U.S. Markets closed
  • S&P 500

    4,544.90
    -4.88 (-0.11%)
     
  • Dow 30

    35,677.02
    +73.92 (+0.21%)
     
  • Nasdaq

    15,090.20
    -125.50 (-0.82%)
     
  • Russell 2000

    2,291.27
    -4.91 (-0.21%)
     
  • Gold

    1,793.10
    +11.20 (+0.63%)
     
  • EUR/USD

    1.1646
    +0.0015 (+0.1281%)
     
  • 10-Yr Bond

    1.6550
    -0.0210 (-1.25%)
     
  • Vix

    15.43
    +0.42 (+2.80%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.3760
    -0.0036 (-0.2601%)
     
  • USD/JPY

    113.4800
    -0.5080 (-0.4457%)
     
  • BTC-USD

    60,451.71
    -765.07 (-1.25%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,453.34
    -49.70 (-3.31%)
     
  • FTSE 100

    7,204.55
    +14.25 (+0.20%)
     
  • Nikkei 225

    28,804.85
    +96.25 (+0.34%)
     

How to Boost Your Portfolio with Top Retail and Wholesale Stocks Set to Beat Earnings

  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.
·3 min read
In this article:
  • Oops!
    Something went wrong.
    Please try again later.

Wall Street watches a company's quarterly report closely to understand as much as possible about its recent performance and what to expect going forward. Of course, one figure often stands out among the rest: earnings.

Life and the stock market are both about expectations, and rising above what is expected is often rewarded, while falling short can come with negative consequences. Investors might want to try to capture stronger returns by finding positive earnings surprises.

Now that we know how important earnings and earnings surprises are, it's time to show investors how to take advantage of these events to boost their returns by utilizing the Zacks Earnings ESP filter.

The Zacks Earnings ESP, Explained

The Zacks Expected Surprise Prediction, or ESP, works by locking in on the most up-to-date analyst earnings revisions because they can be more accurate than estimates from weeks or even months before the actual release date. The thinking is pretty straightforward: analysts who provide earnings estimates closer to the report are likely to have more information.

With this in mind, the Expected Surprise Prediction compares the Most Accurate Estimate (being the most recent) against the overall Zacks Consensus Estimate. The percentage difference provides the ESP figure. The system also utilizes our core Zacks Rank to provide a stronger system for identifying stocks that might beat their next quarterly earnings estimate and possibly see the stock price climb.

Bringing together a positive earnings ESP alongside a Zacks Rank #3 (Hold) or better has helped stocks report a positive earnings surprise 70% of the time. Furthermore, by using these parameters, investors have seen 28.3% annual returns on average, according to our 10 year backtest.

Stocks with a #3 (Hold) ranking, which is most stocks covered at 60%, are expected to perform in-line with the broader market. But stocks that fall into the #2 (Buy) and #1 (Strong Buy) ranking, or the top 15% and top 5% of stocks, respectively, should outperform the market. Strong Buy stocks should outperform more than any other rank.

Should You Consider Urban Outfitters?

Now that we understand what the ESP is and how beneficial it can be, let's dive into a stock that currently fits the bill. Urban Outfitters (URBN) earns a #2 (Buy) right now and its Most Accurate Estimate sits at $0.85 a share, just seven days from its upcoming earnings release on August 24, 2021.

Urban Outfitters's Earnings ESP sits at 4%, which, as explained above, is calculated by taking the percentage difference between the $0.85 Most Accurate Estimate and the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.81. URBN is also part of a large group of stocks that boast a positive ESP. All of these qualifying stocks can be filtered by ESP, Zacks Rank, % Surprise (Last Qtr.), and Reporting date.

Using the Zacks Earnings ESP to your advantage is just the start. Make sure to check out the Earnings ESP Home Page for even more earnings-related tips and tricks to design a winning investment portfolio.

Find Stocks to Buy or Sell Before They're Reported

Use the Zacks Earnings ESP Filter to turn up stocks with the highest probability of positively, or negatively, surprising to buy or sell before they're reported for profitable earnings season trading. Check it out here >>


Want the latest recommendations from Zacks Investment Research? Today, you can download 7 Best Stocks for the Next 30 Days. Click to get this free report
 
Urban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) : Free Stock Analysis Report
 
To read this article on Zacks.com click here.
 
Zacks Investment Research