U.S. Markets closed
  • S&P 500

    3,621.63
    -16.72 (-0.46%)
     
  • Dow 30

    29,638.64
    -271.73 (-0.91%)
     
  • Nasdaq

    12,198.74
    -7.11 (-0.06%)
     
  • Russell 2000

    1,819.82
    -35.45 (-1.91%)
     
  • Crude Oil

    45.05
    -0.48 (-1.05%)
     
  • Gold

    1,779.30
    -8.80 (-0.49%)
     
  • Silver

    22.65
    +0.10 (+0.43%)
     
  • EUR/USD

    1.1930
    -0.0040 (-0.3340%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    0.8440
    +0.0020 (+0.24%)
     
  • Vix

    20.57
    -0.27 (-1.30%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.3321
    +0.0007 (+0.0506%)
     
  • USD/JPY

    104.3780
    +0.2930 (+0.2815%)
     
  • BTC-USD

    19,406.43
    -2.58 (-0.01%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    381.22
    +16.62 (+4.56%)
     
  • FTSE 100

    6,266.19
    -101.39 (-1.59%)
     
  • Nikkei 225

    26,433.62
    -211.09 (-0.79%)
     

Are Air Canada’s (TSE:AC) Returns Worth Your While?

Simply Wall St
·4 min read

Today we'll look at Air Canada (TSE:AC) and reflect on its potential as an investment. To be precise, we'll consider its Return On Capital Employed (ROCE), as that will inform our view of the quality of the business.

First of all, we'll work out how to calculate ROCE. Next, we'll compare it to others in its industry. Finally, we'll look at how its current liabilities affect its ROCE.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. All else being equal, a better business will have a higher ROCE. In brief, it is a useful tool, but it is not without drawbacks. Renowned investment researcher Michael Mauboussin has suggested that a high ROCE can indicate that 'one dollar invested in the company generates value of more than one dollar'.

How Do You Calculate Return On Capital Employed?

The formula for calculating the return on capital employed is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

Or for Air Canada:

0.081 = CA$1.6b ÷ (CA$28b - CA$7.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2019.)

Therefore, Air Canada has an ROCE of 8.1%.

See our latest analysis for Air Canada

Is Air Canada's ROCE Good?

ROCE can be useful when making comparisons, such as between similar companies. It appears that Air Canada's ROCE is fairly close to the Airlines industry average of 10.0%. Aside from the industry comparison, Air Canada's ROCE is mediocre in absolute terms, considering the risk of investing in stocks versus the safety of a bank account. It is possible that there are more rewarding investments out there.

Air Canada's current ROCE of 8.1% is lower than its ROCE in the past, which was 13%, 3 years ago. So investors might consider if it has had issues recently. The image below shows how Air Canada's ROCE compares to its industry, and you can click it to see more detail on its past growth.

TSX:AC Past Revenue and Net Income, March 1st 2020
TSX:AC Past Revenue and Net Income, March 1st 2020

When considering this metric, keep in mind that it is backwards looking, and not necessarily predictive. Companies in cyclical industries can be difficult to understand using ROCE, as returns typically look high during boom times, and low during busts. This is because ROCE only looks at one year, instead of considering returns across a whole cycle. Since the future is so important for investors, you should check out our free report on analyst forecasts for Air Canada.

How Air Canada's Current Liabilities Impact Its ROCE

Liabilities, such as supplier bills and bank overdrafts, are referred to as current liabilities if they need to be paid within 12 months. Due to the way ROCE is calculated, a high level of current liabilities makes a company look as though it has less capital employed, and thus can (sometimes unfairly) boost the ROCE. To counter this, investors can check if a company has high current liabilities relative to total assets.

Air Canada has current liabilities of CA$7.8b and total assets of CA$28b. As a result, its current liabilities are equal to approximately 28% of its total assets. This is a modest level of current liabilities, which would only have a small effect on ROCE.

What We Can Learn From Air Canada's ROCE

If Air Canada continues to earn an uninspiring ROCE, there may be better places to invest. But note: make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a P/E ratio below 20).

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.