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A $1,800 Drop in Minutes: Bitcoin Volatility on Full Display

Gregor Stuart Hunter and Olga Kharif
(Bloomberg) -- This week’s jump in Bitcoin prices revived themes well known to the digital currency that inflated then burst less than two years ago. Among them: enormous volatility, and exchange overloads.Bitcoin soared as much as 39% this week to $13,852, the highest since January 2018. But it hit a brick wall around 4:30 p.m. New York time Wednesday, plunging more than $1,800 within about 10 minutes. Moments later, prominent cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase Inc. reported an outage on its consumer site, which was resolved in under an hour. Swings continued Thursday, with the coin anywhere from down 15% to up 4.8%.It was down 15% to $11,111 as of 12:23 p.m. in New York. Volatility in Bitcoin is near the highest levels since early 2018, when the bubble was bursting. Analysts said this was likely a sign of things to come.“A 20%-30% pullback would not be surprising and very consistent with Bitcoin’s recent bull-market pullbacks,” Robert Sluymer, technical strategist at Fundstrat Global Advisors, wrote in a research note.New ProjectsThe most widely traded digital currency has rebounded after a slump lasting more than a year as major multinational corporations announce new projects in the industry. Facebook Inc. unveiled plans for a so-called stablecoin called Libra to launch next year. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP said on Wednesday it had added cryptocurrency auditing to its services. And JPMorgan Chase & Co. said it is seeing interest from clients in a prototype digital coin to speed up trading of securities such as bonds.“Regardless of how successful Libra will be, the one thing that it’s been successful in doing is bringing attention back to Bitcoin,” said Zennon Kapron, managing director of financial technology consulting firm Kapronasia and author of a book on Bitcoin in China.Equities are getting in on the act, as well. Some stocks that had been popular proxy bets on the Bitcoin boom in 2017 rallied again this week, with Nvidia Corp, a maker of the graphics processing units popular among miners, advancing 4.9% since the start of the week. Riot Blockchain Inc, which changed its name to capitalize on the interest in distributed ledger technologies, rose 38% during the same period. Some cryptocurrency-linked stocks in Asian markets also made gains.Richard Ross, head of technical analysis at Evercore ISI, said if Bitcoin could break through its current resistance level at $14,100, its next resistance is around $17,400. He attributed the recent gains to dovish signals from global central banks.“The ‘problem’ with Bitcoin is not Bitcoin itself, but rather the backdrop which has given rise to this incendiary second act” -- more monetary easing and bonds with negative yields, he said.Read about how Bitcoin’s rally feels like 2017 but isn’t quite the same.(Clarifies outage details in the second paragraph. An earlier update corrected a time reference in the second paragraph.)\--With assistance from David Scheer.To contact the reporters on this story: Gregor Stuart Hunter in Hong Kong at ghunter21@bloomberg.net;Olga Kharif in Portland at okharif@bloomberg.netTo contact the editors responsible for this story: Christopher Anstey at canstey@bloomberg.net, Joanna Ossinger, Dave LiedtkaFor more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com©2019 Bloomberg L.P.

(Bloomberg) -- This week’s jump in Bitcoin prices revived themes well known to the digital currency that inflated then burst less than two years ago. Among them: enormous volatility, and exchange overloads.

Bitcoin soared as much as 39% this week to $13,852, the highest since January 2018. But it hit a brick wall around 4:30 p.m. New York time Wednesday, plunging more than $1,800 within about 10 minutes. Moments later, prominent cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase Inc. reported an outage on its consumer site, which was resolved in under an hour. Swings continued Thursday, with the coin anywhere from down 15% to up 4.8%.

It was down 15% to $11,111 as of 12:23 p.m. in New York. Volatility in Bitcoin is near the highest levels since early 2018, when the bubble was bursting. Analysts said this was likely a sign of things to come.

“A 20%-30% pullback would not be surprising and very consistent with Bitcoin’s recent bull-market pullbacks,” Robert Sluymer, technical strategist at Fundstrat Global Advisors, wrote in a research note.

New Projects

The most widely traded digital currency has rebounded after a slump lasting more than a year as major multinational corporations announce new projects in the industry. Facebook Inc. unveiled plans for a so-called stablecoin called Libra to launch next year. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP said on Wednesday it had added cryptocurrency auditing to its services. And JPMorgan Chase & Co. said it is seeing interest from clients in a prototype digital coin to speed up trading of securities such as bonds.

“Regardless of how successful Libra will be, the one thing that it’s been successful in doing is bringing attention back to Bitcoin,” said Zennon Kapron, managing director of financial technology consulting firm Kapronasia and author of a book on Bitcoin in China.

Equities are getting in on the act, as well. Some stocks that had been popular proxy bets on the Bitcoin boom in 2017 rallied again this week, with Nvidia Corp, a maker of the graphics processing units popular among miners, advancing 4.9% since the start of the week. Riot Blockchain Inc, which changed its name to capitalize on the interest in distributed ledger technologies, rose 38% during the same period. Some cryptocurrency-linked stocks in Asian markets also made gains.

Richard Ross, head of technical analysis at Evercore ISI, said if Bitcoin could break through its current resistance level at $14,100, its next resistance is around $17,400. He attributed the recent gains to dovish signals from global central banks.

“The ‘problem’ with Bitcoin is not Bitcoin itself, but rather the backdrop which has given rise to this incendiary second act” -- more monetary easing and bonds with negative yields, he said.

Read about how Bitcoin’s rally feels like 2017 but isn’t quite the same.

(Clarifies outage details in the second paragraph. An earlier update corrected a time reference in the second paragraph.)

--With assistance from David Scheer.

To contact the reporters on this story: Gregor Stuart Hunter in Hong Kong at ghunter21@bloomberg.net;Olga Kharif in Portland at okharif@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Christopher Anstey at canstey@bloomberg.net, Joanna Ossinger, Dave Liedtka

For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com

©2019 Bloomberg L.P.