At $58.88, Is Seagate Technology plc (NASDAQ:STX) A Buy?

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Today we’re going to take a look at the well-established Seagate Technology plc (NASDAQ:STX). The company’s stock led the NasdaqGS gainers with a relatively large price hike in the past couple of weeks. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Today I will analyse the most recent data on Seagate Technology’s outlook and valuation to see if the opportunity still exists. Check out our latest analysis for Seagate Technology

Is Seagate Technology still cheap?

According to my valuation model, Seagate Technology seems to be fairly priced at around 7.06% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Seagate Technology today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that the stock is really worth $63.35, then there isn’t much room for the share price grow beyond what it’s currently trading. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Seagate Technology’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of Seagate Technology look like?

NasdaqGS:STX Future Profit Mar 9th 18
NasdaqGS:STX Future Profit Mar 9th 18

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. With profit expected to grow by 79.37% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Seagate Technology. It looks like higher cash flows is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? STX’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on STX, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth further examining other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Seagate Technology. You can find everything you need to know about Seagate Technology in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Seagate Technology, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.

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