U.S. markets closed
  • S&P Futures

    3,657.00
    +2.75 (+0.08%)
     
  • Dow Futures

    29,281.00
    -4.00 (-0.01%)
     
  • Nasdaq Futures

    11,231.00
    +2.75 (+0.02%)
     
  • Russell 2000 Futures

    1,683.40
    +1.30 (+0.08%)
     
  • Crude Oil

    81.36
    +0.13 (+0.16%)
     
  • Gold

    1,671.30
    +2.70 (+0.16%)
     
  • Silver

    18.82
    +0.11 (+0.58%)
     
  • EUR/USD

    0.9822
    +0.0003 (+0.03%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    3.7470
    +0.0420 (+1.13%)
     
  • Vix

    31.84
    +1.66 (+5.50%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.1163
    +0.0039 (+0.35%)
     
  • USD/JPY

    144.6090
    +0.1660 (+0.11%)
     
  • BTC-USD

    19,481.14
    -23.84 (-0.12%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    444.90
    -1.08 (-0.24%)
     
  • FTSE 100

    6,881.59
    -123.80 (-1.77%)
     
  • Nikkei 225

    26,024.62
    -397.43 (-1.50%)
     

Banc of California's (NYSE:BANC) investors will be pleased with their 19% return over the last three years

·3 min read

It hasn't been the best quarter for Banc of California, Inc. (NYSE:BANC) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 11% in that time. But at least the stock is up over the last three years. However, it's unlikely many shareholders are elated with the share price gain of 13% over that time, given the rising market.

So let's assess the underlying fundamentals over the last 3 years and see if they've moved in lock-step with shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Banc of California

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During three years of share price growth, Banc of California achieved compound earnings per share growth of 50% per year. The average annual share price increase of 4% is actually lower than the EPS growth. So one could reasonably conclude that the market has cooled on the stock. This cautious sentiment is reflected in its (fairly low) P/E ratio of 10.54.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
earnings-per-share-growth

We like that insiders have been buying shares in the last twelve months. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here..

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Banc of California, it has a TSR of 19% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Although it hurts that Banc of California returned a loss of 4.2% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 18%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 1.6%, each year, over five years. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Even so, be aware that Banc of California is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those is a bit unpleasant...

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Join A Paid User Research Session
You’ll receive a US$30 Amazon Gift card for 1 hour of your time while helping us build better investing tools for the individual investors like yourself. Sign up here