Bell Financial Group's (ASX:BFG) Shareholders Will Receive A Smaller Dividend Than Last Year
Bell Financial Group Limited's (ASX:BFG) dividend is being reduced by 44% to A$0.025 per share on 6th of September, in comparison to last year's comparable payment of A$0.045. This means the annual payment is 9.8% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
See our latest analysis for Bell Financial Group
Bell Financial Group's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before this announcement, Bell Financial Group was paying out 78% of earnings, but a comparatively small 21% of free cash flows. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.
Earnings per share could rise by 12.9% over the next year if things go the same way as they have for the last few years. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio could reach 79%, which is on the higher side, but certainly still feasible.
Dividend Volatility
While the company has been paying a dividend for a long time, it has cut the dividend at least once in the last 10 years. The dividend has gone from an annual total of A$0.06 in 2012 to the most recent total annual payment of A$0.11. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 6.2% over that duration. It's good to see the dividend growing at a decent rate, but the dividend has been cut at least once in the past. Bell Financial Group might have put its house in order since then, but we remain cautious.
Dividend Growth Could Be Constrained
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's encouraging to see that Bell Financial Group has been growing its earnings per share at 13% a year over the past five years. Past earnings growth has been decent, but unless this is one of those rare businesses that can grow without additional capital investment or marketing spend, we'd generally expect the higher payout ratio to limit its future growth prospects.
Our Thoughts On Bell Financial Group's Dividend
Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Bell Financial Group that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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