - Thursday January 08, 2009 02:13PM EST

Wha

georgeg
georgeg - Thursday January 08, 2009 02:16PM EST

And Wall Street not publicly calling for his immidate imprisonment does little to build confidence... HE IS JUST A MEMBER OF THE INVESTMENT CLUB.... Wall Steet and the Lawyers thinking this guy should be out waiting trial is just wrong... GREED GREED GREED....

Donald
Donald - Thursday January 08, 2009 02:20PM EST

Put 80% of your savings in credit union insured CD's. 20% you can gamble with in the Stock Casino. Why give it to a fund manager that may or may not be honest and is going to charge fees for losing your money? The experts don't know any more than the guy on the street.

you
Yahoo! Finance User - Thursday January 08, 2009 02:21PM EST

Let's have a complete institutional audit of all hedge funds and see how many are Ponzi schemes. Many, I would guess. Warren Buffett: "When the tide goes out we find out who has been swimming naked."

you
Yahoo! Finance User - Thursday January 08, 2009 02:22PM EST

Madoff stole union pension funds. Madoff will be "swimming with the fishies" soon. Bye Bye Madoff.

Kevin
Kevin - Thursday January 08, 2009 02:29PM EST

No Nercy, Johnny Ike?

you
Yahoo! Finance User - Thursday January 08, 2009 02:35PM EST

This guy is sharp, keep bringing him back

THOMAS R HUGHES
THOMAS R HUGHES - Thursday January 08, 2009 02:39PM EST

Regulatory scrutiny. What a joke the S.E.C is. Isn't it obvious the fat cat's at the S.E.C are on the take. They themselve's need oversight and are thieve's. Alll of a sudden they are finding more ponzi scams. they are opening up old cases. Because they are feeling some heat. It's a farce and I as an American am embarassed and ashamed. But the truly sad thing is no one here should be or is not suprised as most of us know GREED is king on waal st. and in the halls of government

THOMAS R HUGHES
THOMAS R HUGHES - Thursday January 08, 2009 02:48PM EST

Regulatory scrutiny. What a joke the S.E.C is. Isn't it obvious the fat cat's at the S.E.C are on the take. They themselve's need oversight and are thieve's. Alll of a sudden they are finding more ponzi scams. they are opening up old cases. Because they are feeling some heat. It's a farce and I as an American am embarassed and ashamed. But the truly sad thing is no one here should be or is not suprised as most of us know GREED is king on waal st. and in the halls of government

you
Yahoo! Finance User - Thursday January 08, 2009 02:55PM EST

Let's let the mob take care of Madoff. I bet he had their money too.

korokmalfesio
korokmalfesio - Thursday January 08, 2009 02:57PM EST

batman37rcd (Thursday January 08, 2009 01:49PM EST) is right in the mark here. Hedges were created to ameliorate risk. In that respect, they are nothing more than insurance policies that tempt people to take more and more risk because they are "insured" against loss. But hedges cannot guarantee that underlying assets will not crash and burn. Hedges simply promise to reimburse (partial payments computed via some complex mathematical schema) asset holders in the event of unforeseen destruction. Hedge funds invest in companies and/or packaged policies that attempt to minimize investment risk, but hedges do not and cannot vanquish risk to underlying assets. If underlying assets crash and burn, the hedge issuers, or the current owners, have to pay. As we all learned in Biz 101, insurance companies are in the business of collecting premiums (revenue source) not paying out claims (liability). A run on an asset class, e.g. mortgage backed hedges, will quickly exhaust liquidity and leave the hedge issuer/owner belly-up in the fish bowl. So, following and agreeing with batman37rcd, there has to be some way of insuring (i.e. regulation) that an asset run will not break the bank.

FinancialTruth
FinancialTruth - Thursday January 08, 2009 02:57PM EST

Wall Street, with the blessings, wink-wink, etc. of incompetent Washington bureaucrats, is always happy to take investor's cash in return for the financial investments they peddle whose value is always suspect! If not, Wall Street money changers would hold onto some of the crap they sell to main street as opposed to just looking for opportunities to distribute to holdings. Rothchild said to make money investing is like taking a cold shower, in quick and out quick. Beware Bernanke, Blankenfeld, Paulson and the rest of their cronies! What's yours is theirs and what's theirs is theirs.

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