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At $29, Is Penn National Gaming Inc (NASDAQ:PENN) A Buy?

Gerald Huddleston

Penn National Gaming Inc (NASDAQ:PENN), a hospitality company based in United States, received a lot of attention from a substantial price increase on the NasdaqGS in the over the last few months. As a mid-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine Penn National Gaming’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity. Check out our latest analysis for Penn National Gaming

Is Penn National Gaming still cheap?

The stock is currently trading at $29 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 51% compared to my intrinsic value of $19.16. This means that the opportunity to buy Penn National Gaming at a good price has disappeared! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Penn National Gaming’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What does the future of Penn National Gaming look like?

NasdaqGS:PENN Future Profit Dec 15th 17

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Penn National Gaming, it is expected to deliver a highly negative earnings growth in the next few years, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? If you believe Penn National Gaming is currently trading above its value, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. Given the uncertainty from negative growth in the future, this could be the right time to reduce your total portfolio risk. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on Penn National Gaming for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. Its price has risen beyond its true value, on top of a negative future outlook. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Should the price fall in the future, will you be well-informed enough to buy?

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Penn National Gaming. You can find everything you need to know about Penn National Gaming in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Penn National Gaming, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.