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Roubini: BofA's Lewis 'Totally Overpaid' in 'Reckless' Deal for Merrill

Posted Sep 15, 2008 04:47pm EDT by Aaron Task in Investing, Newsmakers, Recession, Banking

Bank of America shares tumbled 21% Monday as investors reacted to the firm's blockbuster deal to acquire Merrill Lynch for $50 billion.

"Acquiring one of the premier wealth management, capital markets, and advisory companies is a great opportunity for our shareholders,'' Bank of America CEO Kenneth Lewis said in a statement announcing the deal.

The Merrill transaction is “the strategic deal of a lifetime,” Lewis said at a press conference call Monday, further explaining the rationale. "This creates the company instantly that would have taken a decade to build."

But this year has demonstrated companies built over decades -- even centuries -- can be dismantled in days, if not months.  On Monday, many wondered whether Lewis just bit off more than his firm can chew.

Bank of America "totally overpaid" for Merrill Lynch and Lewis was "reckless to buy [Merrill] at this price," says Nouriel Roubini, economic professor at NYU's Stern School and founder of RGE Monitor.

In addition to the unknown "toxic" Level 3 assets on Merrill's books, Roubini notes Bank of America is still absorbing its acquisition of Countrywide from earlier this year - not to mention prior deals for LaSalle Bank in 2007 and MBNA in 2005.

In the accompanying video, Henry and I discuss the Bank of America-Merrill deal with Roubini and NY Post reporter Mark Decambre, who declares there will be "bloodshed on the street" if this deal were to come unwound for any reason.

We also discus what the BofA-Merrill deal means for Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and other financial institutions like Wachovia and WaMu, which "look like IndyMac," according to Roubini.

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104 Comments

quentin k
quentin k - Monday September 15, 2008 04:56PM EDT

bad

JOHN
JOHN - Monday September 15, 2008 05:02PM EDT

Ladies and gentlemen, say hellow to the new Fed-- BofA

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Monday September 15, 2008 05:02PM EDT

Why is B of A buying Merrill lynch? B of A was financial stable now they are gambling with countrywide and Merrill lynch. I think B of A will be going under sooner than Wamu. It is impossible for B of A to remain financial stable with with taking over countrywide and now merrill. I am praying some of these risky deals fall apart. Its better for Merrill to go under than to have Merrill, B of A, and Countrywide to go under. Is Goldman Sachs going to survive this?

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Monday September 15, 2008 05:06PM EDT

Who the H is Nouriel Roubini, he sounds like a terrorist, don't listen to this guy what are his credentials? Pretty Toxic? This kind of talk will perpetuate the woes. Lots of bargains out there now.

yoshi
yoshi - Monday September 15, 2008 05:06PM EDT

isolationism!!! we need it!!!

yoshi
yoshi - Monday September 15, 2008 05:09PM EDT

isolationism!!!!!! we need it!!!

Bob
Bob - Monday September 15, 2008 05:12PM EDT

Start watching people jump out of windows.

Peter
Peter - Monday September 15, 2008 05:13PM EDT

The Fed finally did something in the interests of The American People instead of bailing out Lehman and putting even more debt on them. You can hope that the Fed has learned it's lessons and is going to let the market take it's course, which will, in the long run be far better for our country. Now if we can only get the Congress to take over their constitutional responsibility and live within our means maybe the country can be saved..

my11
my11 - Monday September 15, 2008 05:16PM EDT

isolationism!!!!!! we need it!!!

StevenA
StevenA - Monday September 15, 2008 05:18PM EDT

this has all been planned and predicted

Alexandra
Alexandra - Monday September 15, 2008 05:20PM EDT

my brother in law would say everything can go to zero, he's a short hedge fund trader, but i'm a cockeyed optomist and believe that the country and the economy will survive. BofA will get forebearance from the Feds and the ship will right itself over the course of several months.

rs
rs - Monday September 15, 2008 05:22PM EDT

it is a good deal....these tech ticker guys are idiots.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Monday September 15, 2008 05:24PM EDT

Who needs terrorists when you can have investment bankers?

Chris
Chris - Monday September 15, 2008 05:25PM EDT

I don't want come across as insensitive or unempathetic but it's called mutual survival. it was paid in STOCK... hello.

Janine
Janine - Monday September 15, 2008 05:27PM EDT

Roubini sounds like a suicide economist. He's simply copying Chicken Little and is saying "the sky is falling". He sounds like he knows what he's talking about, but I think he understands the maxum of predictions: No one will remember the calls you make that don't come true, but if you make a dire prediction and it does come true, you'll be able to say "Ah Ha" forever. Here's another maxum: A broken clock is correctly tells the time twice a day. (keep saying something and someday it will finally come true)

hoeman
hoeman - Monday September 15, 2008 05:28PM EDT

My money's on Bank of Ameria. Their M&A team hasn't gone wrong with their acquisitions thus far. Remember FleetBoston ($47B), MBNA ($35B), Lasalle Bank ($21B) were all done since 2007. Countrywide was a steal at $6B and will give BofA plenty of new revenue streams. Remember, the Merrill Deal is all stock, so where BofA goes, Merrill will follow.

sidneyleejohnson
sidneyleejohnson - Monday September 15, 2008 05:29PM EDT

Anytime anyone gives Roubini face time deserves kudos. Hats off to Aaron and Henry again. :) Unfortunately, the RGE monitor subscription price is beyond the reach of the common investor/mere mortals. If I could I would subsribe to it in a heart beat. By far its THE best work I've seen in a long time. Just sad they don't have "Money" magazine type subscription pricing. Perhaps something like Yahoo/WSJ could "acquire" the RGE Monitor and offer it more widely to the public. HINT HINT. Stop interviewing this guy and liscense this guys stuff and redistribute it to everyone. It would give a MAJOR boost toward providing valuable analysis to everyone.

Janine
Janine - Monday September 15, 2008 05:30PM EDT

Roubini sounds like a suicide economist. He's simply copying Chicken Little and is saying "the sky is falling". He sounds like he knows what he's talking about, but I think he understands the maxum of predictions: No one will remember the calls you make that don't come true, but if you make a dire prediction and it does come true, you'll be able to say "Ah Ha" forever. Here's another maxum: A broken clock is correctly tells the time twice a day. (keep saying something and someday it will finally come true)

sidneyleejohnson
sidneyleejohnson - Monday September 15, 2008 05:31PM EDT

"squeezed lemon - Monday September 15, 2008 05:22PM EDT it is a good deal....these tech ticker guys are idiots. " Obviously the market agreed with the tech ticker guys... BOA sold off instead of MER going up. Now who is the idiot. Go back to squeezing more lemons. You might even make enough lemonade to sell on your corner. Don't forget to get a business liscense to sell it on your street.

randman
randman - Monday September 15, 2008 05:31PM EDT

I agree, Roubini is an alarmist. Great entrepreneurs are risk takers in a calculated way because they see the payback down the road. Kudos to Ken Lewis. Maybe BoA will be the new Fed. :-)

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