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Dollar Living on Its Reputation and Borrowed Time

Posted Oct 06, 2009 12:57pm EDT by Peter Gorenstein in Investing, Commodities

Stocks and commodities are on the rise today as the dollar falls. It's nothing new or surprising.

What is newsworthy is a report from the British newspaper The Independent claiming the dollar's days might be numbered in the oil trading pits.

The story says "secret meetings have already been held by finance ministers and central bank governors in Russia, China, Japan and Brazil to work on the scheme, which will mean that oil will no longer be priced in dollars." The details on how and what would replace the dollar, according to the report, are still in the works.

Sources aren't named and Saudi officials, among others, are quickly denied the veracity of the report. However, it appears some investors are buying the story based on today's move in gold prices.

As Henry and Aaron discuss in this clip, questioning the U.S. dollar as the global reserve currency makes sense. How long can we print money and increase our debt before other global markets take action? And, how will the Fed manage its exit strategy without causing hyper-inflation?

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243 Comments

NoYankeeFan
NoYankeeFan - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:03PM EDT

Man, the blond guy is such a tool.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:04PM EDT

Don't worry barack hussein obama mmm mmm mmm will print MORE money and make the dollar stronger... believe in barack hussein obama mmm mmm mmm he will wipe our noses and take care of us mmm mmm mmm

Thomas CM
Thomas CM - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:11PM EDT

How can the world take you 2 seriously when you 2 are such wannabees? Blodget and task are clearly naysayers planted by the GOP...so much anti obama rhetoric. Stop showcasing these 2 clowns thanks tc

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:12PM EDT

very interesting.... also interesting was an obscure video that i found on YouTube....it laid out the real reasons the US invaded Iraq. It had nothing to do w/terrorism or WMD.....according to the video, Saddam was going to change his standard of curreny on oil.....wanted to be paid in Euros instead of dollars. Ol' Bushy, his family, and oil barron buddies weren't going to stand for that....and why would you when you've got the world's strongest army at your fingertips!!

goldgoldgold666
goldgoldgold666 - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:12PM EDT

GOLD

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:12PM EDT

If you were living in Western Europe or Saudi Arabia(not to mention the U.S.!)would you trust the future value of the U.S.dollar? If so, what is your reason to be optimistic given the unprecedented creation of fiat money by the Fed and the TRILLIONS of dollars of unfunded liabilities created by our gutless,self-serving,bought-and-paid for politicians??

Jeff
Jeff - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:13PM EDT

Obama better ditch his love affair with Oprah Winfrey and the Olympics and hire an Oil Czar real soon.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:15PM EDT

Gold and silver can only go higher. How long will we get away with printing money, no one knows. But one thing is for sure, the dollars days are numbered. Trillions in debt and surely more bailouts to come with 0% interest rates!!! Glad i bought a bunch of silver and gold. Not to late to get on the gold train. Gold and silver are going much, much higher.

yattaboy
yattaboy - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:16PM EDT

I agree, "How could these meetings not be taking place". They probably happen far more often on conference calls than anyone realizes. I'm not even certain it would be a net, long-term (decades ahead), bad thing for the USD, and the world still seems to want to annoint us as the consumer of last resort. Therefore, the raw materials now priced in a basket-currency must still be priced with supply-and-demand, so that products will still sell. But there would be one heck of a short term adjustment in exchange rates.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:16PM EDT

you are wrong, henry rocks! he does react to dire forecasts with perhaps a touch too much glee, but he is a good compliment to aaron.

Lincoln
Lincoln - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:16PM EDT

We need to learn self control in this nation. We need to avoid spending more than we earn as a government and as consumers. We also need to avoid pornography, adultery, anger, etc. If we did so, we would be much better off.

gunner
gunner - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:17PM EDT

Get some gold before it's $5,000 an ounce. Remember, real money doesn't burn or rip.

Jim
Jim - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:17PM EDT

These reports have been out there for years. With the printing press's running at capacity in DC now why wouldn't our creditors be re-thinking the future? We have left them with little choice but to find something real to tie to the price of oil and everything else we buy from overseas.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:18PM EDT

You know guys the debate is only interesting if you take opposite sides of the argument. I'm not saying that you should get in a personal fist fight (although I would definitely watch that if it's aired) but at least present both sides of the story. Just because both of you interpret the facts/news a certain way doesn't mean that everybody else does.

Stephen
Stephen - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:19PM EDT

If China and Saudi Arabia stop buying U.S. debt, you better develop a taste for tree bark and squirrel meat, because the American economy will roll over like a refugee boat. We will be sunk. That will be final nail in the coffin of the American empire and you have Ronald Reagan and the Bush family to thank for it!

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:20PM EDT

You know guys the debate is only interesting if you take opposite sides of the argument. I'm not saying that you should get in a personal fist fight (although I would definitely watch that if it's aired) but at least present both sides of the story. Just because both of you interpret the facts/news a certain way doesn't mean that everybody else does.

aljosha62
aljosha62 - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:20PM EDT

"the blond guy is such a tool"?!? is that your intelligent contribution? i guess, when you don't know what you're talking about and you want to seem like you're "in the know", just make a vague statement and everyone will assume you have a clue. here's another clue: you don't have one

RivrB
RivrB - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:21PM EDT

Those clowns at campidiot.com are right. Inflation is a thing of the past, Hyper-Deflation is the new reality. 10 years from now nobody will be able to afford a $5000 starter home!

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:22PM EDT

Scare tactics! People will print anything to get a rise; because anymore, it doesn't take much to spook anyone. Especially when it comes to the US dollar. The dollar becomes worthless if countries will no longer be obligated to buy dollars to buy oil; all of their dollar reserves become worthless. I don't think the BRIC countries want that. This is conspiracy theory fodder. Look for something else. How about this? Look at what's under the hood in most countries with a fiat currency and you will find that most are as bad, if not worse than the US. Look at England, Spain, Italy, and Japan. All have debt approaching or over the full value of their economies (GDP). The yuan needs to be gradually revauled. The dollar needs to be backed by something that stores value to be a storer of value. Audit the Fed and abolish it.

aljosha62
aljosha62 - Tuesday October 06, 2009 01:22PM EDT

"the blond guy is such a tool"?!? is that your intelligent contribution? i guess, when you don't know what you're talking about and you want to seem like you're "in the know", just make a vague statement and everyone will assume you have a clue. here's another clue: you don't have one

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