Marchex Inc (NASDAQ:MCHX), a internet company based in United States, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the NasdaqGS in the over the last few months, increasing to $3.5 at one point, and dropping to the lows of $3.05. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether Marchex’s current trading price of $3.15 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Marchex’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. Check out our latest analysis for Marchex
What is Marchex worth?
Marchex appears to be overvalued by 84% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at $3.15 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of $1.71. This means that the opportunity to buy Marchex at a good price has disappeared! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Given that Marchex’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.
What does the future of Marchex look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company’s future expectations. In the upcoming year, Marchex’s earnings are expected to increase by 45.28%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? Marchex’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe Marchex should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on Marchex for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for Marchex, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Marchex. You can find everything you need to know about Marchex in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Marchex, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.