- By GF Value
The stock of Autohome (NYSE:ATHM, 30-year Financials) shows every sign of being significantly undervalued, according to GuruFocus Value calculation. GuruFocus Value is GuruFocus' estimate of the fair value at which the stock should be traded. It is calculated based on the historical multiples that the stock has traded at, the past business growth and analyst estimates of future business performance. If the price of a stock is significantly above the GF Value Line, it is overvalued and its future return is likely to be poor. On the other hand, if it is significantly below the GF Value Line, its future return will likely be higher. At its current price of $69.8 per share and the market cap of $8.7 billion, Autohome stock gives every indication of being significantly undervalued. GF Value for Autohome is shown in the chart below.
Because Autohome is significantly undervalued, the long-term return of its stock is likely to be much higher than its business growth, which averaged 11.4% over the past three years and is estimated to grow 11.33% annually over the next three to five years.
Since investing in companies with low financial strength could result in permanent capital loss, investors must carefully review a company's financial strength before deciding whether to buy shares. Looking at the cash-to-debt ratio and interest coverage can give a good initial perspective on the company's financial strength. Autohome has a cash-to-debt ratio of 10000.00, which ranks better than 100% of the companies in Interactive Media industry. Based on this, GuruFocus ranks Autohome's financial strength as 8 out of 10, suggesting strong balance sheet. This is the debt and cash of Autohome over the past years:
Investing in profitable companies carries less risk, especially in companies that have demonstrated consistent profitability over the long term. Typically, a company with high profit margins offers better performance potential than a company with low profit margins. Autohome has been profitable 10 years over the past 10 years. During the past 12 months, the company had revenues of $1.3 billion and earnings of $4.272 a share. Its operating margin of 34.92% better than 91% of the companies in Interactive Media industry. Overall, GuruFocus ranks Autohome's profitability as strong. This is the revenue and net income of Autohome over the past years:
Growth is probably one of the most important factors in the valuation of a company. GuruFocus' research has found that growth is closely correlated with the long-term performance of a company's stock. If a company's business is growing, the company usually creates value for its shareholders, especially if the growth is profitable. Likewise, if a company's revenue and earnings are declining, the value of the company will decrease. Autohome's 3-year average revenue growth rate is in the middle range of the companies in Interactive Media industry. Autohome's 3-year average EBITDA growth rate is 15.6%, which ranks in the middle range of the companies in Interactive Media industry.
Another way to evaluate a company's profitability is to compare its return on invested capital (ROIC) to its weighted cost of capital (WACC). Return on invested capital (ROIC) measures how well a company generates cash flow relative to the capital it has invested in its business. The weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is the rate that a company is expected to pay on average to all its security holders to finance its assets. If the ROIC is higher than the WACC, it indicates that the company is creating value for shareholders. Over the past 12 months, Autohome's ROIC was 55.10, while its WACC came in at 4.20. The historical ROIC vs WACC comparison of Autohome is shown below:
In short, the stock of Autohome (NYSE:ATHM, 30-year Financials) gives every indication of being significantly undervalued. The company's financial condition is strong and its profitability is strong. Its growth ranks in the middle range of the companies in Interactive Media industry. To learn more about Autohome stock, you can check out its 30-year Financials here.
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This article first appeared on GuruFocus.