Have you been paying attention to shares of Ally Financial (ALLY)? Shares have been on the move with the stock up 8.4% over the past month. The stock hit a new 52-week high of $29.27 in the previous session. Ally Financial has gained 27.9% since the start of the year compared to the 11.8% move for the Zacks Finance sector and the 21.8% return for the Zacks Financial - Consumer Loans industry.
What's Driving the Outperformance?
The stock has a great record of positive earnings surprises, as it hasn't missed our earnings consensus estimate in any of the last four quarters. In its last earnings report on January 30, 2019, Ally Financial reported EPS of $0.92 versus consensus estimate of $0.82 while it missed the consensus revenue estimate by 5.57%.
For the current fiscal year, Ally Financial is expected to post earnings of $3.6 per share on $6.21 billion in revenues. This represents a 7.78% change in EPS on a 6.97% change in revenues. For the next fiscal year, the company is expected to earn $4.01 per share on $6.48 billion in revenues. This represents a year-over-year change of 11.43% and 4.33%, respectively.
Ally Financial may be at a 52-week high right now, but what might the future hold for the stock? A key aspect of this question is taking a look at valuation metrics in order to determine if the company has run ahead of itself.
On this front, we can look at the Zacks Style Scores, as they provide investors with an additional way to sort through stocks (beyond looking at the Zacks Rank of a security). These styles are represented by grades running from A to F in the categories of Value, Growth, and Momentum, while there is a combined VGM Score as well. The idea behind the style scores is to help investors pick the most appropriate Zacks Rank stocks based on their individual investment style.
Ally Financial has a Value Score of B. The stock's Growth and Momentum Scores are D and A, respectively, giving the company a VGM Score of B.
In terms of its value breakdown, the stock currently trades at 8.1X current fiscal year EPS estimates. On a trailing cash flow basis, the stock currently trades at 3.9X versus its peer group's average of 6X. Additionally, the stock has a PEG ratio of 0.49. This isn't enough to put the company in the top echelon of all stocks we cover from a value perspective.
We also need to look at the Zacks Rank for the stock, as this supersedes any trend on the style score front. Fortunately, Ally Financial currently has a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy) thanks to rising earnings estimates.
Since we recommend that investors select stocks carrying Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy) or 2 (Buy) and Style Scores of A or B, it looks as if Ally Financial fits the bill. Thus, it seems as though Ally Financial shares could have potential in the weeks and months to come.
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