Is Activision Blizzard Inc (NASDAQ:ATVI) Undervalued?
Let’s talk about the popular Activision Blizzard Inc (NASDAQ:ATVI). The company’s shares saw a significant share price rise of over 20% in the past couple of months on the NasdaqGS. As a large-cap stock with high coverage by analysts, you could assume any recent changes in the company’s outlook is already priced into the stock. But what if there is still an opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Activision Blizzard’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if the opportunity still exists. View our latest analysis for Activision Blizzard
What is Activision Blizzard worth?
Activision Blizzard appears to be overvalued by 37% at the moment, based on my discounted cash flow valuation. The stock is currently priced at US$78.22 on the market compared to my intrinsic value of $57.09. This means that the buying opportunity has probably disappeared for now. But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Since Activision Blizzard’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.
What does the future of Activision Blizzard look like?
Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Activision Blizzard’s earnings over the next few years are expected to double, indicating a very optimistic future ahead. This should lead to stronger cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.
What this means for you:
Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in ATVI’s positive outlook, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe ATVI should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.
Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on ATVI for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the optimistic prospect is encouraging for ATVI, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.
Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Activision Blizzard. You can find everything you need to know about Activision Blizzard in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Activision Blizzard, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.
To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.
The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.
