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At $55.84, Is It Time To Buy Altria Group Inc (NYSE:MO)?

Walter Gay

Altria Group Inc (NYSE:MO) saw significant share price volatility over the past couple of months on the NYSE, rising to the highs of $71.02 and falling to the lows of $55.3. This high level of volatility gives investors the opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at an artificially low price. A question to answer is whether Altria Group’s current trading price of $55.84 reflective of the actual value of the large-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Altria Group’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change. Check out our latest analysis for Altria Group

Is Altria Group still cheap?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 18.23% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Altria Group today, you’d be paying a fair price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $68.29, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. In addition to this, it seems like Altria Group’s share price is quite stable, which could mean there may be less chances to buy low in the future now that it’s fairly valued. This is because the stock is less volatile than the wider market given its low beta.

Can we expect growth from Altria Group?

NYSE:MO Future Profit Apr 26th 18

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Though in the case of Altria Group, it is expected to deliver a negative earnings growth of -13.83%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. It appears that risk of future uncertainty is high, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? MO seems fairly priced right now, but given the uncertainty from negative returns in the future, this could be the right time to de-risk your portfolio. Is your current exposure to the stock beneficial for your total portfolio? And is the opportunity cost of holding a negative-outlook stock too high? Before you make a decision on the stock, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on MO for a while, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. The price seems to be trading at fair value, which means there’s less benefit from mispricing. In addition to this, the negative growth outlook increases the risk of holding the stock. However, there are also other important factors we haven’t considered today, which can help crystalize your views on MO should the price fluctuate below its true value.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Altria Group. You can find everything you need to know about Altria Group in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Altria Group, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.