After Another Double-Digit Revenue Increase, Simply Good Foods Revises Its Full-Year Outlook
The second quarter of fiscal 2019 revealed a trifecta of double-digit sales, gross profit, and adjusted earnings growth for the Simply Good Foods Company (NASDAQ: SMPL). The provider of wellness-oriented snack bars, packaged meals, protein shakes, and other nutritional products recorded growth well above management's own expectations. Below we'll review the earnings report, released on Thursday, and delve into why the quarter was "simply" a positive showing for this young company.
Note that all comparative numbers in this article are presented against the prior-year quarter.
Simply Good Foods: The raw numbers
Metric | Q2 2019 | Q2 2018 | YOY Growth |
|---|---|---|---|
Revenue | $123.8 million | $109.3 million | 13.3% |
Net income | $12.7 million | $41.4 million | (69.3%) |
Diluted earnings per share | $0.15 | $0.56 | (73.2%) |
Data source: The Simply Good Foods Company. YOY = year-over-year.
What happened with Simply Good Foods this quarter?
Image source: Getty Images.
Management attributed the top-line advance primarily to rising volume, although a previously announced reduction in snack bar promotions (partially offset by non-price-related customer buying activity), also helped push revenue higher.
Gross profit increased by 14.7% to $57.6 million. Gross margin edged up 60 basis points to 46.6%. Again, fewer snack bar promotions, partially negated by non-price-related customer buying activity, was cited as the primary factor behind the slightly better profitability.
Marketing expense climbed as Simply Good Foods increased its spend by 21% to $12.2 million, with a focus on TV and e-commerce channels. Selling expenses declined nearly 50% to $2.5 million due to the shift in customer buying activity.
While total operating expenses increased against the prior-year quarter, operating margin rose 60 basis points to 31.2% due to the leverage provided by higher sales.
In the second quarter of fiscal 2018, Simply Good Foods recorded a tax benefit of $26.8 million as a result of U.S. tax legislation. In the current quarter, the company booked a net tax expense of $4 million; this swing of nearly $31 million in income tax expense is responsible for the wide gap in net earnings between periods shown in the table above.
The organization reported that retail takeaway (i.e., retail sales growth, as opposed to recorded revenue) exceeded 22% during the quarter. As I explained in my earnings preview, customers are purchasing the company's products faster than it can supply goods to grocery shelves. These near-term supply issues actually bode well for long-term revenue growth.
What management had to say
In Simply Good Foods' earnings press release, CEO Joe Scalzo extolled the company's vigorous sales and adjusted earnings growth, which are benefiting from increased uptake of Atkins wellness products and Simply Protein snack bar items:
Our strong second quarter and year-to-date results reflect the successful execution of our annual plan as well as our strategic initiatives. We delivered double-digit sales, gross profit and adjusted EBITDA growth in both the second quarter and year-to-date periods. I'm particularly pleased that our U.S. retail takeaway, as measured by IRI for the thirteen week period ended February 23, 2019, continued to be strong and was up 22.1% versus the prior year. We continued to expand adjusted EBITDA margin while also making investments in marketing and organizational capabilities that we believe will benefit the company in the near and long term.
Looking forward
After averaging year-over-year revenue growth of 13.3% in the first half of fiscal 2019, management has abandoned its previous 2019 revenue guidance, which pegged the top line at a 4%-6% expansion range. This initial estimate now seems conservative, but was informed by early concerns that recent supply chain issues might persist and crimp sales in the second half of the fiscal year.
Those fears appear to have dissipated, as management currently expects revenue to advance by at least a double-digit percentage against fiscal 2018. Executives also anticipate a double-digit improvement in adjusted EBITDA this year.
Supporting both the top- and bottom-line targets, management cited the benefit of a fifty-third week in fiscal 2019, the impact of marketing investments, and continued robust volume. For a few quarters at least, the Simply Good Foods Company appears poised to maintain growth well above the rate of its packaged-food-company peers.
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Asit Sharma has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
