Generally speaking long term investing is the way to go. But that doesn’t mean long term investors can avoid big losses. Zooming in on an example, the Avalon Holdings Corporation (NYSEMKT:AWX) share price dropped 53% in the last half decade. That’s not a lot of fun for true believers. The silver lining is that the stock is up 1.2% in about a week.
Given that Avalon Holdings only made minimal earnings in the last twelve months, we’ll focus on revenue to gauge its business development. As a general rule, if the market is looking past earnings to focus on revenue, there is a hope for, or expectation of, strong growth. The main reason for this is that fast revenue growth can be readily extrapolated into a profitable future, but stagnant revenue cannot.
In the last half decade, Avalon Holdings saw its revenue increase by 2.0% per year. That’s not a very high growth rate considering it doesn’t make profits. This lacklustre growth has no doubt fueled the loss of 14% per year, in that time. We’d want to see proof that future revenue growth is likely to be significantly stronger before getting too interested in Avalon Holdings. However, it’s possible too many in the market will ignore it, and there may be an opportunity if it starts to recover down the track.
You can see how revenue and earnings have changed over time in the image below, (click on the chart to see cashflow).
It’s probably worth noting that the CEO is paid less than the median at similar sized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. Dive deeper into the earnings by checking this interactive graph of Avalon Holdings’s earnings, revenue and cash flow.
A Different Perspective
It’s good to see that Avalon Holdings has rewarded shareholders with a total shareholder return of 25% in the last twelve months. That certainly beats the loss of about 14% per year over the last half decade. This makes us a little wary, but the business might have turned around its fortunes. Before spending more time on Avalon Holdings it might be wise to click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling shares.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
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If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at firstname.lastname@example.org. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.