Wednesday, December 9, 2009, 7:45PM ET - U.S. Markets Closed.

"Worst Is Yet to Come:" Americans' Standard of Living Permanently Changed

Posted Feb 17, 2009 12:53pm EST by Aaron Task in Investing, Recession
There's no question the American consumer is hurting in the face of a burst housing bubble, financial market meltdown and rising unemployment.

But "the worst is yet to come," according to Howard Davidowitz, chairman of Davidowitz & Associates, who believes American's standard of living is undergoing a "permanent change" - and not for the better as a result of:

  • An $8 trillion negative wealth effect from declining home values.
  • A $10 trillion negative wealth effect from weakened capital markets.
  • A $14 trillion consumer debt load amid "exploding unemployment", leading to "exploding bankruptcies."

"The average American used to be able to borrow to buy a home, send their kids to a good school [and] buy a car," Davidowitz says. "A lot of that is gone."

Going forward, the veteran retail industry consultant foresees higher savings rate and people trading down in both the goods and services they buy - as well as their aspirations.

The end of rampant consumerism is ultimately a good thing, he says, but the unraveling of an economy built on debt-fueled spending will be painful for years to come.

Go to Tech Ticker
7795 votes|Recommend this

9081 Comments

phillip
phillip - Tuesday February 17, 2009 12:59PM EST

I completely agree with him i've been advocating this for years - I also we will begin to see global wages begin to even out in the next 5-10 years

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:03PM EST

The prices and salaries in this country need to come down. You should be able to earn a minimum wage and be able to go to school or buy a home!!!

Roger P
Roger P - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:05PM EST

I love these guys who show up late and tell us what we already know like it's news. I can picture this same guy talking in the same way about this new invention called the SUV.

J C
J C - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:05PM EST

The American standard of living was unsustainable. This is a necessary change, just a bummer that it's happening to us instead of our children/grandchildren!

Davanji
Davanji - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:07PM EST

Trask and Tech Ticker at their very best.

Kelly P
Kelly P - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:07PM EST

Didn't Peter Schiff say something like this 2 years ago?

Jon M
Jon M - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:07PM EST

With so many unemployed it is only a matter of time before we feel a complete change in standard of living across the board. Prepare to have your relatives ask to move in with you.

JorgeA
JorgeA - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:09PM EST

Here in Southamerica things are not that bad but it seem they could be as all of this gets worse

James
James - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:09PM EST

Though some may not realize it, this could be a good thing. I've lived and worked overseas, and I don't believe the vast differences between "us" and "them" is either viable or good for the soul of a people.

david
david - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:09PM EST

A few days ago I would say that this guy is way off base. Then today I saw someone stop their car to pick up a road kill rabbit. Last year dead deer would rot by the roadside, not any more.

yankeesrule
yankeesrule - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:10PM EST

Agree as well. Consumerism is over, people need to seperate necessity v. luxury. Luxury is a thing of the past.

Ralph B
Ralph B - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:11PM EST

Most of this financial mess could go away very quickly. Just send every American woman, man, and child a check of $2,666 from the stimulus package. By doing this millions of cars, flat panel televisions, Big Macs, shoes, computers, and the list go on and on. A family of six would receive about $16,000, that would be a great help compared to the $2100 the family received last year, which was nothing more than a high-price-fuel rebate.

JohnE
JohnE - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:11PM EST

Agree with phillip a.... I too want to see Americans paid at banana economy wages. It will be good for us all!

neshpatel
neshpatel - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:11PM EST

this is one of the best videos and the truth about the economic slowdown in US currently. I like the person being interviewed for being honest about how he feels....everyone in the government still is trying to make the american public believe that we have not hit the worst and that we can be saved. And the Gov't is trying to save us by prompting the consumer to spend more when clearly the consumer is not capable so the gov't wants to give the consumer money to spend by borrowing as stated in the video from our enemies. Let the consumer save and let the economy correct itself for at least a year.

genius
genius - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:11PM EST

Genius Saves!!!

Karla
Karla - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:11PM EST

People! These are the elected officials you PUT in office! Next election vote EVERYONE OUT! This all started with NAFTA, our TRADE policies with CHINA and Illegal immigration! Tell your congressman and senators they can put hundreds of thousand AMERICANS back to work by building our southern fence with MEXICO!

John
John - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:12PM EST

I agree. I see American's are going from "American Consumers" to "American Savers". American's need to know how to save. Save via gold or you will be sorry. Good luck all!

sj
sj - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:12PM EST

Even after Americans rebuild their savings, globalization will continue to exert the downward pressure on wages so... It seems globalization and "free" trade was just a scam to transfer the wealth of hard-working Americans to the 100's millions of "slave" wage laborers in countries like China. Of course, some of the money saved from transferring high pay mfn jobs to China did go to the "slave" wage laborers, but don't kid yourself, most of the differential went straight into the pockets of the capitalist elites. Extreme leveles of wealth disparity led to the 1930's Depression, it appears things are rapidly heading that way again. Thank the elites for impoverishing their working drones.

S
S - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:13PM EST

Yet another stupid Tech Ticker headline - what a continued waste of progammming by Yahoo.

yankeesrule
yankeesrule - Tuesday February 17, 2009 01:13PM EST

Agree as well. Consumerism is over, people need to seperate necessity v. luxury. Luxury is a thing of the past. The great depression is now really upon us.

Yahoo! reserves the right to refuse, or remove any comment that does not comply with the Yahoo! Terms of Service. The submission of spam, hateful, or obscene messages may result in the termination of your Yahoo! ID.
About Tech Ticker - Send FeedbackDisclaimer. Copyright © 2007 Yahoo! Inc. All rights reserved.
Copyright/IP Policy - Terms of Service - Privacy Policy - Help
Quotes delayed, except where indicated otherwise. Delay times are 15 mins for NASDAQ, NYSE and Amex. See also delay times for other exchanges.

Quotes and other information supplied by independent providers identified on the Yahoo! Finance partner page. Quotes are updated automatically, but will be turned off after 25 minutes of inactivity. Quotes are delayed at least 15 minutes for NASDAQ, NYSE and Amex. See also delay times for other exchanges. Real-Time continuous streaming quotes are available through our premium service. You may turn streaming quotes on or off. Fundamental company data provided by Capital IQ. Financials data provided by Edgar Online. Historical chart data and daily updates provided by Commodity Systems, Inc. (CSI). International historical chart data, daily updates, fund summary, fund performance, dividend data and Morningstar Index data provided by Morningstar, Inc. Analyst estimates data provided by Thomson Financial Network. All data provided by Thomson Financial Network is based solely upon research information provided by third party analysts. Yahoo! has not reviewed, and in no way endorses the validity of such data. Yahoo! and ThomsonFN shall not be liable for any actions taken in reliance thereon. All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Neither Yahoo! nor any of independent providers is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. By accessing the Yahoo! site, you agree not to redistribute the information found therein.