Thursday, December 10, 2009, 8:24AM ET - U.S. Markets open in 1 hour and 6 minutes.

The Dollar Is Dying a Slow Death, Says Niall 'Ascent of Money' Ferguson

Posted Oct 20, 2009 09:00am EDT by Peter Gorenstein in Investing, Newsmakers, Recession, Banking

The weakening dollar is dying a slow death.

"It's clear where we're headed," says Niall Ferguson, author of The Ascent of Money. "Ten years from now there will be more than one international reserve currency," he tells Tech Ticker.

Ferguson dismisses the dollar loyalists, citing the British pound – the last international reserve currency - as his example. "These things don't last forever" but don't expect it to happen overnight. "It's a long multi-decade process," he states. Even with the dollar near a 14-month low against the Euro, he claims it's not without historical precedence for the greenback to lose "another 20%" this year.

For international investors the loss is enough to offset this year's stock market gains. Not exactly great motivation for foreigners to keep buying the almighty dollar.

Editor's note: The accompanying video was taped last week at The Economist's Buttonwood Gathering. See below for additional coverage and stay tuned for further segments:

 

183 Comments

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:05AM EDT

Once this occurs, it will be a new day in America. We'll have to earn the money we spend, as the amount we can borrow will be reduced sharply. This will cause enormous pressure on wages and living standards.

Terry
Terry - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:06AM EDT

I hurts but I agree with him. We still have time to turn it around but the big question is do Americans have the will? Much of the Americans savings that get to Wall St. via 401ks, IRAs, Pensions, etc. allowed them to invest our money overseas including China and India. The first step is to rid ourselves of the parasites in government as Congress caused this decay. Wall St. would not have gotten away with the theft of America if Congress didn't allow it. No Senator should be in office more than 2 terms (12 years) and no Congressmen/women should be in office more than 3 terms (6 years) otherwise they do too much harm to us all. VOTE OUT the INCUMBENTS in 2010...

Terry
Terry - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:10AM EDT

I believe that the dollar will bottom out in the low to mid 60s as long as Benny and Timmy keep printing those new greenbacks. We need to replace our leaders as we still have those in office that caused the crisis. I hurts but I agree with him. We still have time to turn it around but the big question is do Americans have the will? Much of the Americans savings that get to Wall St. via 401ks, IRAs, Pensions, etc. allowed them to invest our money overseas including China and India. The first step is to rid ourselves of the parasites in government as Congress caused this decay. Wall St. would not have gotten away with the theft of America if Congress didn't allow it. No Senator should be in office more than 2 terms (12 years) and no Congressmen/women should be in office more than 3 terms (6 years) otherwise they do too much harm to us all. VOTE OUT the INCUMBENTS in 2010.

The_Wind_Gods
The_Wind_Gods - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:23AM EDT

Too bad Bush, Pautson weren't Harvard men...of course if they were they wouldnt have made offices anyway. Jonny Q Public like to keep t simple....say GMC, GE, KFC, GW, Jeb etc....any more complicated than Disney World doesn't make it

David
David - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:24AM EDT

This guy is a British Propagandist! Plain and simple. He has no particular expertise on this subject. Rather, he is well connected in high academic circles and is therefore given a bully pulpit from which to speak. As to the dollar, this is all in the hands of the US government. A change in policy could rescue the dollar and preserve the American economy. But, of course, this will anger the international banking community, hence will be rejected.

GerritD
GerritD - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:25AM EDT

Looks like the Gordon Geckos are getting thier way. But ther run will soon be over. JUDGEMENT DAY is almost here!

BringBackCapitalism
BringBackCapitalism - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:25AM EDT

This guy thinks he's got a better Pot to Piss in.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:28AM EDT

MORE GOOD NEWS! HOUSING TOOK A DUMP AND THE MARKET IS STILL GOING TO OPEN HIGH. THAT'S GREAT NEWS. THERE IS ONE WAY AND ONLY ONE WAY TO MAKE YOU MONEY BACK AND THAT IS TO BUY THIS MARKET UP. WE HAVE ALREADY PROVEN THAT REGARDLESS HOW PROFITS ARE MADE, THEY ARE STILL PROFITS. REAL ESTATE SUCKS WE ALL KNOW THAT. BIG DEAL. THAT'S WHAT WE HAVE THOSE GUYS IN WASHINGTON FOR. LET THEM FIGURE IT OUT. WHAT EVER THEY DO, IT IS GOING TO MAKE THE MARKET GO UP AND THAT'S ALL YOU NEED TO WORRY ABOUT. YOU CAN HELP. YOU CAN DO YOUR PART. IT'S CALLED BUY STOCKS. BIG ONES SMALL ONES FAT ONES SKINNY ONES. BUY THEM BUY THEM ALL. THERE IS ALWAYS SOMEONE OUT THERE SELLING AND YOU NEED TO MAKE SURE YOU ARE BUYING. WE WANT 11000 BY THANKSGIVING.

s.d.w.
s.d.w. - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:29AM EDT

as long as people are dumb enough, or have no choice but to show up and work themselves poorer and poorer, the dollar will hold. Untill people can figure out how to vote this game will go on forever.

Dave
Dave - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:38AM EDT

Hey Dollar Denominated Debt Drives Dollar Demand Dude: You've got supply confused with demand.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:42AM EDT

You know what a 'hasa' is Frank?

PapaBilly
PapaBilly - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:43AM EDT

Popoy are you going negative?

RomanL
RomanL - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:44AM EDT

But China peged its Yuan to dollar so once they let it fly / fall; we'd have a blast.

chubby
chubby - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:46AM EDT

Greenspan pounded down interest rates because he thought it was his job to make the stock market happy. Bernanke pounded down interest rates because he thinks his job is to save the economy. There are consequences to these actions, in this case the tanking dollar. And who wants to raise interest rates now, in the midst of a recovery? That's right -- nobody.

chubby
chubby - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:46AM EDT

Greenspan pounded down interest rates because he thought it was his job to make the stock market happy. Bernanke pounded down interest rates because he thinks his job is to save the economy. There are consequences to these actions, in this case the tanking dollar. And who wants to raise interest rates now, in the midst of a recovery? That's right -- nobody.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:47AM EDT

Greed shipped your jobs, idea's, machines and knowledge oversea's, in exchange for some cheap material junk. How dark do you like your toast?

__A_YAHOO_USER__
__A_YAHOO_USER__ - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:50AM EDT

Popoy, where do you find this stuff?

TVBV
TVBV - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:50AM EDT

Doesn't the bible talk about one world currency toward the end of time? It looks like this is where we are headed with the EURO coming on strong and the dollar weakening. Just watch there will be 1 world currency just like the bible predicted thousands of years ago. I am thinking Christians are not so crazy and maybe do have this thing right.

san
san - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:50AM EDT

The reserve currency will be with whichever country owns the most physical gold. Get Chinas currency freely tradable in the market and stop everyone using stabilisation funds to manipulate their own currency and the market will balance the world economies.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Tuesday October 20, 2009 09:52AM EDT

YOU PEOPLE SUCK. SELLING IS FOR POOR PEOPLE. BUYING IS FOR RICH PEOPLE. DO YOU WANT TO BE RICH OR POOR? I WANT TO BE RICH SO I AM BUYING. YOU SHOULD TOO.

Yahoo! reserves the right to refuse, or remove any comment that does not comply with the Yahoo! Terms of Service. The submission of spam, hateful, or obscene messages may result in the termination of your Yahoo! ID.
About Tech Ticker - Send FeedbackDisclaimer. Copyright © 2007 Yahoo! Inc. All rights reserved.
Copyright/IP Policy - Terms of Service - Privacy Policy - Help
Quotes delayed, except where indicated otherwise. Delay times are 15 mins for NASDAQ, NYSE and Amex. See also delay times for other exchanges.

Quotes and other information supplied by independent providers identified on the Yahoo! Finance partner page. Quotes are updated automatically, but will be turned off after 25 minutes of inactivity. Quotes are delayed at least 15 minutes for NASDAQ, NYSE and Amex. See also delay times for other exchanges. Real-Time continuous streaming quotes are available through our premium service. You may turn streaming quotes on or off. Fundamental company data provided by Capital IQ. Financials data provided by Edgar Online. Historical chart data and daily updates provided by Commodity Systems, Inc. (CSI). International historical chart data, daily updates, fund summary, fund performance, dividend data and Morningstar Index data provided by Morningstar, Inc. Analyst estimates data provided by Thomson Financial Network. All data provided by Thomson Financial Network is based solely upon research information provided by third party analysts. Yahoo! has not reviewed, and in no way endorses the validity of such data. Yahoo! and ThomsonFN shall not be liable for any actions taken in reliance thereon. All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Neither Yahoo! nor any of independent providers is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. By accessing the Yahoo! site, you agree not to redistribute the information found therein.