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In December 2018, Think Childcare Limited (ASX:TNK) released its earnings update. Generally, analyst forecasts seem fairly subdued, as a 18% rise in profits is expected in the upcoming year, relative to the higher past 5-year average growth rate of 43%. Currently with trailing-twelve-month earnings of AU$5.0m, we can expect this to reach AU$5.8m by 2020. In this article, I've outline a few earnings growth rates to give you a sense of the market sentiment for Think Childcare in the longer term. Investors wanting to learn more about other aspects of the company should research its fundamentals here.
Exciting times ahead?
Longer term expectations from the 4 analysts covering TNK’s stock is one of positive sentiment. Generally, broker analysts tend to make predictions for up to three years given the lack of visibility beyond this point. To get an idea of the overall earnings growth trend for TNK, I’ve plotted out each year’s earnings expectations and inserted a line of best fit to determine an annual rate of growth from the slope of this line.
This results in an annual growth rate of 28% based on the most recent earnings level of AU$5.0m to the final forecast of AU$11m by 2022. This leads to an EPS of A$0.18 in the final year of projections relative to the current EPS of A$0.10. In 2022, TNK's profit margin will have expanded from 5.8% to 6.3%.
Future outlook is only one aspect when you're building an investment case for a stock. For Think Childcare, I've put together three key aspects you should further examine:
- Financial Health: Does it have a healthy balance sheet? Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis with six simple checks on key factors like leverage and risk.
- Valuation: What is Think Childcare worth today? Is the stock undervalued, even when its growth outlook is factored into its intrinsic value? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether Think Childcare is currently mispriced by the market.
- Other High-Growth Alternatives : Are there other high-growth stocks you could be holding instead of Think Childcare? Explore our interactive list of stocks with large growth potential to get an idea of what else is out there you may be missing!
We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at firstname.lastname@example.org. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.