We think that it’s fair to say that the possibility of finding fantastic multi-year winners is what motivates many investors. But when you hold the right stock for the right time period, the rewards can be truly huge. For example, the Frontier Developments plc (LON:FDEV) share price is up a whopping 378% in the last three years, a handsome return for long term holders. Also pleasing for shareholders was the 27% gain in the last three months.
To quote Buffett, ‘Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace…’ One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Frontier Developments was able to grow its EPS at 53% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is lower than the 68% average annual increase in the share price. This indicates that the market is feeling more optimistic on the stock, after the last few years of progress. That’s not necessarily surprising considering the three-year track record of earnings growth.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
We know that Frontier Developments has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? If you are thinking of buying or selling Frontier Developments stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
A Different Perspective
Investors in Frontier Developments had a tough year, with a total loss of 19%, against a market gain of about 5.2%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Longer term investors wouldn’t be so upset, since they would have made 27%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. Most investors take the time to check the data on insider transactions. You can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.
We will like Frontier Developments better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.
We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at firstname.lastname@example.org. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.