Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALXN): Will The Growth Last?

Based on Alexion Pharmaceuticals, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALXN) earnings update on 30 June 2019, analysts seem cautiously optimistic, with profits predicted to increase by 48% next year relative to the past 5-year average growth rate of 2.0%. With trailing-twelve-month net income at current levels of US$78m, we should see this rise to US$115m in 2020. Below is a brief commentary around Alexion Pharmaceuticals's earnings outlook going forward, which may give you a sense of market sentiment for the company. For those interested in more of an analysis of the company, you can research its fundamentals here.

Check out our latest analysis for Alexion Pharmaceuticals

What can we expect from Alexion Pharmaceuticals in the longer term?

Over the next three years, it seems the consensus view of the 18 analysts covering ALXN is skewed towards the positive sentiment. Since forecasting becomes more difficult further into the future, broker analysts generally project out to around three years. I've plotted out each year's earnings expectations and inserted a line of best fit to calculate an annual growth rate from the slope in order to understand the overall trajectory of ALXN's earnings growth over these next few years.

NasdaqGS:ALXN Past and Future Earnings, July 26th 2019
NasdaqGS:ALXN Past and Future Earnings, July 26th 2019

By 2022, ALXN's earnings should reach US$142m, from current levels of US$78m, resulting in an annual growth rate of 12%. This leads to an EPS of $10.78 in the final year of projections relative to the current EPS of $0.35. Margins are currently sitting at 1.9%, which is expected to expand to 2.5% by 2022.

Next Steps:

Future outlook is only one aspect when you're building an investment case for a stock. For Alexion Pharmaceuticals, I've compiled three pertinent factors you should further examine:

  1. Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.

  2. Valuation: What is Alexion Pharmaceuticals worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Alexion Pharmaceuticals is currently mispriced by the market.

  3. Other High-Growth Alternatives : Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of Alexion Pharmaceuticals? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.

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