The Adtalem Global Education (NYSE:ATGE) Share Price Has Gained 122%, So Why Not Pay It Some Attention?

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Adtalem Global Education Inc. (NYSE:ATGE) shareholders might be concerned after seeing the share price drop 10% in the last quarter. In contrast, the return over three years has been impressive. Indeed, the share price is up a very strong 122% in that time. It’s not uncommon to see a share price retrace a bit, after a big gain. If the business can perform well for years to come, then the recent drop could be an opportunity.

Check out our latest analysis for Adtalem Global Education

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Adtalem Global Education was able to grow its EPS at 97% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is higher than the 30% average annual increase in the share price. So it seems investors have become more cautious about the company, over time.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

NYSE:ATGE Past and Future Earnings, March 9th 2019
NYSE:ATGE Past and Future Earnings, March 9th 2019

We know that Adtalem Global Education has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Dividend Lost

The value of past dividends are accounted for in the total shareholder return (TSR), but not in the share price return mentioned above. Many would argue the TSR gives a more complete picture of the value a stock brings to its holders. Over the last 3 years, Adtalem Global Education generated a TSR of 125%, which is, of course, better than the share price return. Even though the company isn’t paying dividends at the moment, it has done in the past.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Adtalem Global Education shareholders are down 4.5% for the year. Unfortunately, that’s worse than the broader market decline of 0.4%. Having said that, it’s inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 4.3% per year over half a decade. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. Before spending more time on Adtalem Global Education it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.

If you would prefer to check out another company — one with potentially superior financials — then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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