Tuesday, December 15, 2009, 1:08AM ET - U.S. Markets open in 8 hours and 22 minutes.

How Much of Apple's Value Is Steve Jobs? 20% Plus

Posted Oct 22, 2008 12:50pm EDT by Henry Blodget in Investing, Computers, Software and Services, Telecom, Newsmakers

From Silicon Alley Insider, Oct. 22, 2008:

Apple's single biggest corporate priority is (or should be) to diversify its dependence on Steve Jobs. In the past month, investors have gotten two stark reminders of just how much value the market attributes to Steve's ongoing health and presence:

Neither of these stock moves illustrates the market's full estimate of Steve's value to Apple. If he were to leave the company, for whatever reason, the stock fall could easily be double the move in the hour after the heart-attack report -- or more.

20% of Apple's value is a lot of money: $20 billion at a $100 billion market cap (which Apple enjoyed only a couple of weeks back), more at a higher market cap.

Steve and Apple need to find a clear, strong No. 2 soon, and then Steve needs to start sharing the stage with him or her. This person can come from within Apple or outside of it, but investors need to know who it is. The sooner the better.

See Also: Steve Jobs Appears On Conference Call, Stock Flies

26 Comments

John
John - Wednesday October 22, 2008 12:56PM EDT

They've already been showing the Apple "team" during their last couple of product announcements. They're already starting to show more of the Apple "core" team (no pun intended).

__A_YAHOO_USER__
__A_YAHOO_USER__ - Wednesday October 22, 2008 01:00PM EDT

IF HE DOING FINE FOR APPLE.....HE DESERVE GOOD PAY......WHY NOT REDUCE YOUR WAGES AND INCENTIVES AS EXAMPLE.....

EUREKASI
EUREKASI - Wednesday October 22, 2008 01:04PM EDT

Load up on AAPL on your kids college savings and forget about it till they ultimately need it. Don't forget to dollar cost average.

Shane
Shane - Wednesday October 22, 2008 01:17PM EDT

Have you not noticed that he IS sharing the stage? Do you even watch the Apple presentations before writing?

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Wednesday October 22, 2008 01:30PM EDT

Already the short seller's front men are trying to set the stage for AAPL's next leg down when Apple announces the retirement of Jobs. Sheer nonsense.

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Wednesday October 22, 2008 01:36PM EDT

i'm tired of bloggers using gimmicky article titles to get page views. your 20% thing is clearly completely unscientific (the stock price jumped 10% yest. b/c they beat profit expectations, not just b/c people heard jobs' voice).

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Wednesday October 22, 2008 01:44PM EDT

Apple doing well and will do well as long as do not change every six month apple store is the worse customer service that they have special on the service section .

Ricardo
Ricardo - Wednesday October 22, 2008 01:46PM EDT

LIKE WARREN BUFFET IF YOU KNOW ABOUT A MARKET ,THIS IS THE TIME TO BUY AAPL ,BEFORE SCHOOL YEAR AND THEN XCRISTMAS ,WHAT A BETTER PRESENT FOR SOMEONE YOU LIKE OR LOVE THAN A IPOD .EVEN IN THIS HARD TIMES YOU CAN HAVE A GREAT TIME WITH IT AND BETTER THAN GOING TO THE MOVIES .TIME TO BUY BEFORE GETS BACK TO 200.

Barry H
Barry H - Wednesday October 22, 2008 01:50PM EDT

What short memories we have...what was the value of AAPL before Jobs returned...10? 15? And when he's gone..back there it will return...rudderless and burning money at ridiculous schemes...you forget the utter chaos and lack of direction back then. Jobs is more like Welch was to GE...only more so....GE's stock dropped 60% in the 2 years after Welch's retirement and I suspect AAPL will do the same only more so. Job's strengths are very similar to Welch..a great vision into what markets to focus on and no doubt in anyobe's mind that he's the boss.

bm195
bm195 - Wednesday October 22, 2008 01:54PM EDT

This is just nonsense. It may be investors perception, but his real value for the company is not even close to 20%. He's been relatively hands off, only thinking about big picture strategy and not directly involved with any recent product development. Kind of like Bill Gates for Microsoft.

Triss
Triss - Wednesday October 22, 2008 01:55PM EDT

LOL apple is jobs no one especially investors see apple as anything but jobs which is why after they fired him & apple continued going down they brought him back. Apple will not last long when he is gone be it retirement or sudden death or whatever. Warren buffet on the other hand his company will go down but live on because of the board & the trust his investors have in him. That's the difference in old school true investing & new invest for the quick successes. Old school you researched & invested in companies you knew believed in and trusted & saw long time ties with as well as long term growth in. Now most especially the big investment funds simple try to find trends get in at the start of good trends & bail when it looks to change as it will at some point. Buffet has always been focused as a team manager most these days aren't Ellison is another who's company revolves around & is seen as entirely him so when either goes so does the company. Oracle and Apple are like the beatles without John the others even Paul were nothing are nothing & have amounted to nothing. When Oracle's Larry is on an extended vaction the stock often drops like when he's always sailing for the cup. Jobs & Ellison have strong loyal supporters but most of their companies investors again because of trying to make a buck & find trends are instructional investers who see Oracle = Larry Apple = jobs & noone but them so when they go so will the instritutional investors who won't trust or see the company the same. You couldnt take Oracle or Apple & put another high prized CEO from the same field or even trusted & still have apple looking like apple. Again just look at apple after firing jobs they still put out products but didnt do well so they brought him back & so came the jobs supporters & confidence in apple again. we can see ballmer at microsoft because he was there from the start & a big part of it even behind gates or the other guy but after ballmer leaves & now with Bill gone microsoft two won't be see as the same. These aren't companies like Morgan Stanley or Exxonmobile or GE or Sears that can have different CEOs & survive. Anyone who does needs to change the name & start fresh with a new entiety when time comes.

Triss
Triss - Wednesday October 22, 2008 01:58PM EDT

I wouldnt buy apple if they paided me to own them. Let alone with Steve's health issues or potential issues. This isnt Exxon or GE or MorganStanley where the company can survive without the Head & personality. Apple's own history shows it when he was fired it tanked sales slumped & they had to ask him back. Its a dieing company.

Sven
Sven - Wednesday October 22, 2008 01:59PM EDT

Oppenheimer anyone?

Sven
Sven - Wednesday October 22, 2008 02:00PM EDT

Oppenheimer anyone?

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Wednesday October 22, 2008 02:07PM EDT

@Barry H: That was a totally different situation, and everyone knows it. You shorts aren't scaring anyone today. Get ready for a squeeze.

RobertC
RobertC - Wednesday October 22, 2008 02:51PM EDT

Trish, Hate to disagree... Apple is far from a dying company... You need to do a better job at posting. How you can say it is a dying company with $25 B in cash, no debt, and the best consumer electronics in the industry does not constitute a dying company. P.S. Learn how to spell!

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Wednesday October 22, 2008 02:55PM EDT

Showing an apple team is not the same thing as a clear succession plan. Buffet has always made his succession plans clear. Jobs has not. There is a key man issue, whether perceived or real.

Dale
Dale - Wednesday October 22, 2008 02:59PM EDT

These are fair concerns. Any company of substance needs a backup plan for their CEO. It's called risk management. If you think Jobs is not central to Apple's performance, you need to go back and study the company's history. Bill Gates did a marvelous job of transitioning to Steve Ballmer, although I hate everything Ballmer and Gates stand for (corporate rapacity). Only a child or an amateur would think this issue is unimportant.

RobertC
RobertC - Wednesday October 22, 2008 03:21PM EDT

You folks make me laugh. What makes you think apple does not have a succession plan. Apple has some of the most talented, as well as brilliant executives in the industry. If you think for one minute they do not have a back up plan, you all are sadly mistaken. No question Jobs is an important piece of the equation however a company the size and complexity of Apple cannot be run by one individual. Give him credit,,, he has a plan and there are some very capable executives that will rise to the occasion to run the company when the time comes. Furthermore, you can't compare Apple years ago when he left the company to now. Steve has done an incredible job creating a structure that will allow continuation and to assume the company will fall apart when he is gone is completely mis-guided!

Yahoo! Finance User
Yahoo! Finance User - Wednesday October 22, 2008 03:26PM EDT

i used to read these articles and thought lets see what this idiot has to say... now i will never read one again as i feel i am now dumber for having read this. this article is a joke

Yahoo! reserves the right to refuse, or remove any comment that does not comply with the Yahoo! Terms of Service. The submission of spam, hateful, or obscene messages may result in the termination of your Yahoo! ID.
About Tech Ticker - Send FeedbackDisclaimer. Copyright © 2007 Yahoo! Inc. All rights reserved.
Copyright/IP Policy - Terms of Service - Privacy Policy - Help
Quotes delayed, except where indicated otherwise. Delay times are 15 mins for NASDAQ, NYSE and Amex. See also delay times for other exchanges.

Quotes and other information supplied by independent providers identified on the Yahoo! Finance partner page. Quotes are updated automatically, but will be turned off after 25 minutes of inactivity. Quotes are delayed at least 15 minutes for NASDAQ, NYSE and Amex. See also delay times for other exchanges. Real-Time continuous streaming quotes are available through our premium service. You may turn streaming quotes on or off. Fundamental company data provided by Capital IQ. Financials data provided by Edgar Online. Historical chart data and daily updates provided by Commodity Systems, Inc. (CSI). International historical chart data, daily updates, fund summary, fund performance, dividend data and Morningstar Index data provided by Morningstar, Inc. Analyst estimates data provided by Thomson Financial Network. All data provided by Thomson Financial Network is based solely upon research information provided by third party analysts. Yahoo! has not reviewed, and in no way endorses the validity of such data. Yahoo! and ThomsonFN shall not be liable for any actions taken in reliance thereon. All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Neither Yahoo! nor any of independent providers is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. By accessing the Yahoo! site, you agree not to redistribute the information found therein.