SMT Scharf AG (FRA:S4A), which is in the machinery business, and is based in Germany, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the DB over the last few months, increasing to €14.15 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €12.6. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether SMT Scharf's current trading price of €13 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at SMT Scharf’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.
What is SMT Scharf worth?
The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 12% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy SMT Scharf today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth €14.76, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. What's more, SMT Scharf’s share price may be more stable over time (relative to the market), as indicated by its low beta.
Can we expect growth from SMT Scharf?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of SMT Scharf, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -4.2%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? Currently, S4A appears to be trading around its fair value, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to reduce the risk in your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on S4A for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. Furthermore, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on S4A should the price fluctuate below its true value.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on SMT Scharf. You can find everything you need to know about SMT Scharf in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in SMT Scharf, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at email@example.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.