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Allegheny (ATI) Gains 31% Over a Year: What's Driving it?

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Shares of Allegheny Technologies Incorporated ATI have rallied 31.2% over the past year, outperforming the industry’s gain of roughly 16.9%.


Allegheny has a market cap of roughly $3 billion and average volume of shares traded in the last three months was around 2,017.2K.  

Let’s take a look at the factors that are driving this Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) stock.

Driving Factors

Forecast-topping fourth-quarter 2017 earnings performance and bright prospects from its recent joint venture (JV) deal with the Tsingshan Group have contributed to the rally in Allegheny’s shares.

Allegheny’s adjusted earnings for the fourth quarter came in at 27 cents per share, which surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of 14 cents. Notably, the company has surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the four trailing quarters, with an average positive surprise of 41.7%.

Allegheny expects continued operating margin improvement and revenue growth in its High Performance Metals and Components unit in 2018 resulting from improved asset utilization and ongoing aerospace market demand growth. The company also expects its Flat Rolled Products (FRP) unit to build on the operational improvements and product mix benefits attained last year and increase operating margins.

Last month, Allegheny and Tsingshan Group formed their previously announced 50-50 JV deal to produce 60-inch wide stainless sheet products for the North American market. The JV will be a 50-50 equity investment with the partners sharing its cash flows and operating profit. Moreover, all necessary regulatory and anti-trust clearances for the JV have been received on time and initial customer shipments are expected in the first half of 2018.

The JV will offer cost competitive stainless sheet products made for the North American market through a unique combination of Allegheny’s innovative, low-cost Hot Rolling and Processing Facility (HRPF) and Tsingshan’s unparalleled Indonesian refining, mining and castings assets, and the JV’s unique Direct Roll Anneal and Pickle facility in Midland, PA.

The JV supports Allegheny’s considerable investment in the U.S. manufacturing operations, especially its HRPF facility, which will provide value addition to the processing services for the JV’s finished products.

Per the company, this move will also benefit its FRP unit that employs more than 2,000 people in the United States. Moreover, the JV will lay foundations for the company’s long-term objectives and additionally support job creation in the United States by directly creating roughly 100 manufacturing jobs in Western Pennsylvania.

Allegheny Technologies Incorporated Price and Consensus

Allegheny Technologies Incorporated Price and Consensus | Allegheny Technologies Incorporated Quote

Other Stocks to Consider

Some other top-ranked stocks worth considering in the basic materials space are LyondellBasell Industries N.V. LYB, CF Industries Holdings, Inc. CF and Daqo New Energy Corp. DQ, each sporting a Zacks Rank #1. You can see the complete list of today’s Zacks #1 Rank stocks here.

LyondellBasell has an expected long-term earnings growth rate of 9%. Its shares have moved up 14.8% over a year.

CF Industries has an expected long-term earnings growth rate of 6%. Its shares have gained 26.5% over a year.

Daqo New Energy has an expected long-term earnings growth rate of 7%. Its shares have rallied 175.3% over a year.

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