A prolonged drought in Brazil is decimating crops, with sugar exchange traded funds testing their short-term trends as sugar futures post their best rally in almost five months.
The iPath Dow Jones-AIG Sugar Total Return Sub-Index ETN (SGG) gained 9.2% over the past week while iPath Pure Beta Sugar (SGAR) rose 8.3% and Teucrium Sugar Fund (CANE) increased 6.8%. The ETFs are now trading around their 50-day exponential moving averages.
Sugar futures are hovering around $15.9 per pound after touching a one-month high Wednesday.
MDA Weather Services expects dry weather over the next 10 to 15 days in Brazil could exacerbate drought conditions, Bloomberg reports.
According to Somar Meteorologia, Brazil is suffering from its hottest January on record with rainfall for the month at a 20 year low.
Brazil is one of the largest commodity producers as 20% of the country’s workforce engages in agriculture, and over a quarter of the country’s exports earnings come from agricultural goods. Due to its affect on global agriculture supply, a shift can send waves through agricultural prices, writes Daniela Pylypczak for Commodity HQ.
The record heat in Brazil has been affecting coffee production, with coffee futures skyrocketing. The iPath Dow Jones-UBS Coffee Total Return Sub-Index ETN (JO) has gained 22.0% over the past week and is up 31.2% year-to-date. [Wake Up and Smell the Coffee ETN]
Meanwhile, India is cutting global supply as the government cabinet deferred a decision on subsidies to help mills export raw sugar.
“Brazil’s dryness initiated this move up, and India’s deferral of possible exports added a little fuel to the fire,” Boyd Cruel, a senior market analyst at Vision Financial Markets, said in the Bloomberg article. “Funds are unwinding some of their large net-short position.”
iPath Dow Jones-AIG Sugar Total Return Sub-Index ETN
For more information on sugar, visit our sugar category.
Max Chen contributed to this article.
The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Tom Lydon, and may not actually come to pass. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.