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Biggest Bailout Ever: Did the Government Go Too Far?

Posted Sep 19, 2008 10:39am EDT by Henry Blodget in Newsmakers, Recession, Banking

After a few weeks of trying to stand tough in the face of demands for a wholesale rescue, Hank Paulson apparently couldn't take it anymore. So now we'll have the biggest bailout in history, including:

  • A huge RTC-like government garbage can that banks can throw all their toxic balance-sheet waste into. (This time, the transfer will be made before they go bankrupt, unlike the case with the first RTC -a.k.a. the Resolution Trust Corp., a government agency created in the late 1980s to liquidate the assets of failed Savings & Loans)
  • A temporary ban on shortselling. (With the unfortunate implication that shorts are the cause of all this)
  • A federal guarantee on money-market accounts. (Including non-recourse loans to banks to buy high-quality commercial paper and meet money-market obligations.)

Not surprisingly, the market's up huge on this news. The moves should head off a run on money-market funds, restore liquidity to the financial system, and, as bank analyst Tom Brown puts it in the accompanying video, create a general "time out" for the panic to recede.

So what are the costs? Almost certainly:

  • Higher taxes
  • Higher interest rates on government debt
  • Bigger government deficits

When the alternative is the entire financial system going bankrupt, we guess these costs are acceptable. But we're not convinced that that was the alternative.  Also, numerous questions remain. The most pressing is "What price will the government buy the toxic waste for?" (This price will determine how much additional capital the banks have to raise to offset any losses.)  Merrill Lynch shareholders are probably also wondering whether they can cancel the Bank of America deal. And Lehman would probably like to un-declare bankruptcy.

We also doubt that this move will prove the final bottom in the stock market. Unless the government makes a similar move on housing (which certainly seems more plausible, given this news), the housing problem won't up and go away. And until the housing problem works itself through the system, the consumer will still be under pressure.  But the future certainly looks brighter than it did yesterday.

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1886 Comments

Ellem
Ellem - Friday September 19, 2008 11:08AM EDT

This will only delay the inevitable economic ruin of the nation. It's totally embarrassing to see this band aid approach being touted as a real solution to a systemic failure rooted in the moral bankruptcy of America.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Friday September 19, 2008 11:09AM EDT

Don't worry, the common tax payer won't be shouldering the burden like so many of you think. It will be the successful "rich" people who will have to pay for the mistakes of the "poor". Only the hardest working people who didn't screw up and get themselves into major debt will have to pay for the mistakes of the many. Welcome to communism my comrades!

bill k
bill k - Friday September 19, 2008 11:11AM EDT

Hank is looking out for his buddies at Goldman and we will all have to pay for it. Seems like nobody can fail now (if you line their pockets). If not you'll end-up like Bear Sterns! But Goldman had to be saved? Way to go Hank! I'm sure they all appreciate it too. You'll be looking for a job in a few months, or will you? That is probably already in the bag with this action!

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Friday September 19, 2008 11:11AM EDT

"But the future certainly looks brighter than it did yesterday." Are they kidding me!? The future may be bright for the short term, but in the long-term, these actions will only put off the Piper so long. He'll come again sooner or later and demand a much bigger payment for trying his patience. No matter, our kids and grandkids can take care of the mess. Oh wait, how does that Piper story go again?...

__A_YAHOO_USER__
__A_YAHOO_USER__ - Friday September 19, 2008 11:12AM EDT

Paulson hit the magic formula..............It will remember in history........probably he know the lesson of history from 1900 to 1933..He aplplied it now and it is working......Probably he knows economics too.......He had a excellent grade........pass.......Good Bless United States

AndrejB
AndrejB - Friday September 19, 2008 11:12AM EDT

Welcome commrades to our new Soviet Era Markets

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Friday September 19, 2008 11:13AM EDT

There will bonuses for this off-loading, right.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Friday September 19, 2008 11:13AM EDT

As a society we have two chioces: to provide services via private institutions or via government. If private companies are not able to sucre acctalbe results the government should step in. Just like with health care, since after so many years of trying all we get is the highest prices in the world and 40 milion uninsured it is the time to say thank you we can do it better via public service. If a bank was not able to analyse the risks I see nothing wrong with shareholders walking away with $0 shares and governemnt stepping in in some form as long as it is a good investment for the society. Now politically the problem is that Bush administration is afraid of admitting of failures and becoming de facto the Socialists. How funny, and how costly for all of us.

hot4bearmen
hot4bearmen - Friday September 19, 2008 11:14AM EDT

This scam has me as mad as hell and I'm not gonna take it anymore. If you feel the same way start getting active. Here's a link for getting you started. www.stopthehousingbailout.com

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Friday September 19, 2008 11:14AM EDT

Did the gov't come in & bail out the tech firms in the 90s? Hell no!!! Only reason for the bailout this time is to protect their personal wealth & the wealth of their lobbyists!! All the damn crooked investment bankers & mortgage lenders should have all their personal assets sold off & used to pay for this crap. This is total BS!!! Let Wall Street go to hell for all I care. Damn greedy idiots!!

Jake
Jake - Friday September 19, 2008 11:14AM EDT

only one problem, the government doesn't have the money, and neither does the american taxpayer. The money is borrowed, from other countries. This is a desparate attempt to delay the inevitable while weakening the fundamentals even further. Good luck.

SOCAL USC
SOCAL USC - Friday September 19, 2008 11:14AM EDT

Way to far. I'm getting ready to throw up. Maybe I'll go home sick from work today and let my fellow Americans pay me anyway. I guess that house on the corner that's for sell will have to change their sign from BANK OWNED to FEDERAL GOVERNMENT OWNED or better yet THE PEOPLE OWNED. God help my children and grand children.

Fergal
Fergal - Friday September 19, 2008 11:14AM EDT

Hard to believe, but Bush wastes a Trillion Dollars on Iraq, and now at least another Trillion Dollars on bail-outs that resulted. America was not taking seriously in world politically and now it won't be taken seriously on economic matters either.

ELAINE
ELAINE - Friday September 19, 2008 11:15AM EDT

It sounds like nobody loses except some of the universally detested short sellers. I've never shorted, but I would now. Deadcat bounce here, it's one f-a-a-a-t cat.

Jeffrey
Jeffrey - Friday September 19, 2008 11:15AM EDT

kind of funny that GS and MS have been making billions on shortselling in the past and now they convinced the SEC to stop shortselling on themselves.

Arisian!
Arisian! - Friday September 19, 2008 11:15AM EDT

BTW, the double standard has never been more obvious: the socialization of health care, which would benefit the poor at the expense of the rich, is the very definition of evil. Yet the socialization of the free market, which benefits the rich at the cost of the poor, is not only good but patriotic.

Rob
Rob - Friday September 19, 2008 11:16AM EDT

Some kid in the ghetto knocks off a 7-11 for a couple hundred bucks and goes to prison. Still longer if he is found with a few joints of grass. The laws don't seen to be well written if someone or group of someones can be so reckless with the trust placed in them by depositors that the taxpayer is going to invest a trillion dollars, which looks to me like the tab for September 2008. It had to be done, and I'll be OK with it if a lot of bankers end up doing hard time. But I'm not holding my breath.

John
John - Friday September 19, 2008 11:17AM EDT

Communism for the Rich, Capitalism for the Poor. Massive Debt put on the heads all Americans, every American is now $3000 more in debt today. Americans who did not buy into this market, who rented, who watch their money now have to pay for their neighbors big house and a wall streeters job. Now the Rich Communist get to keep their jobs, get to keep their nice offices. The Blame is on the stupid people who loaned money to people who couldn't pay. Don't want to lose money, don't loan it to people who can't pay. The way for recovery is for idiots to lose their money and let a new generation of smarter people move to power. Instead, the smart people and companies will be taxed and inflated to support the stupid people and companies. It all goes to show you the way ahead in America is through connections not hardwork. Unfortunately that is why we are in the financial crisis that we are today.

NoJonesTax in Arlington
NoJonesTax in Arlington - Friday September 19, 2008 11:19AM EDT

I am shocked at the action by the Fed to bail out all the failed corporations and crooks at the expense of the Tax payer. This is a fix for a BIG screw up by Fed that failed to monitor the financial market. Now it will claim that the smart brains at Fed saved the world from a financial disaster. The facts are 1. The US fed regulators were responsible for the mishap. 2. The rating agencies like S&P, Moodys etc are all bogus and will give a good rating to any thing I say fire the entire leadership from the incompetent president at the top

David L
David L - Friday September 19, 2008 11:20AM EDT

If I remember correctly at the end of the last two term republican president's tenure the banks failed. I can't wait to see how history books and future experts refer to trickle down economics. It has driven our economy close to a depression. Save the banks if you want but what this country needs to keep from becomming a third world country is jobs, good paying jobs. We lost them all over the last 30 years and nobody wanted to do anything about it. Have an emergency meeting about that and spend some taxpayer money on that problem. Who is going to buy products and houses when their pay has been cut by 30-60% because some executive who makes millions wanted to hire someone for less money to cut expenses.

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