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20 Stocks That Always Surge During Election Years

Joel Anderson
·5 mins read

Determining how certain historical events impact the stock market is essentially impossible. There’s no way to separate one from another, and correlation is not causation. So if your desire is to simply identify the stocks that are surefire winners in an election year just by looking at past performance, you might be making a big mistake by assuming that consistent performance every four years is anything other than a coincidence. However, that doesn’t mean that trends are definitely not rooted in something you could apply to your own portfolio.

If you take the current list of companies in the S&P 500 and examine their performance in election years going back to 2000, you do have five different data points to look at. And there are five companies that have actually posted a gain in each of the last five election cycles. Here are those six companies along with their performance in each election year, as well as 14 other companies that have the largest cumulative gains over those five years in spite of at least one having a negative return.

Last updated: Sept. 22, 2020

PulteGroup (PHM)

  • 2000 performance: 87.39%

  • 2004 performance: 36.27%

  • 2008 performance: 3.70%

  • 2012 performance: 187.80%

  • 2016 performance: 3.14%

How is 2020 looking for PulteGroup? Up 16.11%

W.R. Berkley Corporation (WRB)

  • 2000 performance: 125.82%

  • 2004 performance: 34.94%

  • 2008 performance: 4.03%

  • 2012 performance: 9.73%

  • 2016 performance: 21.48%

How is 2020 looking for W.R. Berkley Corp.? Down 8.34%

Arthur J. Gallagher & Company (AJG)

  • 2000 performance: 96.48%

  • 2004 performance: 0.03%

  • 2008 performance: 7.11%

  • 2012 performance: 3.62%

  • 2016 performance: 26.92%

How is 2020 looking for Arthur J. Gallagher & Company? Up 8.14%

Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW)

  • 2000 performance: 25.29%

  • 2004 performance: 28.47%

  • 2008 performance: 2.95%

  • 2012 performance: 72.31%

  • 2016 performance: 3.52%

How is 2020 looking for Sherwin-Williams Company? Up 22.74%

Waste Management (WM)

  • 2000 performance: 61.43%

  • 2004 performance: 1.15%

  • 2008 performance: 1.44%

  • 2012 performance: 3.15%

  • 2016 performance: 32.86%

How is 2020 looking for Waste Management? Up 2.73%

General Mills (GIS)

  • 2000 performance: 24.61%

  • 2004 performance: 9.76%

  • 2008 performance: 6.60%

  • 2012 performance: 0.02%

  • 2016 performance: 7.13%

How is 2020 looking for General Mills? Up 10.19%

Find Out: How the Economy Is Doing in 30 Coronavirus Hot Spots

Quest Diagnostics Inc. (DGX)

  • 2000 performance: 364.66%

  • 2004 performance: 30.69%

  • 2008 performance: -1.87%

  • 2012 performance: 0.36%

  • 2016 performance: 29.18%

How is 2020 looking for Quest Diagnostics Inc.? Up 6.37%

Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings (LH)

  • 2000 performance: 377.22%

  • 2004 performance: 34.83%

  • 2008 performance: -14.72%

  • 2012 performance: 0.76%

  • 2016 performance: 3.83%

How is 2020 looking for Laboratory Corporation of America Holdings? Up 9.90%

Vertex Pharmaceutic (VRTX)

  • 2000 performance: 308.57%

  • 2004 performance: 2.13%

  • 2008 performance: 30.78%

  • 2012 performance: 26.17%

  • 2016 performance: -41.45%

How is 2020 looking for Vertex Pharmaceutic? Up 21.88%

EOG Resources (EOG)

  • 2000 performance: 211.39%

  • 2004 performance: 54.59%

  • 2008 performance: -25.41%

  • 2012 performance: 22.61%

  • 2016 performance: 42.82%

How is 2020 looking for EOG Resources? Down 53.93%

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals (REGN)

  • 2000 performance: 176.63%

  • 2004 performance: -37.39%

  • 2008 performance: -23.98%

  • 2012 performance: 208.62%

  • 2016 performance: -32.38%

How is 2020 looking for Regeneron Pharmaceuticals? Up 54.44%

Monster Beverage (MNST)

  • 2000 performance: -11.11%

  • 2004 performance: 322.22%

  • 2008 performance: -24.25%

  • 2012 performance: 14.65%

  • 2016 performance: -10.69%

How is 2020 looking for Monster Beverage? Up 30.83%

See: 50 Stocks That Have Suffered the Biggest Losses During the Coronavirus Scare

SBA Communications (SBAC)

  • 2000 performance: 118.99%

  • 2004 performance: 146.81%

  • 2008 performance: -51.77%

  • 2012 performance: 65.22%

  • 2016 performance: -1.72%

How is 2020 looking for SBA Communications? Up 34.18%

Everest Re Group (RE)

  • 2000 performance: 221.07%

  • 2004 performance: 5.86%

  • 2008 performance: -24.16%

  • 2012 performance: 30.75%

  • 2016 performance: 18.19%

How is 2020 looking for Everest Re Group? Down 25.55%

Teledyne Technologies Inc. (TDY)

  • 2000 performance: 150.32%

  • 2004 performance: 56.13%

  • 2008 performance: -16.46%

  • 2012 performance: 18.63%

  • 2016 performance: 38.67%

How is 2020 looking for Teledyne Technologies Inc.? Down 7.79%

NVR Inc. (NVR)

  • 2000 performance: 158.85%

  • 2004 performance: 65.11%

  • 2008 performance: -12.93%

  • 2012 performance: 34.11%

  • 2016 performance: 1.58%

How is 2020 looking for NVR Inc.? Up 5.58%

DaVita Healthcare Partners Inc. (DVA)

  • 2000 performance: 156.05%

  • 2004 performance: 52.08%

  • 2008 performance: -12.03%

  • 2012 performance: 45.79%

  • 2016 performance: -7.90%

How is 2020 looking for DaVita Healthcare Partners Inc.? Up 19.74%

Nvidia Corp. (NVDA)

  • 2000 performance: 39.64%

  • 2004 performance: 52.13%

  • 2008 performance: -76.28%

  • 2012 performance: -11.54%

  • 2016 performance: 223.85%

How is 2020 looking for Nvidia Corp.? Up 120.84%

Waters Corp. (WAT)

  • 2000 performance: 215.09%

  • 2004 performance: 41.10%

  • 2008 performance: -53.65%

  • 2012 performance: 17.65%

  • 2016 performance: -0.14%

How is 2020 looking for Waters Corp.? Down 12.00%

Oneok Inc. (OKE)

  • 2000 performance: 91.45%

  • 2004 performance: 28.65%

  • 2008 performance: -34.95%

  • 2012 performance: -1.37%

  • 2016 performance: 132.81%

How is 2020 looking for Oneok Inc.? Down 65.26%

More From GOBankingRates

Photos are for illustrative purposes only and may not reflect the company listed.

This article originally appeared on GOBankingRates.com: 20 Stocks That Always Surge During Election Years