Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Air Industries Group (NYSEMKT:AIRI) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
How Much Debt Does Air Industries Group Carry?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Air Industries Group had debt of US$25.2m at the end of June 2019, a reduction from US$29.7m over a year. On the flip side, it has US$1.36m in cash leading to net debt of about US$23.8m.
A Look At Air Industries Group's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Air Industries Group had liabilities of US$35.2m due within a year, and liabilities of US$7.86m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had US$1.36m in cash and US$7.81m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$33.9m.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of US$33.9m, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Air Industries Group's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Air Industries Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
Over 12 months, Air Industries Group reported revenue of US$51m, which is a gain of 9.7%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. We usually like to see faster growth from unprofitable companies, but each to their own.
Over the last twelve months Air Industries Group produced an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at US$1.8m. Considering that alongside the liabilities mentioned above does not give us much confidence that company should be using so much debt. So we think its balance sheet is a little strained, though not beyond repair. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$1.8m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. When I consider a company to be a bit risky, I think it is responsible to check out whether insiders have been reporting any share sales. Luckily, you can click here ito see our graphic depicting Air Industries Group insider transactions.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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