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Aclaris Therapeutics Stock Appears To Be Significantly Overvalued

GuruFocus.com
·4 min read

- By GF Value

The stock of Aclaris Therapeutics (NAS:ACRS, 30-year Financials) appears to be significantly overvalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $25.2 per share and the market cap of $1.3 billion, Aclaris Therapeutics stock is estimated to be significantly overvalued. GF Value for Aclaris Therapeutics is shown in the chart below.


Aclaris Therapeutics Stock Appears To Be Significantly Overvalued
Aclaris Therapeutics Stock Appears To Be Significantly Overvalued

Because Aclaris Therapeutics is significantly overvalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much lower than its future business growth, which averaged 36.3% over the past five years.

Link: These companies may deliever higher future returns at reduced risk.

Since investing in companies with low financial strength could result in permanent capital loss, investors must carefully review a company's financial strength before deciding whether to buy shares. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage can give a good initial perspective on the company's financial strength. Aclaris Therapeutics has a cash-to-debt ratio of 4.81, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Biotechnology industry. Based on this, GuruFocus ranks Aclaris Therapeutics's financial strength as 5 out of 10, suggesting fair balance sheet. This is the debt and cash of Aclaris Therapeutics over the past years:

Aclaris Therapeutics Stock Appears To Be Significantly Overvalued
Aclaris Therapeutics Stock Appears To Be Significantly Overvalued

Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. Aclaris Therapeutics has been profitable 0 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $6.5 million and loss of $1.2 a share. Its operating margin of -785.44% worse than 70% of the companies in Biotechnology industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks Aclaris Therapeutics's profitability as poor. This is the revenue and net income of Aclaris Therapeutics over the past years:

Aclaris Therapeutics Stock Appears To Be Significantly Overvalued
Aclaris Therapeutics Stock Appears To Be Significantly Overvalued

One of the most important factors in the valuation of a company is growth. Long-term stock performance is closely correlated with growth according to GuruFocus research. Companies that grow faster create more value for shareholders, especially if that growth is profitable. The average annual revenue growth of Aclaris Therapeutics is 36.3%, which ranks better than 82% of the companies in Biotechnology industry. The 3-year average EBITDA growth is 14.8%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Biotechnology industry.

Another method of determining the profitability of a company is to compare its return on invested capital to the weighted average cost of capital. Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. When the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it implies the company is creating value for shareholders. For the past 12 months, Aclaris Therapeutics's return on invested capital is -248.38, and its cost of capital is 5.13. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Aclaris Therapeutics is shown below:

Aclaris Therapeutics Stock Appears To Be Significantly Overvalued
Aclaris Therapeutics Stock Appears To Be Significantly Overvalued

In short, the stock of Aclaris Therapeutics (NAS:ACRS, 30-year Financials) appears to be significantly overvalued. The company's financial condition is fair and its profitability is poor. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in Biotechnology industry. To learn more about Aclaris Therapeutics stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.

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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.