4 Take-Two Analysts On Q3 Results, Long-Term Story, Strength In 'Grand Theft Auto V,' 'NBA 2K'

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Take-Two Interactive Software (NASDAQ: TTWO) analysts say they're left with unanswered questions about the video game stock's long-term story following its third-quarter earnings report on Monday.

Take-Two's Q3 Print: Take-Two's third-quarter revenue of $860.9 million came in ahead of Street estimates of $747 million. Adjusted earnings per share of $1.24 beat the estimate of 96 cents per share for the third quarter.

The Take-Two Analysts: Credit Suisse analyst Stephen Yu maintained a Neutral rating on Take-Two and raised the price target from $199 to $204.

Raymond James analyst Andrew Marok maintained a Market Perform rating.

Morgan Stanley analyst Brian Nowak has an Overweight rating and $215 price target.

KeyBanc Capital Markets analyst Tyler Parker has a Sector Weight rating.

Related Link: Stock Wars: Activision Blizzard Vs. Electronic Arts Vs. Take-Two

Take-Two Has Strength In Largest Games: “Grand Theft Auto V” surpassed 140 million units sold lifetime-to-date in the third quarter. “NBA 2K21” has sold 8 million units. “Red Dead Online” hit a new high for new players in the month of December. And “Grand Theft Auto Online” hit its highest participation rate with year-over-year growth of 28%, Raymond James' Marok said in a note.

Gamer engagement and monetization was strong in the third quarter and the highlight for Morgan Stanley's Nowak.

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Players were retained and hit records in the third quarter across several franchises, the analyst said.

Take-Two lags Activision Blizzard Inc (NASDAQ: ATVI) in terms of in-game revenue.

Nowak said he expects Take-Two to close the gap with the continued strength of the Grand Theft Auto and NBA2K franchises.

“Grand Theft Auto V” is coming to next-gen consoles in the second half of calendar 2021, and a new standalone “Grand Theft Auto Online” launch is coming exclusively to the Playstation 5 from Sony Corp (NYSE: SNE) for three months later in 2021.

What’s Next For Take-Two: Content investment and innovation are critical to bringing upside to Take-Two while customers and investors wait for the next Grand Theft Auto game, Nowak said. The analyst projects "Grand Theft Auto VI" coming in calendar year 2023.

Take-Two’s pipeline consists of 72 PC/console games and 21 mobile games, the analyst said.

KeyBanc's Parker said Take-Two is expensive without knowing much about fiscal year 2022, adding that the risk-reward is more neutral at current levels.

"We think it’s expensive to own right now and remain Sector Weight until we know more about the upcoming slate."

TTWO Price Action: Shares of Take-Two were down 5.77% at $201.03 at last check Tuesday.

Latest Ratings for TTWO

Feb 2021

Wells Fargo

Maintains

Overweight

Feb 2021

Wedbush

Maintains

Outperform

Feb 2021

Cowen & Co.

Maintains

Outperform

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