How Bear Markets End

too simplified, though possible.

"How Bear Markets End"? with a zero!

The headline bears no relationship to the article.

This is nonsense. Short is examining a RAW INDEX which does not reflect an investors' returns which include DIVIDENDS. Even worse, his chart is inflation adjusted...all he has done is fit a line to historic data - well duh, sometimes the average if above trend and sometimes below.

hey look at me... hiyaaaaaaa lol

Thanks, I think. I've heard less vagueness and pointlessness in a George W Bush speech.

it seems that we are heading for a new bottom

If you look at that trendline, the S&P bottomed out significantly below that long term trendline. If I was to inferred anything, it would be that we are going much much lower.

Wow this article is a great example of how really educated intelligent people can produce an excellent essay with absolutely no footnotes or bibliography and expect me to believe it or give a damn.

2 paragraphs and chart is not an article.

With Obama in, and all the wasteful spending, socialism, and insults hurled against America by Obama himself, expect the markets to have little faith in our goverment.

I like charts & graphs,I can turn it upside down also.

I believe that technical analysis suffers from one of the great fallacies of mathematics and statistics. Many people try to predict the outcome of a random series of numbers, such as lotto numbers or coin tosses by looking at patterns in the previous numbers. For example, lotto pickers see that the past few number combinations all contain multiples of 6, so they make some conclusion based on that. This is a well jknown fallacy in mathematics because random numbers are just random numbers and patterns in them are illusions. Now, there are some modern chaos theory advocates who do show a mathematical reasoning to interpreting patterns, but I am pretty certain that all the technical analysts out there in the world are not proficient enough in advanced mathematics to be using those theories.

How does changing the components and weightings of the S&P affect the long-term trend?

Umm, and so how do bear markets end? Oh I get it, since they article didn't say, nobody really knows, that is the point right? THANKS.

Follow the bouncing ball. It looses momentum until it finds its way to another bottom. It will continue down, bouncing all the way until its energy is spent and it rolls to a stop, or until the children come out to resume the game after their naps.

in an essentially hollow econmiy the only money to be made is by running the market up and then running it down again. Now its time to run it down and so you are all being fed negative news. Down we go again. just go short ride the downside and don't worry about it...

I Told every one on Friday that the Bears we're gonna show Up This Week. Take Your Money and run to make a profit from last 2 weeks You Betcha

I think it is possible for market to test a new low if the earnings are bad. It is also likely that the earnings will be bad. Therefore save your money for now and buy in at a new low.,, that's what I think this article meant.

captn1_jack - Tuesday April 07, 2009 01:49PM EDT It will end when obama is cleaning the streets, doubtful he is qualified for that either. ------ HAHA, yah,people who graduate from Harvard aren't qualified? You make me sick!