Is Auto Trader Group plc (LSE:AUTO) A Buy At Its Current Price?

Auto Trader Group plc (LSE:AUTO) is trading with a trailing P/E of 22.8x, which is lower than the industry average of 52.4x. While AUTO might seem like an attractive stock to buy, it is important to understand the assumptions behind the P/E ratio before you make any investment decisions. Today, I will explain what the P/E ratio is as well as what you should look out for when using it. See our latest analysis for AUTO

Demystifying the P/E ratio

LSE:AUTO PE PEG Gauge Sep 17th 17
LSE:AUTO PE PEG Gauge Sep 17th 17

A common ratio used for relative valuation is the P/E ratio. It compares a stock’s price per share to the stock’s earnings per share. A more intuitive way of understanding the P/E ratio is to think of it as how much investors are paying for each pound of the company’s earnings.

Formula

Price-Earnings Ratio = Price per share ÷ Earnings per share

P/E Calculation for AUTO

Price per share = 3.57

Earnings per share = 0.156

∴ Price-Earnings Ratio = 3.57 ÷ 0.156 = 22.8x

The P/E ratio itself doesn’t tell you a lot; however, it becomes very insightful when you compare it with other similar companies. We preferably want to compare the stock’s P/E ratio to the average of companies that have similar features to AUTO, such as capital structure and profitability. A common peer group is companies that exist in the same industry, which is what I use below. Since similar companies should technically have similar P/E ratios, we can very quickly come to some conclusions about the stock if the ratios differ.

At 22.8x, AUTO’s P/E is lower than its industry peers (52.4x). This implies that investors are undervaluing each dollar of AUTO’s earnings. Therefore, according to this analysis, AUTO is an under-priced stock.

Assumptions to watch out for

While our conclusion might prompt you to buy AUTO immediately, there are two important assumptions you should be aware of. The first is that our peer group actually contains companies that are similar to AUTO. If this isn’t the case, the difference in P/E could be due to some other factors. For example, if you accidentally compared higher growth firms with AUTO, then AUTO’s P/E would naturally be lower since investors would reward its peers’ higher growth with a higher price. Alternatively, if you inadvertently compared less risky firms with AUTO, AUTO’s P/E would again be lower since investors would reward its peers’ lower risk with a higher price as well. The second assumption that must hold true is that the stocks we are comparing AUTO to are fairly valued by the market. If this assumption does not hold true, AUTO’s lower P/E ratio may be because firms in our peer group are being overvalued by the market.

LSE:AUTO Future Profit Sep 17th 17
LSE:AUTO Future Profit Sep 17th 17

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? You may have already conducted fundamental analysis on the stock as a shareholder, so its current undervaluation could signal a good buying opportunity to increase your exposure to AUTO. Now that you understand the ins and outs of the PE metric, you should know to bear in mind its limitations before you make an investment decision.

Are you a potential investor? If AUTO has been on your watch list for a while, it is best you also consider its intrinsic valuation. Looking at PE on its own will not give you the full picture of the stock as an investment, so I suggest you should also look at other relative valuation metrics like EV/EBITDA or PEG.

PE is one aspect of your portfolio construction to consider when holding or entering into a stock. But it is certainly not the only factor. Take a look at our most recent infographic report on Auto Trader Group for a more in-depth analysis of the stock to help you make a well-informed investment decision. Since we know a limitation of PE is it doesn't properly account for growth, you can use our free platform to see my list of stocks with a high growth potential and see if their PE is still reasonable.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.

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