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Stocks Cut Losses: Is It a Near-Term Bottom?

Posted Oct 06, 2008 06:33pm EDT by Aaron Task in Investing, Recession, Banking

A potentially devastating stock market decline morphed into a mere run-of-the-mill setback Monday.

After trading as low as 9,525 intraday and on track for its worst-ever point decline, the Dow clawed back to close down a relatively tame 3.6% at 9,955.50, albeit its first close below 10,000 since 2004. Following a similar path, the S&P ended down 3.9% while the Nasdaq lost 4.3%.

U.S. stocks tumbled as the credit market freeze deepened and waterfall declines hit stock proxies across the globe. The benchmark MSCI Emerging Markets Index tumbling 7.5% as Russia and Brazil halted trading. Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index had its steepest decline since 1987, Bloomberg reports.

While the reasons for the early decline seem clear, the catalysts cited for the Dow's mid-afternoon rebound vary and include:

In addition and in conjunction with the above, there were a lot of traders eager to "buy the dip" this morning, as discussed here. Henry Blodget thinks Monday may have marked an intermediate-term low for the stock market, and he may be right. But the absence of true fear indicated by the persistent "buy the dip" mentality suggests a true bottom is yet to come.

Whatever you believe, what's clear is this market remains dangerous, highly volatile and liable to do just about anything. (To that point: After the close, Bank of America reported third-quarter profits of 15 cents, down 68% vs. a year ago and well below the consensus estimate of 62 cents. The bank said it will slash its dividend by 50% and plans to raise $10 billion via a common stock offering.)

174 Comments

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Monday October 06, 2008 06:50PM EDT

Gold and Yen: the only gainers when all else goes down!

- Monday October 06, 2008 06:52PM EDT

any comments about VLO?

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Monday October 06, 2008 06:56PM EDT

when Jim Cramer says SELL its time to BUY

- Monday October 06, 2008 06:58PM EDT

Wonderful time to buy specific stocks with consummer demand and good balance sheets. Millionares will be made on this, but don't speculate be a sound investor. Remember for every down side there is an up side and that is true in life and the market.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Monday October 06, 2008 07:03PM EDT

Becareful out there - One day down 300-400 points -the next day up It's enough to wipe you out if you bet wrong that day - The market will be up tomorrow - The Government made 900B available to banks - On that news, which came late in the day the market rebounded 50% of its losses - watch tomorrow -it goes on the up swing - Then on Wednesday it will go down over unemployment - got to ride with the wave and get into the rythem

- Monday October 06, 2008 07:05PM EDT

Oh yeah, obviously the bottom. Has anyone paid attention to the last few months? This was going to just be bad, but with government assistance it will be plain dreadful and scary. Prepare to defend yourselves.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Monday October 06, 2008 07:06PM EDT

^^^^Agreed! Cramer is wrong more than he's right and following his advice has cost me plenty in the past. Him saying SELL is a great indicator to buy!

- Monday October 06, 2008 07:08PM EDT

The only reason the market didn't collapse 20% today is the PPT buying, spurring the supposed turn around. This is no near term bottom. They won't allow a collapse, but they will allow a gradual melt (no choice, just preferable). Dow 7500 range will be the bottom. That's an average recession's 35% drop, plus a little extra emotional panic. The talking heads have been talking bottom all the way down - when you stop talking about bottoms, we'll know we've hit one.

- Monday October 06, 2008 07:12PM EDT

please stop spinning stocks, the jig is up on this B.S. there is no reason to buy stocks in this environment.

- Monday October 06, 2008 07:16PM EDT

Jim Kramer is an idiot

- Monday October 06, 2008 07:19PM EDT

Earlier this year Cramer said the DOW would be at 15000 by year-end 2008. He later recommended Coors Brewing rather than the “lackluster BUD”, when BUD was sitting @ $47/share (BUD closed @ $63+ today). His incredible denials earlier this year relative to his buy recommendation for Bear Sterns really sucks. Cramer has me tuned-out & turned off.

- Monday October 06, 2008 07:25PM EDT

Market is still trending down. First we need to see true fear, next people have to be disgusted by stocks, then we start to talk about bottoms. We are still far away. If you want to be a sucker, no one can stop you.

- Monday October 06, 2008 07:26PM EDT

Market is still trending down. First we need to see true fear, next people have to be disgusted by stocks, then we start to talk about bottoms. We are still far away. If you want to be a sucker, no one can stop you. And Cramer is an idiot, we can all agree on that. If you listen to him, you are an idiot.

- Monday October 06, 2008 07:28PM EDT

Empiretp- No reason to buy stocks in this environment? This is the best environment to buy in. Ever heard of buy low - sell high?

- Monday October 06, 2008 07:29PM EDT

I'm sad! I've lost almost $8,000 this year plus the usual 5% profits I get yearly. Also my money is in Wachovia and they won't say what is really going on. This whole thing sucks and I guess its too late to get my money out of the mess:(

- Monday October 06, 2008 07:34PM EDT

Nigerian email scam?.....we all should know now that the $600 was to butter-up the masses for the granddaddy of them all schemes......the $700 Billion Bank Bailout, which will be AT LEAST $3,300 for every man, woman, and child in America, maybe even $10,000 each before it's all over; say $40,000 per household, PRETTY GOOD DEAL I'D SAY. Don't ya get it? they give us $600......we give them $3,300-$10,000, sound like Nigeria knocking to me.

- Monday October 06, 2008 07:52PM EDT

I agree with the people saying Cramer's advice is bad, he cost me alot of money too. Telling me to buy MPEL now down more than 80%, AYR now down more than 80%, and sell PCU right before it doubled. Whatever Cramer says, do the opposite. When stocks have a run up, he says to buy at the top. When stocks crash, he says to sell at the bottom.

- Monday October 06, 2008 07:52PM EDT

regulate special interests

- Monday October 06, 2008 07:54PM EDT

If we're talking about a bottom, it's not here. Tradable bounce? Do you feel lucky, punk?

- Monday October 06, 2008 07:55PM EDT

Someone is complaining they lost 8K? I lost 300K. Want to trade?

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